BA.5 is neither the sniffles nor the apocalypse. Doing nothing during this wave is a terrible idea, and so is telling people they are doomed if they leave home. There are sensible exposure and risk reduction measures, especially during the summer with more outdoor activities.
We just took a family vacation. Very important for mental health. We rapid tested before seeing people and masked when sharing air for extended periods. No masks for swimming, mini-golf, boating, hiking, etc. Ate outdoors when with people. Lots of fun, returned home healthy.
BA.5 is very transmissible, and being outdoors isn’t a “get out of COVID free” card. But a little common sense helps. In a large outdoor crowd for a long time? Wear a mask. Walking in the tranquil woods? Don’t.
We need to message to people to take BA.5 seriously, and be up to date on vaccine + booster. But also reinforce that you can enjoy your summer while at the same time using sensible exposure reduction strategies.
Anticipating some of the comments, I know some people can’t easily reduce their exposures, especially in workplaces. We need policies that protect people where voluntary individual action won’t cut it. And some people want or need to do indoor recreational activities.
My broad point is that people are getting the message either that the pandemic is over or that doom is upon us, depending on who they listen to. This leads to inaction and polarization. We need different messaging that encourages and enables exposure and risk reduction.
Addendum - I am not trying to individualize what needs to be collective, or to minimize risks for the vulnerable. But in a moment where few leaders seem willing to do anything, messaging that parallels the “3 Cs” as in Japan would be a huge step forward.
For those not familiar, the “3 Cs” are closed spaces with poor ventilation, crowded places, and close-contact settings. Japan emphasized avoiding these, and especially their intersection, throughout the pandemic. The results speak for themselves.
And yes, Japan has had some case surges, including now. But consistent exposure reduction strategies have reduced the impact.
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1. I’ve been thinking a lot about the rationales given for various recent COVID policy decisions. Too often leaders use vague invocations of “The Tools” or “The Science” to avoid explaining hard decisions, and this ignores the values implicit in those decisions. 🧵
2. First, I *think* we can all agree that there are some good COVID prevention strategies and some bad ones.
Good: Keeping people with COVID from wandering around nursing homes
Bad: Permanent societal lockdown
3. But most policies sit in the middle - measures that reduce transmission or risk to some extent, with an associated tradeoff.
This is no different from most policies in any setting. There aren’t that many free lunches or single measures that will fix everything.
Thurston High School.
Columbine High School.
Heritage High School.
Deming Middle School.
Fort Gibson Middle School.
Buell Elementary School.
Lake Worth Middle School.
University of Arkansas.
Junipero Serra High School.
Santana High School.
Bishop Neumann High School.
Pacific Lutheran University.
Granite Hills High School.
Lew Wallace High School.
Martin Luther King, Jr. High School.
Appalachian School of Law.
Washington High School.
Conception Abbey.
Benjamin Tasker Middle School.
University of Arizona.
Lincoln High School.
John McDonogh High School.
Red Lion Area Junior High School.
Case Western Reserve University.
Rocori High School.
Ballou High School.
Randallstown High School.
Bowen High School.
Red Lake Senior High School.
Harlan Community Academy High School.
1. So much hostility and confusion from people who saw me (on a Zoom) wearing a mask in my office this week! The question is: Am I crazy, am I virtue signaling, am I fear mongering, or is there some rationale to wear a mask in a private office? Let’s discuss! 🧵
2. Let’s start with the basics. Here’s a screenshot an angry critic took and shared. You can see I am wearing an N95. I work at a mask-optional university, so no one is making me do it. You can also see I need to clean up my office, but that’s a separate topic.
3. I like to keep my door open whenever possible, so students or faculty can pop in. My office is also right outside of the bathrooms, which helps to ensure that I see a lot of people during the day. Part of having a good in-person university experience.
1. Yesterday’s @MassGovernor quote reacting to the “high” COVID designation of many MA counties by CDC isn’t just “spin” - it combines the obviously false, the vaguely misleading, the correct, and the correct but myopic. Let’s parse it! 🧵
2. First, background - every week on Thurs, @CDCgov updates its “Community Levels” designation by county. The methods, data, and designations are publicly available.
1. When we officially record the millionth death from COVID in the US in the coming days, it should lead to collective introspection about our failures as a country and an articulation of lessons learned for future pandemic control. But it won’t.
2. Don’t get me wrong. There will be some great commentaries and excellent ideas put forward. But I used the word “collective” deliberately. I fear that many have learned one primary lesson from the pandemic - look away.
3. If someone is reasonably protected as an individual and ignores what happens to others, it’s easy to pretend there is no pandemic. It’s even easier if those at risk don’t live near you or run in your social circles. That’s a consequence of an individual-focused response.
1. When I took logic in high school, my favorite logical fallacy (yes, I had one - don't judge) was "argument of the beard". I actually think it informs some of the current arguments about masks, airplanes/buses/trains, and other aspects of pandemic response. 🧵
2. First off, I know I'm not a philosopher or logician. My understanding of "argument of the beard" comes from a high school logic class in the 1980s. So don't dunk on me if I don't grasp the subtleties or misuse the fallacy a bit.
3. But my simple understanding is this - if you pluck one hair from a beard, obviously it is still a beard, right? Pluck one more, still a beard. But if you make that argument for every hair, eventually you will say that a clean-shaven person has a beard.