1/ What do two yachts, a $30,000 watch and the Tsar's former residence have in common? They're all assets of Patriarch Kirill of the Russian Orthodox Church. A 🧵 on how the church's role in the Ukraine war is tied up with its finances and role as an instrument of 'soft power'.
2/ This is the second thread of a series of three (I'll be posting the third part in due course). Here's the first part:
3/ The Russian Orthodox Church (ROC) has faced numerous scandals over the past 30 years concerning its financial affairs. But the story really starts with Russia's 40,000 priests and deans, most of whom work in thousands of small towns and villages across the country.
4/ Being a priest is not a route to riches in Russia. In Moscow, they are paid about $450-650 monthly. In rural regions, they may only get minimum wage (around $200 monthly) or less. This isn't nearly enough to keep a church running or pay for household essentials.
5/ So how do priests make ends meet? By soliciting donations for every kind of rite - saying prayers, consecrating new cars and apartments, baptisms, selling candles. Some priests also earn money through secular means such as farming, baking, driving taxis and so on.
6/ Some donation value is retained by the priest to enable him to survive and maintain his church, but the rest (reportedly up to 50%) goes 'upstairs' to the local dean - the priest's immediate superior - and the diocese, which in turn remits up to 15% to Moscow.
7/ So the key to being a successful ROC priest is finding a rich donor, such as a local businessman or oligarch. Rural priests often only have a small and poor population from which to solicit donations. Thus churches proliferate in towns and cities and stagnate in villages.
8/ However, the church is very secretive about its finances. Its accounts are not published and it reportedly does not disclose donations even to the government: "when you give to someone in need, don't let your left hand know what your right hand is doing" (Matthew 6:3).
9/ This means that the ROC's operations are intimately intertwined with wealth-producers, in a country rated the 136th most corrupt in the world (out of 180). This brings us back to Kirill's famous Breguet wristwatch, yachts and residences.
10/ The $30K watch, donated by an anonymous benefactor, caused controversy after a clumsy attempt to remove it from a photo - it was airbrushed out but the photo editor forgot to remove its reflection in a polished table top. Several leading ROC clergy have had similar scandals.
11/ Another benefactor, the Russian oil company Lukoil, donated the $4-6 million yacht Pallada for Kirill's use. He is also reported to have his own personal Azimuth luxury yacht in the Mediterranean, worth around €700,000 - possibly also donated by a benefactor.
12/ Businessmen have provided free air transportation to Kirill, such as the use of a $43 million Gulfstream G450 jet to travel around Russia. The Russian state also has also flown Kirill to destinations as far afield as Antarctica aboard a government Il-96-300 jet.
13/ The state-owned Federovsky Godorok, a massive residential complex built for Tsar Nicholas II near St Petersburg, is currently being renovated at public expense - costing in total around $47 million - for use as the Patriarch's official residence.
14/ Kirill and his relatives also reportedly own multiple apartments and properties around Moscow and St Petersburg, which the publication Project has valued at around 316 million rubles (or about $5 million). It's unclear where the money for this came from.
15/ Since 2010, the Russian government has 'restored' thousands of state-owned properties to the ROC, although many like the Federovsky Godorok were never church property in the first place. Private landowners built and owned many places of worship in Tsarist times.
16/ These relationships have made the ROC heavily dependent on the oligarchs and the state, and it's a connection that goes both ways. But the church is itself a big business, due in part to the work of the current Patriarch, Kirill.
17/ In 1989, Kirill - while serving as metropolitan bishop of Smolensk and Kaliningrad - headed the ROC's Department for External Church Relations (DECR), responsible for the church's relations overseas. Kirill already had long experience in this area as a church representative.
18/ The DECR almost certainly had close links to the Soviet regime. As I mentioned in my previous thread, Kirill himself was allegedly a KGB agent codenamed MIKHAILOV, according to KGB files. But the collapse of the USSR in 1991 led to the DECR taking on new commercial roles.
19/ The post-communist Russian state granted the ROC privileges as 'humanitarian aid'. From 1994 to 1997, the ROC was allowed to import tobacco duty-free. The church imported 8 billion cigarettes which it sold at below market prices, making it one of Russia's largest suppliers.
20/ The exposure of this arrangement led to a major scandal, in which Kirill was nicknamed the 'Tobacco Metropolitan' for his role in managing it. The import arrangement was terminated by then-Patriarch Alexey II when it became too controversial for comfort.
21/ The ROC was also allowed to import and sell wine. The Nikolo-Ugreshky Monastery, which is directly subordinated to the patriarchate, earned $350 million from the sale of alcohol in 1995 alone. The church also reportedly had interests in oil, gems and selling bottled water.
22/ One of the church's biggest money-earners is its Sofrino factory. It makes and sells ecclesiastical items such as vestments, furniture, icons and candles to priests and the faithful throughout Russia - charging premium prices for its products.
23/ According to Russian media reports, the church's income in 2014 alone reached 5.6 billion rubles (about $150 million at the time). Its revenues are not taxed. The state also provided 14 billion rubles ($183 million) in funding to the ROC between 2012 and 2015.
24/ Media reports allege that Kirill has become extremely wealthy during his time in office. Forbes estimated his wealth at $4 billion, and Novaya Gazeta suggested $4 billion to $8 billion in 2019. Either way, Kirill would qualify as one of the richest men in Russia.
25/ The ROC under Kirill has used its wealth and influence strategically to boost Russia's 'soft power' internationally, including by positioning itself as a future leader of worldwide Orthodoxy and seeking to replace the Church of Constantinople in that traditional role.
