Extraordinary to see how Trumpist partisan milkmaid @EvaVlaar
manages to pack at least 10 lies into two and a half minutes of deranged commentary on Fox News about the #DutchFarmers protests. Let's take a walk through them.
Lie #1. 'This is about the Dutch government stealing our farmers' land.'
Farmers who stop working will get 130% of the value of their land and assets under the environmental planning agency's recommendations. Where do I sign up to be robbed on these terms? boerenbusiness.nl/mineralen/arti…
Lie #2: 'They're doing this under the guise of the made-up nitrogen crisis.'
The 'nitrogen crisis' is the result of a judgment by a court that the government was breaking the law. If you hate the Dutch constitution, at least have the honesty to say so. raadvanstate.nl/stikstof/
The law in question is a EU-wide regulation, agreed by all member states, to protect biodiversity in vulnerable habitats known as Natura 2000 zones. EU countries are legally obliged to limit emissions such as ammonia and nitrous oxide around these areas. ec.europa.eu/environment/na…
Lie #3: 'That is going to put most of these farmers completely out of business.'
The latest estimate is that 30% of the 50,000 farmers in the Netherlands will have to give up to achieve the necessary reduction in nitrogen compound emissions. trouw.nl/duurzaamheid-n…
Lie #4: 'They're doing this because they want these farmers' land to house new immigrants'.
This old saw takes a bit more unpacking. The court ruling was about building permits. Builders were no longer allowed to offset emissions during construction against future efficiencies …
Which meant around 18,000 building projects ground to a halt: roads, bridges, airport expansions and housing projects. Not houses for new immigrants, but homes for Dutch people increasingly priced out of an overheated property and rental market. ad.nl/binnenland/waa…
And which sector milked the old regulations more than most? Dairy farmers, who needed bigger cattle sheds after milk quotas were scrapped in 2015. From 2013 to 2017 the cattle herd grew by 2.4%. In that sense they're the architects of their own downfall. ad.nl/politiek/veest…
Incidentally, the government couldn't give farmers' land to migrants even if it wanted to. Planning law is in the hands of provinces and municipalities, who are very sensitive to local people's concerns about so-called mass immigration.
Only this week a local mayor in Flevoland spoke out against plans to build an asylum seekers' reception centre in his municipality. Similar projects have been abandoned under pressure from aggressive protestors. metronieuws.nl/in-het-nieuws/…
Lie #5: 'They also want it because the farmers are standing in the way of the Great Reset plans that they have for us.'
Ah yes, let's just chuck in a far-right dog whistle while we're here. There's no facts to check here, just a white supremacist anxiety dream, so let's move on.
Lie #6: 'Farmers are … self-sufficient people'.
Dutch farmers received €5.8bn in subsidies since 2014. Of this, €3.4bn has gone to cattle farmers. 36% of farmers earn below the minimum wage, yet 43% of cattle farmers are millionaires. bnnvara.nl/joop/artikelen…
But there's a subtext: because the funding is allocated by acreage, struggling small farmers are increasingly being bought up by massive agribusinesses, fattened up by EU and Dutch subsidies. There is a 'reset' going on, just not the one Eva Brownfields wants to talk about.
"It's driving farmers to something like suicide". It's true, farming is a stressful job. Uncertainty about the industry's future has added to the pressure. Suicide rates in the industry have been going up. But the link to the nitrogen plans is speculative. rtvoost.nl/nieuws/1721013…
Lie #7: 'What our government is doing is communism'.
Hold on: a minute ago you said they were stealing land to build houses. Now you're claiming they're collectivising the farms in a doomed effort to increase food production? Anyone would think you haven't thought this through.
Lie #8: 'No farmers, no food'
A favourite slogan of the farming lobby, but utterly false. The Netherlands is the world's second biggest food exporter: three-quarters of produce is sold across the border. Shutting 30% of farms wouldn't mean we go hungry. nporadio1.nl/nieuws/wetensc…
Also, around 75% of the land where food is grown for Dutch consumers is in other countries. Supermarkets sell plenty of coffee, bananas and wine: not much of it is home grown. Even 60% of the dairy products we buy come from elsewhere.
Lie #9: 'The police have responded in an incredibly violent way'.
Despite the mass blockades, only a handful of people have been arrested. Police did fire a shot at a tractor driven by a 16-year-old boy. He was shaken but unharmed. rtlnieuws.nl/nieuws/nederla…
How else did the vicious communist Dutch state persecute this poor boy? Er, he was released without charge, the police commissioner said the shooting was a mistake and has offered to compensate the damage to the tractor. I suspect Stalin would have given him a worse deal.
Lie #10: 'Peaceful protesters'
It's a strong field, but I'm calling this the most egregious bullshit in the whole clip. The minister for nitrogen has had road blocks put up at her home after farmers turned up on her doorstep three times. veluwefm.nl/meer-duidelijk…
Police have put up security cameras outside another minister's house. An MP had to take three days off work when activists appeared at his home while his young children were inside. gelderlander.nl/home/woning-mi…
The policeman who shot at the tractor has gone into hiding after his name and photo were circulated online. Farmers parked a trailer and invited people to guess when the nitrogen minister would be assassinated. nos.nl/artikel/243581…
Protesters have set fire to hay bales beside busy motorways. They smashed a police van with sledgehammers. They churned up a nature reserve with their tractors. They've shaken down motorists stuck in their blockades. This is no peaceful protest.
