People on here still repeat the nonsense that russia's Tornado-S is a better system than M142 HIMARS... based on the two system's @Wikipedia articles...

1) All russian weapon stats are lies.
2) All russian weapon stats are lies.
3) All russian weapon stats are lies.

1/4 ImageImage
I will use an example with random numbers to give you an idea how russian military weapon stats come to be:

1) russia's defense industry comes up with a new weapon system - real range: 80 km, real accuracy: can hit a football field 50% of the time.
2) they report this to the
2/4
Kremlin as: range: 100 km, accuracy: can hit a football field penalty area 80% of the time.
3) Kremlin releases that as: range: 120 km, accuracy: can hit a football field goal area 100% of the time.
4) russian propaganda news then turns this into: range: 160 km,

3/4
accuracy: will score a goal 120% of the time.

And then the russian propaganda nonsense becomes the source for the weapon's stats on wikipedia... and because it is on wikipedia people believe it as being true.

Again: all russian weapon stats are lies.

4/4

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More from @noclador

Jul 15
The F-15C is a pure air-superiority fighter... can do nothing else.

On 27 April 2022 the last of the 24 F-15C of the 493rd Fighter Squadron at RAF Lakenheath were sent back to the US to replace the oldest fighters in the six Air National Guard squadrons flying the F-15C.

1/5
The US Air Force doesn't publish its fighter inventory, but the assumption is that ~ 235 F-15C/D remain in flying condition:

• 6 ANG squadrons with 144 fighters
• 2 PACAF squadrons with 48 fighters in Japan
• some F-15 at the 85th & the 419th Test & Evaluation squadrons

2/5
• and some with the 550th Fighter Squadron, which is the F-15C/D training squadron

So far only one F-15EX, which will replace the F-15C/D, has been delivered. So I doubt Ukraine can pry even one F-15C or F-15D out of the US Air Force.

As for the F-15E: the USAF bought 236
3/5
Read 5 tweets
Jul 13
The A-10 Thunderbolt II is a one-trick pony that is of no use to Ukraine:

• can the A-10 fly Combat Air Patrols (CAP)? No.
• can the A-10 Suppress Enemy Air Defenses (SEAD)? No.
• can the A-10 do Close Air Support (CAS)? Yes.

The F-16 can do all three and do them better.
1/n Image
The F-16 can mount six AIM-120C-7 or six AIM-120D AMRAAM beyond-visual-range air-to-air missiles (BVRAAM). The A-10 can mount none, because it doesn't even have a radar.

Photo: a F-16C Block 40, which uses the AN/APG-68(V)5 radar, departs with six AIM-120C-7 for a CAP.
2/n Image
The F-16 can mount two AGM-88E AARGM air-to-surface anti-radiation missiles with a AN/ASQ-213 HTS pod to find and strike enemy air defenses. The A-10 can't.

Photo: two F-16CJ Block 52 with a full SEAD load on patrol.
3/n Image
Read 10 tweets
Jul 11
Let's talk complexity.

A thread about the F-16 🧵

The F-16 is a capable fighter, which is in service with 11 NATO air forces (Norway retired theirs this January). It's the fighter Ukraine will most likely receive from the US.

1/n Image
I explained why it will be the F-16 in a short 1 April thread.

I am all for giving Ukraine 80-90 F-16, as it is a far better fighter than the junk russia has.
However Ukrainian Su-27 or Mig-29 pilots can not master a F-16 in a few weeks.

2/n

First let's talk air bases: the moment Ukraine lands F-16 at its air bases, russia will hammer these bases with cruise and ballistic missiles.
So before a F-16 can fly to Ukraine, each air base needs a Patriot air defense battery to protect it from russian attacks.

3/n Image
Read 29 tweets
Jul 10
I created graphics of current @USArmy divisions and the future WAYPOINT 2028 division.

First up the current and future light division. The @10MTNDIV (10th Mountain) will likely be the first division to be reorganized like this.

1/n ImageImage
Next the @82ndABNDiv and @101stAASLTDIV, which are currently organized like light divisions. Both divisions will slightly differ from standard light divisions under WAYPOINT 2028.

2/n ImageImage
Current heavy division and future heavy division organization - my guess is that the @FightingFirst will receive a Stryker brigade from the @4thInfDiv, and the 4th Infantry will receive an armored brigade from the @1stCavalryDiv, which in turn will gobble up the @3dUSCAV.

3/n ImageImage
Read 11 tweets
Jul 6
The sound of russian ammo blowing up in Donetsk.

What does this mean for russian logistics?
A thread 🧵:

Since 2014-15 russia built dozens of ammo dumps hidden in civilian buildings near railway stations in the parts of Ukraine it occupies.

1/n

russian logistics depots are always close to railways as russia's military has a serious lack of logistic units, especially transport units.

This is compounded by russia's military being corrupt and technologically backwards, even eschewing things like forklifts or cranes.

2/n
So russian supplies and ammo are loaded by hand onto trains, transported towards the front, unloaded there by hand, loaded onto trucks by hand, and then driven to the frontline units, where it is unloaded again by hand.

It's time consuming. No other army is so backwards.

3/n
Read 26 tweets
Jul 1
First we saw that Ukrainian PzH 2000 crews don't use the automatic magazine.
Now we see that AHS Krab crews also don't use the automatic magazine, but lift each projectile by hand into the autoloader.

Why? I have a theory - and it tells us a lot about Ukraine's situation.

1/n ImageImage
The PzH 2000 has a fully automated magazine with 60 projectiles, which are automatically placed into the autoloader. The autoloader loads and rams the projectiles into the barrel and the automatic primer magazine loads the primer.
All this allows for a high rate of fire.

2/n
The AHS Krab uses a modernized British AS-90 turret, so I will use an AS-90 video to explain the Krab's loading process.
The AS-90 has a fully automatic magazine with 48 projectiles. The selected projectiles are moved to the magazine's center and a crew member then uses a

3/n
Read 22 tweets

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