The Kharkiv area: Russians are reportedly losing the will to fight, they claim they have been sent on the exact identical missions for days/weeks without success and they are sick of falling into the same traps over and over again. Their offense has halted and their morale is low
The Slovyansk area: Russian forces are close to Kurulka (1), their attack today was repelled. I'm trying to find more reliable info.
The Siversk area: Russia is trying to capture Hryhorivka (2). The situation in Verkhnokamyanske is confusing to me (3). Some say Russia captured the town, but I don't see how that is possible. Others say they have entered the town, which I see as more realistic.
Russia is still attacking towards Ivano-Darivka, but the Ukrainian defenses in this area are very strong (4). Russians are entrenching themselves around Berestove and launching small offensives supported by artillery, aircraft, and drones (5).
Russia is pushing towards Yakovlivka (6). I am not sure how close they are to the town itself. I have drawn it with a wide buffer, the buffer may be much smaller or nonexistent.
Reports of Russia reaching the Gypsum quary in Soledar (7).
The Bakhmut area: Russia tried to assault Vershyna (8), the Vuhlehirska power plant (9), and Kodema (10) but were repelled in each case. From what I have read, Russia is running out of infantry in this part of the battlefield, especially near the power plant and Kodema.
The Avdiivka area: having to really zoom in here. Russia attacked Kamyanka, took some ground, and then were repelled by liberal use of Ukrainian artillery (11).
The Donetsk area: In response to Russia's terrorist attacks on other areas of Ukraine, Russia performed a terrorist attack on Donetsk (12). Russian logic. They killed multiple civilians, and, like magic, their tv crews were set up and ready to roll the second it happened.
Here are just some images of areas of the front where I have nothing to say:
This morning Russia launched 9 anti-aircraft missiles into Mykolaiv (13), damaging/destroying two schools, a hotel, a shopping mall, 12 apartment blocks, 3 private houses, an old train station, and 18 trollies (16 of which were brand new).
This afternoon, Russia fired cruise missiles into Vinnytsia. The reports on how many were fired and how many hit were conflicting, but I believe 7 were fired and 3 hit. First, I want you to realize how far this city is from the front line. 383km, 238 miles from the front line.
These are the locations of two of the missile strikes, I have tried to geolocate them as best as I can. I'm not sure where the third landed. It doesn't really matter. This terrorist attack killed 23 and wounded over 100. Three of the dead are children, including a 3 year old girl
Some of the dead were eviscerated by shrapnel. Others burned to death in their cars. People had limbs amputated by the blast. The missile struck a medical center and its parking lot.
The missiles fired are relatively accurate, they should be able to hit within 50 meters of their intended target. For reference, the hospital is 64 meters wide. Which means that Russia was intentionally targeting this hospital, or at least something very close to the hospital.
The two missiles landed a~120 meters apart, and the middle point is above this building here. What is this building? Is it a military base? No. It is a bank. A dance studio. A sound recording studio. A shoe store. Next door is a hospital. The other direction is a church.
And this isn't to diminish the missile strikes on Kharkiv, which damaged businesses and trains. And the strikes on all of the other communities and cities. It is only to highlight the blatant, unapologetic terrorism.
The United States government is built on the concept that Congressmen will have the swagger to take pride in their station. The government hinges on congress enforcing their will upon others. They are supposed to be arrogant sons of bitches who look down on others.
The moment you have a congress that is unwilling or incapable of being arrogant, condescending assholes and you instead have weak placating losers, the whole foundation of the government crumbles. The supreme arrogance of congress is what lets them reign in power of president.
Right now the US has the weakest congress in its history. A bunch of spineless losers who are incapable of even having independent thought. They are owned entirely by others, especially the republican party who bows to a president. Imagine, a CONGRESSMEN bowing to a PRESIDENT.