'This red handkerchief is a symbol of the farmers' resistance'. A contentious statement rather than a lie: not many red hankies at the mass protest three weeks ago, but now it's been on TV it might start a wave. Maybe just check first it doesn't have any other associations …
One the one hand it's hilarious, but it matters because this video has opened the floodgates to a slurry of disinformation 'exposés', such as this one fronted by the intriguingly named Roman Balmakov.
This has had a bit of attention. If you like concise news summaries with a dash of sarcasm, you could do worse than listen to the @DutchNewsNL podcast. soundcloud.app.goo.gl/yJDHU
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Extraordinary to see how Trumpist partisan milkmaid @EvaVlaar manages to pack at least 10 lies into two and a half minutes of deranged commentary on Fox News about the #DutchFarmers protests. Let's take a walk through them.
Lie #1. 'This is about the Dutch government stealing our farmers' land.'
Farmers who stop working will get 130% of the value of their land and assets under the environmental planning agency's recommendations. Where do I sign up to be robbed on these terms? boerenbusiness.nl/mineralen/arti…
Lie #2: 'They're doing this under the guise of the made-up nitrogen crisis.'
The 'nitrogen crisis' is the result of a judgment by a court that the government was breaking the law. If you hate the Dutch constitution, at least have the honesty to say so. raadvanstate.nl/stikstof/
After a couple of weeks' respite, I'm afraid it's time for a thread on coronavirus in the Netherlands. Because the numbers aren't looking great and the preparations for an autumn wave are non-existent. Let alone a summer wave. #zomergolf
The trend in the testing numbers has been pretty encouraging since the last peak of 70,000 positive tests a day at the start of March.
Universal testing ended on April 11, by which time the number had dropped below 7,000, and it continued to fall to 1,500 by the end of the month.
Since April 11 only elderly and vulnerable people have been required to confirm a positive self-test at the GGD (local health service), and only these tests have been registered. So testing no longer gives a full picture of the spread of the disease. But it's still an indication.
I'd been planning a thread on reasons to be cautiously hopeful about Dutch coronavirus infections. Then I got distracted. In hindsight that was a good thing, because in the last week much of the hope has evaporated – just as a new wave of magical thinking has broken out. 1/16
The magical thinking is that 'hospital numbers are low, omicron is mild, we can relax and treat it like a flu now.' None of these statements is wholly false, but taken together they're leading to some rash and premature decisions. 2/16
Let's start with the infection numbers. It looked as if these were nearing a peak in mid-January, when the rate of increase slowed from 80% a week to below 20% – a doubling rate of c. 4 weeks. Sounds good until you remember that they're at record levels *and still going up*. 3/16
I wish I could ignore it, but professional bullshitician* Thierry Baudet's latest foray into the Covid numbers is almost a work of art. Let's take a closer look. (1/16)
(*portmanteau of 'bullshit' and 'statistician'. You're welcome)
I mean, that chart looks alarming, right? Baudet certainly thinks so and intends to ask questions in parliament about the 5,500 unexplained "excess deaths" he's found in the 6-month period from weeks 15-40 (mid-April to mid-October). (2/16)
And it's obvious where he's trying to lead you, because he's explicitly mentioned the vaccines (sorry, "vaccines") right at the start of his Very Serious Video, in a classic piece of anti-vaxxer framing. (3/16)
A lot of talk at the moment about stricter rules for non-vaccinated people. Hugo de Jonge said yesterday we were dealing 'increasingly with a pandemic of the unvaccinated'. But leaving aside the moral and legal implications, the latest figures don't support that claim.
The latest RIVM press release says 80% of people in the ICU are unvaccinated. But that refers to a study published nearly 2 weeks ago based on data from September. rivm.nl/nieuws/4-op-de…
In the RIVM's report we see signs that since September infections are increasing faster in the vaccinated population, though they're still just about in the minority. In September 66% of those testing positive were unvaccinated; in October that's fallen to 53% with a week to go.
You can see from these latest charts that the #coronavirus infection rate is slowing down almost everywhere - and fastest in those countries that restricted movement first. (I don't put different countries on one graph because a) it keeps it simple and b) testing regimes vary.)
The coloured gridlines represent exponential growth rates. Red = 41.3% (doubles in 2 days). Blue = 26.0% (3 days). Orange = 18.9% (4 days). Green = 14.9% (5 days). Purple = 12.3% (6 days). Yellow = 10.4% (7 days). Raw figures are shown beneath the charts as a guide.
Italy has been below the 7-day line for over a week now. You can see in the raw numbers that infections doubled over 9 days between March 19 and 28. Once you dip below 5% your doubling rate is more than 14 days, at which point you're not really growing exponentially at all.