Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Jul 5, 2022 12 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Mini-Symposium [thread]
Friends, I have to write a foreword for
@holland_tom's Dominion, as punishment for listening to @TheRestHistory at the (profane) gym.

1- Is Xrstnty the 1st "religion" to establish the separation holy-profane?

2- Is it the 1rst to eliminate hierarchies?
3- When did the distinction between Judean [יהודה] and Jewish [יהודי] appear?
4- Adding from here: how to transcend the verbalism about "religion".
A lot of modern Judaism comes from Christianity. The sequence Judaism -> Christianity -> Islam is not entirely in one direction.

medium.com/incerto/we-don…
5- Is there any form of creed before Christianity that extended compassion beyond its ethnic base, where the "other" is an outsider? I do not mean Axial-age type statements, but something more formalized. Image
6- Is Christianity (as per article in the prev. tweet) the only Abrahamic religion to establish a natural division between church and state?
7- Is there another religion, Abrahamic or not, that bases its creed on the skin-in-the-game of the central god, as in Christianity making its god suffer as a human?
8- Was Christianity the first to institute full monogamy? (Roman monogamy admitted concubines; Judaism was polygamous).
Another disruption of mother-daughter (Judaism-> Chr): did it cause Ashkenazi Judaism to embrace monogamy?
8b- According to Tom Holland, Christian sexual pudeur & chastity put an end to the use of slaves as sex toys; Romans were able do whatever they wanted w/their slaves [the only inhibition was the slave's value as a property]. It led to respecting other people's dignity etc.
9- Rediscovered this piece "The Opiate of the Middle Class": religious beliefs are not epistemic; were never meant to be so.
"Amen" means "I trust" not I believe in the scientific-epistemic sense.
Another error from the "enlightenment". You can learn from Pinker in reverse. ImageImage
9- When you pledge allegiance or submission to a god, you are in fact pledging allegiance to a group,across generations Αι γενεαί πάσαι.
كامل الأجيال
Karen Armstrong discusses pblm w/"pisteuo" (tr. credo), a committment, not a belief in the modern sense.

medium.com/incerto/we-don…
10- The great mathematician Michael Atiyah visited a friend in North Lebanon (where Atiyah is originally from).
Atiyyah: "What is your religion?"
Friend: "I am atheist."
Atiyah: "Are you atheist Rum Orthodox, atheist Maronite atheist Shiite, or atheist Sunni?"
11- My approach to this is on how Christianity fares with respect to decision making under opacity and uncertainty.
I am not a theologian but a probabilist.

econjwatch.org/articles/relig…

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More from @nntaleb

Oct 3, 2025
My most important paper ever: How uncertainty (errors on errors) fattens the tails. Connects to all epistemological traditions. w/@DrCirillo
Pages 1-4 Image
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2/My most important paper ever: How uncertainty (errors on errors) fattens the tails. Connects to all epistemological traditions. w/@DrCirillo
Pages 5-8 Image
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@DrCirillo A lot of strawmanning about resemblance to "Renorm Groups" by people who never worked with Fixed Point Theorems. (mistaking RN for Brouwer or Banach): actually we do the exact opposite, increasing uncertainty. I don't trust ChatGPT for generating ideas but it can summarie well. Image
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Read 4 tweets
Jul 15, 2025
10 writers whose books I’ve read five or more of:

1- Balzac
2- Hanna Mina
3- Dostoyevsky
4- Anthony Trollope
5- Emile Zola
6- Roger Martin du Gard
6- Alberto Moravia
7- Frederic Dard
8- Graham Greene
9- Lawrence Durrell
10- Sommerset Maugham
etc.
Caveat: many great writers don't necessarily have 5 great books, often because their books are long (Tolstoi, Proust, depending on how you count) or they are, like Borges, so great, that they have ~~1 or 2 great books (depending again how you aggregate the short stories).
Actually I counted 24 books by Graham Greene, who isn't even my favorite author. He just wrote a lot of good books! Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 26, 2025
The protein story is based on statistical BS, amateur data fudging. Bro Science is really for idiots.
1- Some do very well growing muscles on minimal protein ing., others poorly on large doses.
2- Remove the line, see the fraud.
3- One of the authors failed to reveal he was SHILLING for a protein supplement company.
4- For older people, ZERO evidence that supplementation work.
5- There is a variance among individuals but can be partially due to OTHER stuff they do, ingest, etc.

(h/t @maxflowminclout).
cc:@EricTopolImage
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2) Sometimes the protein thing can be too obvious to bust. These "protein chips" have a lower proportion of protein than... bread.
If you consumed 3000 calories of just whole wheat bread, you'd get 120 g of protein. Image
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3) This regression is not weak, it has ZERO significance when adjusted for hacking, particularly that they used a piecewise slope.
From my forthcoming paper on the randomness of the slope. Image
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Read 4 tweets
Jun 23, 2025
Bro scientist: "I recommend eating protein after lifting BECAUSE muscles are made of protein".
Questioner: What is your source of protein?
Bro scientist: Cow meat.
Questioner: Do cows eat meat?
2) The above reasoning maps to the "just so" explanations that seem to rely on common sense but are not evidence based.
3) I am getting all these arguments by idiots (some with degrees) that cows have a different digestive mechanism, not realizing that this contradicts the point forming protein & eating protein necessarily flow from one another.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 14, 2025
Medical data alert. There is no evidence-based backing to such Attia-like recommendation of > .8 g (see @EricTopol). Too much protein hinders, among other things autophagy; episodic protein deprivation is present in many protocols (e.g. Valter Longo's).
@alexbakus 3) The Orthodox Church dictates a vegan diet roughly 60% of the year, with splurging during holy periods. A high variance in consumption of meat was part of Mediterranean mores. See #Antifragile
Read 4 tweets
Feb 5, 2025
Agha Khan: Is it me or something about the heads of a 15 million sect living the unscholarly lives of Western playboys, horse collectors, & hanging around European royalty while taxing their poor followers in Central/South Asia?
Not a word on that grift in the press.
2/ The Agha Khan's family fortune of $13 billion didn't come from his diligent savings, but from DONATIONS, a near-mandatory tithe.

3/ The Founder of the movement, Hasan al-Sabbah (the Old Man of the Mountain) "was known for his ascetic and austere religious lifestyle. At his modest living quarters in the Alamut Castle, he spent most of his time reading, writing, & administering."

"During his 45 y of residence, he apparently left his quarters only twice to ascend the rooftop."
Read 4 tweets

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