A few areas where I have been focusing on geoing strikes on Russians positions lately have been interesting in that only a very tiny number of Russians are defending. In one area in particular, the video showed a drone scan a series of trenches where only four Russians were spotted. Two killed and two forced to flee. I wonder what is behind those Russians, and whether it is similarly a skeleton crew on defense. Also, these Russians were quite far from Ukrainian positions, so they were not some extremely advanced forward position, they seem to me to be the second and/or third line of defense, which are typically more heavily manned.
When I see video like this, from an area very far from offensive actions, where Russia is purely defending, it makes me wonder how different the war would be if Ukraine had the capacity to attack this location. I feel like if Ukraine were to attack and capture it, many people online would say the area doesn't matter because it is only advancing 1km or blah blah. But advancing 1km is important, because it forces Russians to divert resources away from attacking to defending. Or you will advance a second k, or a third km until such a point that the Russians are forced to defend.
There is an area where Ukraine has been slowly advancing in this manner. Nobody is really talking about it, because it isn't sexy. It doesn't impact any large battles, it isn't a sign of things to come, or anything else. It is just Ukraine taking advantage of Russia failing to adequately defend positions.
Ukraine does not have an adequate air force, but it can create the effects of an air force using other methods and tools. For example, long-range drones can be deployed in a series of nested concentric circles to mine and harass supply roads, effectively cutting them off.
One layer of drones could strike targets 100 km out, the next at 80 km, then 60 km, 40 km, and finally, the remaining drones could dominate the last 20–30 km leading to the front.
With sufficient drone coverage density, the impact on enemy logistics can closely mirror that of a conventional air force—cutting off supplies and limiting troop movements.
Furthermore, the development of heavier strike drones, with payloads between 100 and 500 kg, can replicate the effects of traditional airstrikes. In conjunction with attack drones, this combination becomes a deadly one-two punch: attack drones locate and relay target positions, and heavier strike drones follow up with rapid and destructive precision.
Once the enemy's rear positions are degraded to this extent, the front becomes unsustainable. The opposing force will be forced to withdraw, regardless of intent.
Ukraine does not need large offensive pushes to defeat Russia. It needs extremely high-density drone coverage to deny Russian sustainment. Land can be taken back piece by piece, without committing to large and costly ground assaults.
All but the heavy strike drones can be done with the technology that Ukraine has available today, right now. The strike drones could be developed in short order. This is a realistic path to victory using the tools and resources available. And one which Europe could help using financing alone.
Europe could also provide longer range weapons for Ukraine’s existing aircraft, which is frankly a much more unrealistic path forward. Albeit possible. And Europe doesn’t really have the weapons available to give, so would require making them first.
After Trump put Fedex guys in charge of USPS, the democrats should issue an official warning that any aspect of USPS that might get “privatized” under trump will be immediately seized, without compensation, by the following administration and congress.
There should be an open air understanding that any aspect of the government privatized by Trump will be seized back without compensation. We will eminent domain your ass, and change any law (or court makeup) to make it legal.
The property of the people isn’t for sale. That’s the message.
The US saw Russia using nothing but golf carts and ladas in Ukraine and said fuck it, we're going on all in. We're cancelling all armor procurement. Battle golf carts are the future. Who needs firepower when you have bags of meat strapped to a go-cart?
Many Americans will die, and that is a sacrifice the Army is willing to make. Drive the golf cart full steam into a drone swarm. The guys in the back will have tons of ability to shoot back before they die, since there will be no walls or doors to get in the way.
All paths will be heavily mined, which is why we got rid of mraps. The mraps would just get disabled anyway, and then you'd be wishing you had a golf cart to ride. So, instead of wasting our time with armor, lets cut to the chase and deploy you on a golf cart from the start.
Interesting uptick in Russian dive bomber drones recently. I've wondered why they were developed then suddenly disappeared. They always seemed the most effective type of drone.
Russians are using dive bombers to destroy vehicles. Much more efficient than suiciding the drone and deals the same damage.
Magyar used to use dive bombers to destroy tanks, but stopped for some reason.