Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Jul 15, 2022 18 tweets 6 min read Read on X
My daily update! #ukrdailyupdate
This will be short.
If you would like to view the map (almost 220 thousand views!): google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
The Kharkiv area: Russians are reportedly losing the will to fight, they claim they have been sent on the exact identical missions for days/weeks without success and they are sick of falling into the same traps over and over again. Their offense has halted and their morale is low
The Slovyansk area: Russian forces are close to Kurulka (1), their attack today was repelled. I'm trying to find more reliable info.
The Siversk area: Russia is trying to capture Hryhorivka (2). The situation in Verkhnokamyanske is confusing to me (3). Some say Russia captured the town, but I don't see how that is possible. Others say they have entered the town, which I see as more realistic.
Russia is still attacking towards Ivano-Darivka, but the Ukrainian defenses in this area are very strong (4). Russians are entrenching themselves around Berestove and launching small offensives supported by artillery, aircraft, and drones (5).
Russia is pushing towards Yakovlivka (6). I am not sure how close they are to the town itself. I have drawn it with a wide buffer, the buffer may be much smaller or nonexistent.

Reports of Russia reaching the Gypsum quary in Soledar (7).
The Bakhmut area: Russia tried to assault Vershyna (8), the Vuhlehirska power plant (9), and Kodema (10) but were repelled in each case. From what I have read, Russia is running out of infantry in this part of the battlefield, especially near the power plant and Kodema.
The Avdiivka area: having to really zoom in here. Russia attacked Kamyanka, took some ground, and then were repelled by liberal use of Ukrainian artillery (11).
The Donetsk area: In response to Russia's terrorist attacks on other areas of Ukraine, Russia performed a terrorist attack on Donetsk (12). Russian logic. They killed multiple civilians, and, like magic, their tv crews were set up and ready to roll the second it happened.
Here are just some images of areas of the front where I have nothing to say:
This morning Russia launched 9 anti-aircraft missiles into Mykolaiv (13), damaging/destroying two schools, a hotel, a shopping mall, 12 apartment blocks, 3 private houses, an old train station, and 18 trollies (16 of which were brand new).
This afternoon, Russia fired cruise missiles into Vinnytsia. The reports on how many were fired and how many hit were conflicting, but I believe 7 were fired and 3 hit. First, I want you to realize how far this city is from the front line. 383km, 238 miles from the front line.
These are the locations of two of the missile strikes, I have tried to geolocate them as best as I can. I'm not sure where the third landed. It doesn't really matter. This terrorist attack killed 23 and wounded over 100. Three of the dead are children, including a 3 year old girl
Some of the dead were eviscerated by shrapnel. Others burned to death in their cars. People had limbs amputated by the blast. The missile struck a medical center and its parking lot.
The missiles fired are relatively accurate, they should be able to hit within 50 meters of their intended target. For reference, the hospital is 64 meters wide. Which means that Russia was intentionally targeting this hospital, or at least something very close to the hospital.
The two missiles landed a~120 meters apart, and the middle point is above this building here. What is this building? Is it a military base? No. It is a bank. A dance studio. A sound recording studio. A shoe store. Next door is a hospital. The other direction is a church.
And this isn't to diminish the missile strikes on Kharkiv, which damaged businesses and trains. And the strikes on all of the other communities and cities. It is only to highlight the blatant, unapologetic terrorism.

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More from @AndrewPerpetua

Dec 11
Frankly I think the fastest way to end the war in Ukraine is not by sending tanks or by idiotic peace proposals. The fastest way is to set up factories across europe to produce 1000-2000 long range strike drones per day, and launch hundreds if not thousands of drones into Russia every single day until the country collapses. If they think sending 500 drones into Ukraine is a threat, see how they respond when 3000 drones fly into Russia.
With this many drones you can hammer every single factory, powerplant, substation, oil refinery, and mine in russia relentlessly.
Europe had a million drone program, to supply 1 million fpv drones. Fuck fpv drones. Have a 1 million drone program to supply 1 million strike drones. That's your million drones.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 3
The "stupid westerners, sanctions do not work, we smuggle goods in illegally. muahaha, Russia unstoppable" people tickle me. Sanctions are not for stopping goods entirely, they are for increasing friction because the resources you spend smuggling are resources not spent growing
People fundamentally don't understand the purpose of a sanction. Sanctions are not to stop the war now, although they do damage Russia, the real goal of a sanction is long term economic damage to permanently shrink their economic growth on the timescale of decades.
The sanction is basically saying "okay, you're a threat to me today, and maybe I can't do much about it now, but I will shrink you and outgrow you so in 50-100 years you are no longer a threat to me at all". It is a long term play.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 1
The Russians claim they shoot down Ukrainian aircraft the moment the missile leaves the tube, but we're supposed to believe they shot down two Black Hawks on Tuesday and only announced it after Ukraine leaked Black Hawk footage on Friday. These Black Hawks join the 650 F-16s and 450,000 M777s Russia has 'destroyed.'
GUYS. I AM GOING TO POST A VIDEO WHERE I WILL BLUR THE UNIT LOGOS TO SHIT SO NOBODY CAN TELL I STOLE THE VIDEOS FROM THE ARCHIVE AND THEN POST IT TO THE INTERNET SAYING I KILLED ALL THE SPECIAL FORCES
And then media outlets and super smart think tank people all over the world will believe me for some reason and then everyone will be like omg all the special forces died.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 18
Guys I took my division and charged them into combat and while we lost 50% of our armored vehicles and 45% of our infantry are dead, and several of our HQs were destroyed and most of our best officers are dead, we captured a village where 200 once lived so we’re winning the war.
Tomorrow we will send our next division to assault the next village. That one had a population of 1200. Its actually considered a huge city, when you think about it. If we can capture that, we will send our third division to capture the hamlet behind it.
Every day we advance. That means we’re winning.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 21
This is what Russia does. A country that only exports oil, gas, and war. This is the city of Marinka. Image
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Read 4 tweets
Jul 26
I wrote 2 years ago about why I was worried about Molniya drones. They are long range and capable of very large warheads. For whatever reason they were oddly scarce for a while, but they have become very common items on the battlefield and exactly everything I feared.
They can destroy a house in a single hit. Even small concrete buildings. They can dive straight down into dugouts, fly along trenches and fly into bunkers. They are being used to target infantry now, too. Russia clearly has a lot of them and are using them to destroy things that used to require helicopters.
They cost around $1000 each, roughly 2x a base level drone or roughly the same price as a higher end fpv drone. But they can carry a 6-7kg bomb and can fly over 40km.
Read 6 tweets

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