My daily update! #ukrdailyupdate
It is late because I got distracted (I actually finished it like 6 hours ago!)
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The Kharkiv area: Russia attempted to attack Dementiivka from the north west today, and it ended with their assault group taking significant losses (1). They also pushed a recon team into Borshchova (2).
South east of Kharkiv, in Chuhuiv Russians bombed a theatre where people were hiding in the basement in a bomb shelter.
The Slovyansk area: Russians were defeated in yet another attack on Bohorodychne (3).
Here you can see what happens to Russians in Bohorodychne.
In the Siversk area: Russia finally captured Berestove, which Ukraine had abandoned days ago. They then pushed an attack up from Berestove towards Ivano-Darivka (6) and down from Verkhnokamyanka towards Ivano-Darivka (4). Both attacks were repelled.
Russia also tried to push through the final defenses of Spirne (5), and were repelled.
The Bakhmut area: Russia has shifted their focus from failing to attack Soledar to attacking Bakhmutske (7). Fighting is ongoing. The Wagner terrorist mercenaries are attacking Pokrovske from the south (9) and east (8) and they are making small but steady progress.
The Wagner mercenaries have established a strong foothold in the southern portion of Pokrovske, and about half of the town is now contested. This is the heaviest fighting currently going on in Ukraine.
The Vuhlehirsk area: This area has a lot going on, and some of the descriptions of the fighting are confusing. From what I can tell, Ukraine has lost all of the areas on the east of the power plant (11,12). And they have lost some parts of the plant itself (10).
However, they retain overall control over the plant, for the time being.
In Novoluhanske, there are many conflicting reports. Some say Ukraine still holds the entire town, others say they are withdrawing or possibly have fully withdrawn.
I do not know how to interpret that situation, so for the moment I have labelled Novoluhanske as contested. Russia is attacking Novoluhanske (13,14), and personally I think it is likely they will have full control over this town and the power plant in the next few days.
I do not have any particular news from the battles going on in any other part of the battlefield. There is a news blackout in Kherson, and not very much seemed to have happened in the southern part of the Donetsk oblast or in Zaporizhzhe oblast. At least beyond shelling.
I do have one completely bizarre piece of news. It is so bizarre I tend to believe it cannot possibly be true. There are rumors that Russia is building a pontoon bridge directly underneath the Antonovskiy Bridge. This is weird to a point where I'm lost for words.
The Russians claim they shoot down Ukrainian aircraft the moment the missile leaves the tube, but we're supposed to believe they shot down two Black Hawks on Tuesday and only announced it after Ukraine leaked Black Hawk footage on Friday. These Black Hawks join the 650 F-16s and 450,000 M777s Russia has 'destroyed.'
GUYS. I AM GOING TO POST A VIDEO WHERE I WILL BLUR THE UNIT LOGOS TO SHIT SO NOBODY CAN TELL I STOLE THE VIDEOS FROM THE ARCHIVE AND THEN POST IT TO THE INTERNET SAYING I KILLED ALL THE SPECIAL FORCES
And then media outlets and super smart think tank people all over the world will believe me for some reason and then everyone will be like omg all the special forces died.
Guys I took my division and charged them into combat and while we lost 50% of our armored vehicles and 45% of our infantry are dead, and several of our HQs were destroyed and most of our best officers are dead, we captured a village where 200 once lived so we’re winning the war.
Tomorrow we will send our next division to assault the next village. That one had a population of 1200. Its actually considered a huge city, when you think about it. If we can capture that, we will send our third division to capture the hamlet behind it.
I wrote 2 years ago about why I was worried about Molniya drones. They are long range and capable of very large warheads. For whatever reason they were oddly scarce for a while, but they have become very common items on the battlefield and exactly everything I feared.
They can destroy a house in a single hit. Even small concrete buildings. They can dive straight down into dugouts, fly along trenches and fly into bunkers. They are being used to target infantry now, too. Russia clearly has a lot of them and are using them to destroy things that used to require helicopters.
They cost around $1000 each, roughly 2x a base level drone or roughly the same price as a higher end fpv drone. But they can carry a 6-7kg bomb and can fly over 40km.
The United States government is built on the concept that Congressmen will have the swagger to take pride in their station. The government hinges on congress enforcing their will upon others. They are supposed to be arrogant sons of bitches who look down on others.
The moment you have a congress that is unwilling or incapable of being arrogant, condescending assholes and you instead have weak placating losers, the whole foundation of the government crumbles. The supreme arrogance of congress is what lets them reign in power of president.
Right now the US has the weakest congress in its history. A bunch of spineless losers who are incapable of even having independent thought. They are owned entirely by others, especially the republican party who bows to a president. Imagine, a CONGRESSMEN bowing to a PRESIDENT.
A few areas where I have been focusing on geoing strikes on Russians positions lately have been interesting in that only a very tiny number of Russians are defending. In one area in particular, the video showed a drone scan a series of trenches where only four Russians were spotted. Two killed and two forced to flee. I wonder what is behind those Russians, and whether it is similarly a skeleton crew on defense. Also, these Russians were quite far from Ukrainian positions, so they were not some extremely advanced forward position, they seem to me to be the second and/or third line of defense, which are typically more heavily manned.
When I see video like this, from an area very far from offensive actions, where Russia is purely defending, it makes me wonder how different the war would be if Ukraine had the capacity to attack this location. I feel like if Ukraine were to attack and capture it, many people online would say the area doesn't matter because it is only advancing 1km or blah blah. But advancing 1km is important, because it forces Russians to divert resources away from attacking to defending. Or you will advance a second k, or a third km until such a point that the Russians are forced to defend.
There is an area where Ukraine has been slowly advancing in this manner. Nobody is really talking about it, because it isn't sexy. It doesn't impact any large battles, it isn't a sign of things to come, or anything else. It is just Ukraine taking advantage of Russia failing to adequately defend positions.