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Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
@SimonWDC
Jul 8, 2022 • 9 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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Okay, here it is - our monthly #jobsday thread:

34m jobs - 16 yrs Clinton Obama
9m jobs - 17 months Biden
1.9m jobs - 16 years 2 Bushes Trump

4.5 times more Biden jobs in 17 months than last 3 GOP Presidents combined over 16 years. 1/
Since 1989 45m net new jobs have been created in the United States.

43m - 96% - have been created under Democratic Presidents.

Shout this one from the rooftops people! 2/
Wages are continuing to grow at a very rapid rate. 7% for prime age workers. 3/
We continue to see record levels of new businesses being created. Incredible sign of health, vitality of US economy. 4/
Another way to understand just how strong and vital the Biden economy has been is to look at jobs created per month.

Biden is 50x last 3 GOP Presidents, and note GOP = only 9,700 jobs a month over 16 years. Astonishing level of repeated GOP failure. 5/
Gas prices are coming down now, and as you can see from this chart, 2/3rds of the increase in gas prices came after Putin invaded Ukraine.

This was never on Biden and GOP attacks on him work to bolster Putin, once again. 6/

Growth has been much much stronger under Dem Presidents over many decades now. 7/
The last 3 GOP Presidents brought recessions and spiraling deficits. Trump saw the deficit grow more than any peacetime President in modern times.

Joe Biden is the third straight Dem President to get the deficit down. Clinton got us to surplus. 8/
So, to sum:

4 times as many Biden jobs as last 3 GOP Presidents COMBINED

96% of all jobs created since 1989 have come under Dem Presidents

Biden is third straight Dem to dramatically reduce huge GOP deficits, 3 straight to bring robust growth after GOP recession

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More from @SimonWDC

Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Sep 28
Remarkable number of GOP/right-wing aligned pollsters in the averages right now, and it should not surprise anyone to see them start producing polls showing, all of a sudden, the election moving to Trump and the Rs! What they did in 2022. Can't fall for it again this time.
Here's one of these GOP-aligned pollsters taking credit for helping move the NC 538 average to Trump. 2/ Image
Want to see what a coordinated campaign by right-wing pollsters to move the averages can do? Here is RCP's final Senate map in 2022. The averages had the Rs getting to 54 seats in the Senate. They got to 49. 3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Sep 24
As we head to Arizona this week a reminder that immigration rarely performs for Rs as a general election issue. Trump ended the 2018 midterms with caravans and fearmongering and we won by 8.6 pts. Voters available to us usually care about other issues far more. 1/
A majority of the country is reconciled to our more diverse future. Obama won with 53% in the vote in 2008, Harris is hitting 50% in many polls now. 2/
I also think people need to distinguish between what's happening at the border and immigration. The issue of the border has always been about control, making government work. You can be pro-immigrant and want tougher border controls. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Sep 23
On the NYT polls:
- PA +4, AZ -5 for Harris. Both states voted the same in 2020. 9 pts apart this time?
- Recent NYT polling has been 3-4 pts more R than overwhelming majority of polls.
- Here's most recent @MorningConsult battleground tracker: 1/

@MorningConsult This chart has problems.
- Polls from before the debate? We have post-debate polls like Morning Consult above
- 2 of 5 pollsters cited have clear GOP affiliation - Cygnal, Data Orbital - not noted as such
- NC Emerson poll has Harris up 1, 49%-48%. 2/ Image
Here's the NC graphic from Emerson: Image
Read 4 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Sep 13
Creating a narrative that he's winning not losing is now an existential issue for Trump and his allies:
- that is he winning and strong and that we are losing and weak is his entire campaign. He is nothing w/o it
- he needs data showing him winning to contest the election 1/
Investing in creating a false narrative that Rs are doing better than polls/data suggest is what they did in 2022, and we should expect them to do it again this time.

Dems should not be doing anything to help them red wave this election too. 2/

In a new video about the 2024 election I talk about how the national/state polling is good for us now and that if put our heads down and do the work we can have the election we all want to have - but only if we do the work! Enjoy! 3/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/kamala-won-p…
Read 5 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Sep 13
Doing a short thread for our Dem family about best ways to respond to positive data like this below.
1) Don't dismiss, diminish, but, however the data. It is good data. Let it be good. Share it. Delight in it. 1/
2) Comments that "natl polls don't matter only state polls do" is some of the absolutely stupidest things people write on Twitter. Of course national polls matter. We have elections in all 50 states, and the state polls often move with the national data. Both matter. 2/
3/Dems need to let go of 2016 and stop talking about it. It's 2024 not 2016, and no election is like any other.

And when when you see positive data like this and immediately evoke something that's bad and scary you are doing MAGA's work for them. Let 2024 be 2024 please.
Read 6 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Aug 8
A reminded Trump/MAGA have been lying about the 2020 election for almost 4 years now; they lied about a red wave coming in 2022; and they lie about this election and their opponents every single day.

It's an unending tornado of bullshit - media cannot play stenographer here.
The Trump campaign is lying about Walz’s 24 years of military service. And the lies are crude, easily debunked, puerile, desperate and disgraceful.
Read 4 tweets

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