Update 🧵July 27h. Visit the interactive map for more details and explanations.
Todays map is presented by the war criminals in the Russian remake of a Bridge Too Far.
Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/2022…
Todays map is presented by the war criminals in the Russian remake of a Bridge Too Far.
Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/2022…
47 Locations of shellings was reported by GSUA today.
GSUA reported RuAF are using pontoon bridges to improve Logistics in the Kharkiv area, I've been trying to figure out where, without success.
Ru cannon fodder are sacrificing them selves for the Kremlin Bunker Führer without success in the following areas:
Verkhn'okam'yans'ke
Soledar
Semyhirja
Kodema
Verkhn'okam'yans'ke
Soledar
Semyhirja
Kodema
I believe the AFU still holds defensive positions on the high ground around Kodema and Semyhirja.
Ru forces failed to advance on Bilohirka close to Davydiv Brid in Kheson region.
This is my assessment of the road bridges in the Kherson area.
Blue = operational
Yellow = Unfit for for trucks and heavy equipment / Damaged
Red= Not fit for any kind of traffic.
Blue = operational
Yellow = Unfit for for trucks and heavy equipment / Damaged
Red= Not fit for any kind of traffic.
The AFU has possibly isolated (or will do so in the future) the Kherson region from it's supply route and divided it in to two. I assume the two railway connections over the Dnipro will be incapacitated if they aren't already. I did see reports about the southern bridge being hit
This does not mean RuAF are completely isolated.
Any pontoon bridge would probably be targeted by the AFU. They can still use barges, helicopters and boats to transport supplies over the Dnipro. But this process will take more time, and be more vulnerable to attacks by the AFU.
Any pontoon bridge would probably be targeted by the AFU. They can still use barges, helicopters and boats to transport supplies over the Dnipro. But this process will take more time, and be more vulnerable to attacks by the AFU.
When it comes to barges, there are not many areas with good road access on both sides of the river. Down by Kherson city, there is only one, it's right next to the Antonovskiy head.
Looking further up stream we can see better options by Nova Kakhovka. But they will end up on the wrong side of the Inhulets if they want to supply Kherson City area.
My conclusion is, RuAF are not cut off, however their logistics system is going to have to do some problem solving.
This will be even harder when taking HIMARS in to consideration, as they can not stockpile supplies on the south side of the Dnipro.
This will be even harder when taking HIMARS in to consideration, as they can not stockpile supplies on the south side of the Dnipro.
Thinking about how long Mariupol lasted with almost no possibility to get supplies, the Russians might be able to stick around.
However, their motivation is probably not even close to the motivation of the Heroes of Mariupol.
However, their motivation is probably not even close to the motivation of the Heroes of Mariupol.
It was suggested by @secretsqrl123 the AFU are probably trying to communicate with the RU decision makers in the area, trying to convince them their situation is hopeless.
This might include a show of strength by the AFU involving massive firepower concentrated in one area.
This might include a show of strength by the AFU involving massive firepower concentrated in one area.
I think this is likely, I also think hitting the Dar'ivka bridge in a perfect line was a form of communication.
UA are also indication they are trying to do minimal damage to the infrastructure, but at the same time achieve their goals.
UA are also indication they are trying to do minimal damage to the infrastructure, but at the same time achieve their goals.
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1552230607199117313
My mention about Mariupol was not to compare the two scenarios, it was simply to point you can last a long time even if you don't have perfect resupply conditions.
As I have been saying since the first bridge attack, they are sending a message.
https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1552270029898616832
Look for reporters jumping ship, that is how we know the something is about to happen. Here is @sashakots fleeing from Hostomel on 27/3.
He reported they were told to leave for some unknown reason.
He reported they were told to leave for some unknown reason.
Shellings updated to 74
FIRMS Data: 2022-07-27_18:01
Added 192 locations to kml
Filtered 249 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 50 false positives
Added 192 locations to kml
Filtered 249 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 50 false positives
"In the area of the settlement of Pasika, a reconnaissance group tried to expose the positions of our troops. Unsuccessfully. The group is neutralized." - GSUA
Further confirming AFU around Pasika is the fact that the pontoon bridge in Yaremivka has been removed.
Additional info from local rumors hits the RuAF are moving troops away from the area. More about that in yesterdays thread:
Additional info from local rumors hits the RuAF are moving troops away from the area. More about that in yesterdays thread:
https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1551889838953095171
In addition to that, the entire frontline Dmytrivka - Bohorodychne seems to have been mentioned way less in the GSUA reports. That usually indicates less activity, but it could also mean increased AFU activity, and GSUA is keeping a tight lid.
Russian suicide monkeys failed their attacks on Verkhn'okam'yanka and Soledar. Possibly stopped by Gene Modified Super Soldiers of the AFU.
I have extended the RU area of control to Novoluhans'ke and Vuhlehirsʹka. I do not believe the AFU will try to retake these anytime soon.
Orcs smoking again, nothing new.
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1552337036878675968
I totally missed this part.
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1552344742133993473
Here are low res sentinel images of the Yaremivka pontoon crossing.
https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1552351221771558913
The Russian pigdogs seems to have forgotten their loot when leaving the Borova area.
t.me/borova_gromada…
t.me/borova_gromada…
Video 1 from militia attacking Pisky, I believe it is from today, there has been some reports about attacks in that direction. t.me/NeoficialniyBe…
Video 2
What I really like about this video, is they provided me with a list of units on this part of the front line. Area shelled in purple.
What looks like Rosgvardiya moving south on the border of Crimea. Possibly securing the loot before it's too late.
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