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Jul 11 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
This is all a lot more complicated than it seems and these DRC/Rwanda/Uganda confluct threads need to be read with the counterpoint of corrections and observations kindly provided by @DecaymanR who is from Rwanda and knows this stuff.
@DecaymanR It is all very peculiar nonetheless.

This was the trigger.

Remarks by the DRC President on Monday 4/7, and reported in the FT on Wednesday 6/7, the day before a mediation meeting was held in Luanda Angola to discuss the brewing conflict - which appears to have quietened things. Image
That FT report is here >> ft.com/content/861119…
Where some confusion still remains is around some peculiar observations about the DRC made by Uganda's @UPDFspokespersn in an interview yesterday with @nbstv in Uganda.

#NBSFaceOff #NBSUpdates

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jul 13
#ClimateChangeNow deep dive thread.

This week marks the anniversary of 2 catastrophic flooding events, in Western Europe and China which focussed global media attention to the dangers posed by atmospheric weather changes.

I wrote about this for the @nzherald at the time. ImageImage
@nzherald And I thought it would be interesting to revisit the issue a year on. Should we expect similar events this year.

First of all there are again a lot of flooding events, New South Wales has just experienced a serious flooding event reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
Meanwhile the Indian Monsoon season has already resulted in 100s of deaths in multiple locations across India and the broader region. And as you see here floods have killed many more in other places also.

You can track major floods on floodlist.com ImageImageImageImage
Read 50 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jul 12
It ought to be obvious from this renewed OLA offensive in Shoa that OLA is a TPLF proxy. I have been saying this for a while, but the next phase of the TPLF's war is underway and arguably began back in April when OLA was also active in this area north of Addis Ababa.
It is important for those of goodwill in the International Community & diaspora who are rightly desirous of a return to peace in Ethiopia to acknowledge these basic facts.
Through increasing their attacks in Shoa the OLA-TPLF is forcing the ENDF to re-deploy troops, which in turn enables the insurgent forces to commit further attrocities in support of the information war that they are waging against the Govt of Ethiopia.
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jul 11
Further to this thread which is about what threatens to become a new war in the Eastern DRC between Congalese forces and the official and irregular proxies of Rwanda and Uganda. This report from June 27th appears to be relevant. monitor.co.ug/uganda/news/na…
The report concerns an order to raise the readiness of Ugandan forces to Standby Class 1 - the highest level of alertness in the military pending further instruction. Image
The quoted thread in the OP covers an @nbstv interview with the @UPDFspokespersn yesterday in which he talked about a wide range of subjects including cross border operations currently underway in the DRC pursuing the ADF - an rebel Ugandan force.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jul 11
Somewhat under the radar a new war has started in the DRC involving the Western proxy governments in Kampala (Uganda) and Kigali (Rwanda).

@France24_en conducted a great IV yesterday on this.

'Nobody is interested in conflict': Rwanda's Paul Kagame IV
In the interview above (from Friday) the interviewer asks the Rwandan President Paul Kagame to respond to statements from DRC President Felix Tshisekedi warning that war could break out soon. This follows four months of skirmishng and escalating tensions (see timeline below).
Last Wednesday the leaders of DRC and Rwanda met in Angola again to discuss the conflict, this failed spectacularly, and the following day Congo's Felix Tshisekedi warned that war might soon break out, and this was the lead in to Kagame's IV on Friday. aljazeera.com/news/2022/7/7/…
Read 31 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jul 9
In this space I will be discussing this story. scoop.co.nz/stories/print.… which was published on July 1st. And Ugandan reaction to it.
We will also talk about the subsequent developments which are covered in this thread.
A TL/DR version of the conclusions in this thread can be found here. Essentially the Ugandan official denials don't hold a lot of water if the meetings reported by The Monitor took place as reported.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jul 9
Fascinating article from ⁦@RSonderriis⁩ on the post 2019 popular revolution’s Chilean Constitutional drafting/debate/adoption which appears to be politically fascinating.

Voters and Quotas: Crunch Time for Chile’s Millennial Revolutionaries quillette.com/2022/07/08/cru…
The exercise has a safety valve to it, so if the 388 article constitution is rejected, the constitutional convention can be re-established to try again. Interestingly the recently resigned UN High Commissioner for Human Rights @mbachelet will be campaigning for it.
What has happened in Chile here is I think especially relevant for new world countries with indigenous populations, including NZ, Canada, Australia as well as the rest of South and Central America.
Read 5 tweets

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