Thread by @nicholas6284

In the game of attrition, the fascist is losing decisively.
The population is resilient against atrocities.
PDFs arent paid. Fully voluntary. Growing everyday.
While the regime suffer daily losses. Running out of money. Losing control. 1/
#MyanmarRevolution

Yet, still hv to offer rewards and benefits to entice its followers. Have to run large logistics network to constantly supply its ever stretching frontlines. Economy tanked, revenue tanked to support long term war. 2/

Like i mentioned many times before, fascist sit-tat still looks cohesive due to its perceived formability, i.e "we never lose before".
That's what they believe. Thats why many soldiers and officers choose not to surrender in mass. 3/

To maintain that composure, sit-tat cannot afford to lose cities, bases or regions. The moment they lose, the moment that composure is lost, then sit-tat is a lost cause. Remember Afghanistan. It crumbles in days. Its about pushing to tipping point. 4/

What is that tipping point?
1) economic
SAC run out of money, unable to pay its troops, buy arms, buy raw materials.
2) military
Sit-tat lose decisive battle. Not just an outpost or two. Maybe an entire convoy destoryed. Regional HQ seized. Lost artillery. Lost airforce. 5/

3) internal
Creeping lost of men on the fronts will take significant toll on its morale and families.
Military families live side by side in the camps. If there's significant losses of men, ppl will get grumpy. News will spread like wildfire.
Until some decide enough is enough.6/

All these scenarios can happen anytime now. Or maybe all at once.
I am hoping fascist regime wont last till the end of year.
Of course, if the intl community helped, it could be even faster. 7/