Not very much is happening so I am just showing the changes to my map. To see the map, here is the link: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
First, the Dibrovne/Kurulka area: There were rumors that Russia attacked and perhaps captured Kurulka recently, but that claim went contrary to all evidence and information I have available to me so I have decided to reverse that map change and make Dibrovne a gray area.
The Vuhlehirska power plant area: I updated Russian control to be closer to plant (1,2). I know Russia controls intersection of E40 highway (3) but I don't know of any Russian gained territory to the west from there. I updated the Ukrainian line of control in Novoluhanske (4).
I have seen people claim Russia is attacking Semyhirya (6) from the east, and I believe this stems from a since debunked rumor that the Wagner group had captured it many weeks ago. Who debunked the claim? The Wagner group. I don't know or believe Wagner is even attacking it.
I believe the DPR is attacking, and that means the attack is coming from the south, from Dolomitne. This change in assessment dramatically changes the understanding of the situation, if Wagner were attacking, that would imply the powerplant is nearly surrounded (as in this image)
I have not seen any word that Wagner has even crossed the highway, at least not to a significant extent. I have heard only that they got to the highway, control the intersection, and are trying to move towards Vershyna. Nothing about them also going south, let alone that far west
Furthermore, every single Russian source I have seen talking about this power plant area (both east and especially west) specifically mentions the DPR forces being drained of infantry and struggling to find enough men to attack Kodema and Novoluhanske.
I could be wrong about this, maybe I missed some vital information, but I am running on the best information I have available. If you think I am wrong, send me some info about Wagner attacking this far west.
Speaking of Wagner, just a tad north of this power plant area there is the town of Klynove. Wagner is trying to push towards Vesela Dolyna from here, but they are under constant heavy Ukrainian artillery fire and they are being forced to fight through 8+ year old entrenchments.
I have not heard any news about them crossing the highway in their attempt to reach Vesela Dolyna. In fact, on the contrary, I have heard that Wagner is digging in and building defenses in Klynove.
South of Donetsk: I have pulled back the Ukrainian line of control from the Blahodatne area and created some more gray area. I also pulled Russian control away from Mykilske and created gray area there.
I have very little news about this area, and frankly I think there are exceptionally few forces on either side. The forces that exist I believe are concentrated in Pavlivka and Yehorivka. And those two areas at the only settlements here that I have any confidence in mapping.
South of Kryvyi Rih and north of Kherson, near Zelenodolsk: I made a more coherent area of Ukrainian control near Olhyne and Vysokopillya. I believe Ukraine will attack and capture these towns soon. Well, Vysokopillya is almost totally destroyed, but.. you know..
I also updated these areas around Kharkiv. Beyond these changes, I really have no interesting news to share. It is just Russia attacking the same places with the same results. You can read my update from yesterday or the day before that or the day before that and its all the same
I forgot to add this part: Today I read a report that many Russian defensive positions on the eastern side of the Zaporizhzhia front consist of fewer than 100 infantry and a single artillery battery.
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The Kharkiv area (I'm including the version of the map nobody likes because I think it is easier to understand): Putin has ordered the Russian army to capture all of Kharkiv Oblast. Russia also fired a lot of missiles into Kharkiv, targeting both industrial and residential areas.
There is talk that Russia captured Dementiivka (1), but the geolocated videos I have seen are more or less in territory I knew Russia already controlled. Nevertheless, I have changed the town to gray area.
Kinda a halfassed daily update today because I'm busy with other stuff. If you would like to view the map, here is the link: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
I spent a bunch of time today trying to find where artillery is landing around Kharkiv. Just in the front lines, I ignored the city and the more rear areas. There were some areas that had, ahem, clouds. So.
I did the same around the Slovyansk area. All the areas that didn't have clouds, anyway. Russia is trying to establish total control over Bohorodychne, but they have been unable to achieve this.
The Kharkiv area: Russians are reportedly losing the will to fight, they claim they have been sent on the exact identical missions for days/weeks without success and they are sick of falling into the same traps over and over again. Their offense has halted and their morale is low
The Slovyansk area: Russian forces are close to Kurulka (1), their attack today was repelled. I'm trying to find more reliable info.
I have very little news today. The Kharkiv area: Lots of artillery fire. Ukraine used artillery combined with helicopters to attack Kozacha Lopan, Tsupivka, and Velyki Prokhody. Russians tried to attack Dementiivka and were repelled (1).
Russians claim they destroyed a Ukrainian recon element that pushed out of Dementiivka (2). They claim to have killed 5 and captured 10.
The Kharkiv area: Today Russia launch missile attacks into Kharkiv, in addition to launching MLRS and tube artillery into the city and most of the surrounding areas. Russians have been targeting both civilians (mostly) and military targets.
Russians are trying to push in the direction of Svitlychne (1), but they are getting hammered by Ukrainian artillery along the way. They are also trying to dislodge Ukraine from Dementiivka (2) but their attacks are routinely repelled.