26/ This is very much Kirill's personal initiative. As Metropolitan of Smolensk, he said that the ROC should take first place among Orthodox patriarchates. "We are the rightful heirs of Byzantium," Kirill has said. This would give Russia huge influence over Orthodox believers.
27/ The ROC has used its influence abroad to help Russian interests. It has opposed Moldova's aspirations for EU membership on the grounds that it would require tolerance for homosexuality. The church's Moldovan affiliate has organised public anti-LGBT protests.
28/ In Montenegro, the ROC has played a major role in trying to undermine the country's efforts to break away from Serbia. The pro-Russian Serbian Orthodox Church is strongly opposed to Montenegro's NATO and EU integration, and Russia sponsored a coup attempt there in 2016.
29/ The ROC is also a vital channel for Russia's communications with Iran, with which it has co-hosted an Islam-Orthodoxy Dialogue that meets alternately in Moscow and Tehran every few years. Russia has the largest Muslim population in Europe, so is in a unique position.
30/ In Africa, the ROC has embarked on an ambitious programme of building schools and medical facilities. It is providing material aid alongside military aid provided by the Russian state. It encourages members of other denominations to switch their allegiances to Orthodoxy.
31/ The ROC has also influenced the American and European far-right. It supports organisations such as the World Congress of Families to coordinate opposition to same-sex marriage and toleration of homosexuality. The ROC promotes Russia as a defender of 'traditional values'.
32/ This has had significant international impact - some US conservatives have even converted to Eastern Orthodoxy. It also likely explains Hungary's far-right government deciding to block the EU's plan to sanction Patriarch Kirill, likely seeing him as an ally on social policy.
33/ However, the ROC's soft power has taken a heavy blow in the last few months due to its positions over Ukraine and Patriarch Kirill's outspoken support for the war. I'll cover those issues in the final thread in this series.
1/ It's very hard to win a war with a strategy that is built on bullshit. This was one of the key lessons of World War II, thanks to the approach taken by Adolf Hitler, who launched the war in Europe. Here are some of the lessons from Hitler's Great European Bullshit War. ⬇️
2/ Harry Frankfurt's famous essay "On Bullshit" draws a crucial distinction that is useful to consider here. A liar knows the truth and deliberately inverts it. A bullshitter is entirely indifferent to truth – what matters is the effect produced and the audience managed.
3/ It mustn't be forgotten that Hitler's rise to power was based on bullshit. His Dolchstoßlegende — the stab-in-the-back myth, blaming Germany's WWI defeat on Jews and socialists rather than military failure – was entirely invented, an early example of the Big Lie technique.
1/ Denmark was reportedly preparing for full-scale war with the US over Greenland in January, with military support from France, Germany, and Nordic nations. Elite troops and F-35 jets with live ammunition were sent, and runways were to be blown up to prevent an invasion. ⬇️
2/ The Danish public broadcaster DR reports that officials in Denmark, France and Germany say that Donald Trump's threats to seize Greenland were taken so seriously that wide-ranging preparations were made to forcibly resist a US invasion of the Danish island.
3/ The Danish and French governments worked together to create a northern European coalition to defend Greenland from the United States. Under the cover of a pre-planned defence exercise, Greenland's defences were bolstered to raise the costs of any US invasion attempt.
1/ Pro-government Russians shouldn't be excessively disappointed by the Putin regime's repressive behaviour in recent months, says drone manufacturer Alexey Chadayev. He argues that that's how it's always been in Russia and nobody should expect any different. ⬇️
2/ Chadayev is the Director General of Russia's Ushkuynik Research and Production Centre (NPC Ushkuynik). He comments on recent complaints by previously pro-government commentators about the blocking of Telegram and the Internet shutdowns in Moscow and St Petersburg:
3/ "On the topic of 'disillusioned patriots' (I'm not talking about weathervane lawyers, in case it's unclear, but about the threat of 'loss of motivation' among government supporters, a topic that has been much discussed by various commentators in recent days).
1/ While the world's eyes are elsewhere, the long-running water crisis in Donetsk is continuing. An account from Russian warblogger Dmitry Steshin highlights how residents of what had been one of Ukraine's most developed cities are living now. ⬇️
2/ Since 2022, much of the occupied Donetsk and Luhansk regions have been experiencing a severe water shortage. Cities have faced water rationing, while outlying towns and villages have often had no water at all.
3/ The root cause of this is a combination of war damage to the canal that provided pre-war Donetsk with water, the source of which is in Ukrainian-held territory near Kramatorsk, and decrepit infrastructure which has gone unmaintained due to corruption.
1/ Powerful interests in Russia are milking the war in Ukraine for profit and power, complains a Russian drone developer and blogger. He argues that the interests are indifferent to the loss of Russian lives and are ripping off the state defence procurement system. ⬇️
2/ 'UAV Developer' writes on Telegram: "You see, they couldn't care less about our victory."
3/ "They—a collective group of people in power, one of the towers [factions]—understand that the name of the Lord Special Military Operation can still be used to cover up any nonsense, and to call opponents foreign agents and enemies of the people.
1/ Russia is suffering huge casualties in the battle for Kostiantynivka, says a Russian soldier who is fighting there. He says that 75% of his unit of poorly-trained middle-aged men was killed in a single assault, with dogs eating the skeletonised bodies of the dead nearby. ⬇️
2/ A man named Tamerlan – likely from the North Caucasus, judging by the name – has recorded a video describing his experiences. He says:
"Today, 27 men went into the assault, and only six survived ... "
3/ "They're just fucking new guys, they've just arrived, they haven't even been serving for a month, damn it. We were herding them in there... It was a complete mess."