Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Jul 26, 2022 15 tweets 6 min read Read on X
My daily update! #ukrdailyupdate
It is late because I got distracted (I actually finished it like 6 hours ago!)

If you would like to join the 250,000 people who have viewed the map, here is the link: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
The Kharkiv area: Russia attempted to attack Dementiivka from the north west today, and it ended with their assault group taking significant losses (1). They also pushed a recon team into Borshchova (2).
South east of Kharkiv, in Chuhuiv Russians bombed a theatre where people were hiding in the basement in a bomb shelter.
The Slovyansk area: Russians were defeated in yet another attack on Bohorodychne (3).
Here you can see what happens to Russians in Bohorodychne.
In the Siversk area: Russia finally captured Berestove, which Ukraine had abandoned days ago. They then pushed an attack up from Berestove towards Ivano-Darivka (6) and down from Verkhnokamyanka towards Ivano-Darivka (4). Both attacks were repelled.
Russia also tried to push through the final defenses of Spirne (5), and were repelled.
The Bakhmut area: Russia has shifted their focus from failing to attack Soledar to attacking Bakhmutske (7). Fighting is ongoing. The Wagner terrorist mercenaries are attacking Pokrovske from the south (9) and east (8) and they are making small but steady progress.
The Wagner mercenaries have established a strong foothold in the southern portion of Pokrovske, and about half of the town is now contested. This is the heaviest fighting currently going on in Ukraine.
The Vuhlehirsk area: This area has a lot going on, and some of the descriptions of the fighting are confusing. From what I can tell, Ukraine has lost all of the areas on the east of the power plant (11,12). And they have lost some parts of the plant itself (10).
However, they retain overall control over the plant, for the time being.

In Novoluhanske, there are many conflicting reports. Some say Ukraine still holds the entire town, others say they are withdrawing or possibly have fully withdrawn.
I do not know how to interpret that situation, so for the moment I have labelled Novoluhanske as contested. Russia is attacking Novoluhanske (13,14), and personally I think it is likely they will have full control over this town and the power plant in the next few days.
I do not have any particular news from the battles going on in any other part of the battlefield. There is a news blackout in Kherson, and not very much seemed to have happened in the southern part of the Donetsk oblast or in Zaporizhzhe oblast. At least beyond shelling.
I do have one completely bizarre piece of news. It is so bizarre I tend to believe it cannot possibly be true. There are rumors that Russia is building a pontoon bridge directly underneath the Antonovskiy Bridge. This is weird to a point where I'm lost for words.

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More from @AndrewPerpetua

Mar 19
Here are losses for February.

First, the total losses by category. You see significantly more losses for Russia than for Ukraine. This is the first month where Rubicon played a significant part of the Ukrainian losses. Image
Roughly 17% of Ukraine's losses in the month of February were from Rubicon (328 out of 1965). Primarily in Kursk.
Here you can see Tank, Infantry Fighting Vehicle, Armored Personnel Carrier, and MRAP losses by day through the month. Note that Russia uses few MRAPs. Image
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Read 7 tweets
Mar 6
While Trump’s team spreads defeatism and tries to blackmail Ukraine into surrender, Ukrainian soldiers on the battlefield remain unimpressed by the proclamations coming out of Washington Oblast.

Their actions speak louder than words.
In recent days, Ukraine has:

Recaptured Kotlyne
Liberated Pischane
Pushed into Shevchenko

These gains prove two critical points.
🔹 First: Ukraine still has the ability to seize the initiative.

Despite immense challenges, its military can concentrate forces, execute counterattacks, and maintain operational momentum—suggesting it retains significant reserves.

If the West falters, Ukraine can continue fighting until Russia collapses. Slowly trading land against Russian offensive potentials.

If the West finds its backbone, Ukraine can decisively defeat Russia and end the war on just terms.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 13
Europe could have invested 1-2 hundred billion dollars over the past 3 years, but instead they will have to invest 3-5 trillion over the next 20. I’ve talked about this many times in the past. The politicians made very unwise decisions because they were afraid.
Should have gone 100% all in on making Ukraine win from day 1. Full on everything. It would have fixed every problem. Countries still aren’t even doing this. Every single day you delay will cost you 100 or 1000 times more over the next few years.
You thought it cost too much to squeeze 20-30 billion dollars into your budget for 5 years. Imagine having to fit in 500 billion.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 7
There is absolutely no reason for Ukraine to negotiate with Russia, at all, for any reason, in the year 2025. Any negotiations should start in mid 2026, when the Russian economy has imploded, their deficits are blasting off to the moon, and Russia can no longer fight.
Every country should be looking at the situation like this: we only have to get ukraine through the next 12-18 months. We need to throw in the money, weapons, and ammo available now to make this happen. This is not a forever war. There is 1 year left. We are 75% done.
Russia will have absolutely no ability to wage war in the year 2027. Zero ability. Bringing the war into 2027 should be the threat to Russia. If we supply Ukraine through to that time period, Russia risks absolute implosion.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 5
This little bulldozer effectively negated the impact of the russian airforce on the Ukrainian supply lines south of Kostyantynopil. Russians were dropping tremendous numbers of bombs in an attempt to destroy the bridges, and this little guy is out here rebuilding them and getting rid of craters. It took a solid hit from a FPV Drone, but the driver wasn't there when it happened. Little guy denied the impact of the airforce for a few thousand dollars. This is why Engineering fundraisers are vital.Image
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Here you can see some of the airstrikes.
Also, it takes a significant amount of bravery to go out there on a bulldozer and fix these damaged bridges. You are very exposed. And, hopefully, the bulldozer is reliable because you don't want to be messing around out there.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 1
Russians will tell you they want peace.

They do not.

The Russian government believes peace is submitting to their will and becoming a slave. And any slave who disobeys must be destroyed.

Russians do not want peace. They want to rule.

The Russian government must be destroyed Image
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this is what their so called peace looks like Image
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Read 7 tweets

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