New paper out today in @PLOSONE

With @DrCorlin & Amanda Sullivan, we tried to answer the question “how much epidemiological research published in medical journals actually includes epidemiological expertise?”

The answer was more hopeful than I expected!

journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…
What did we do?

First, we selected 15 top journals (based on Scimago rankings) from the categories “epidemiology”, “general medicine”, and “specialty medicine” (5 in each)

For each one, we randomly chose 3 issues from 2000 & 3 from 2010, plus the first available issue in 2020.
Next, we (and by “we” I mean Amanda who did the data collection!) compiled a list of first, last, & corresponding authors of all original research articles in the selected issues.
We wanted to know what they knew, so instead of trying to figure it out from CVs, we asked them—we sent them a description of our study & a link to complete consent & answer a survey.

All-in-all, Amanda contacted the authors of 1240 journal articles!
Sometimes we couldnt reach the corresponding author, so we reached out to the first or last author (whichever wasnt corresponding). But we tried lots of google-sleuthing first, to see if there was any way we could reach those whose emails bounced.
Now, here’s our first big caveat: authors of older articles were harder to find contact info for, but even for more recent research, our response rates were kinda low 😔😔 Figure 1 from the article l...
Also, knowing #epitwitter as well as I do, I wouldnt be surprised in epidemiologists are over-represented in our respondents!

Y’all know we love to help people get complete data!!
With that caveat, here’s what we asked them.

We started with some questions about themselves — asking them to recall the time the paper in question was written. This included age, gender, education level & degrees, country of training.
We also asked them to recall:

“had you ever received formal training in epidemiology? (select any: at least a full semester of an undergraduate-level course, at least a full semester of a graduate-level course, a workshop, an online class, training in another place, no unsure)”
We asked the same question a second time about their biostatistics training since epi and biostats share a lot of overlap!

(We maybe should have asked a third more general stats question, because some added other stats background in the free text space)
Anyone who hadnt had training, was unsure about training, or didnt answer those questions was asked the follow-up qs:

“As of the time your paper was published, would you have benefited from formal training (at least a full semester course) in epidemiology [biostatistics]?”
Everyone was then asked to rate their confidence in their own epidemiological & biostatistical skills (at the time the paper was written) in applying the methods required in the paper: not at all, not very, somewhat, very, or extremely confident
Next, we asked survey respondents to tell us about their team members, including co-authors’ training, role, and abilities.

Specifically, whether they had a epi or biostats coauthor, or a coauthor with some epi/biostats training. We also asked about clinical coauthors.
Then we asked them to rank how confident they felt in their coauthors’ abilities to apply the epi / biostat methods in the paper, and whether they’d had anyone with epi / biostat expertise review the methods.
So that’s what we did. Now what did we find?

Lots of interdisciplinary collaboration!! But with kinda weird fluctuations over time—there’s definitely more work to be done on this topic! Figure 3 of the paper linke...
It was a bit of a surprise to find that papers in epidemiology journals had fewer interdisciplinary teams, but this may also be because not all epi papers are clinical and we didnt ask about non-clincial, non-epi/biostat collabs.
We also took a look at how things varied by age & gender of the corresponding author

Key differences:
•younger corresponding authors had more recent training (not surprising!)
•female corresponding authors were more common over time & more common in epi journals Figure 2 of the article lin...
We started this project because of complaints about the quality of epi & biostats methods in clinical papers.

Methodologists often lament that too much work is published without an expert. I thought so too!

But I’d never actually seen any data on this—so we got some!
And this paper provides a reason to hope!

Yes, we may have ended up with a sample of the most epidemiologically-minded authors, so this may be an over-estimate. But the collaboration numbers were fantastically high in the respondent group! Thats some good news!
The specialty clinical journals were worryingly a bit less likely to have epi or biostat collaborators, and this might suggest the need for more targeted out-reach. But even those authors reported quite a lot of collaboration!
There’s more details in the paper & I might be biased but I think it’s a fun read.

Here’s the link again. Go check it out!

journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…

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More from @EpiEllie

Jul 31
I’ve noticed that Americans dont really believe in the concept of prevention.

When good advice leads to NO disaster, people think they’ve been fooled rather than that the disaster was averted.

People worry about the Boy Who Cried Wolf, but IMO they get the moral all wrong.

1/
For those who don’t know, The Boy Who Cried Wolf is a short tale (fable) about a bored little shepherd boy who cries out about fake wolves, brings the villagers running to help, and then laughs at their supposed foolishness in being duped.
But when the wolf does finally appear, the boy calls for help and no one comes because they’ve learned he’s a liar.

On realizing he’s not back for the night, they traipse up to his pastures & discover that his flock is scattered, scared by the wolf, & the boy is sobbing.
Read 15 tweets
Jul 29
People in my mentions complaining fridges aren’t anything like masks because “fridges are harmless” and oh boy do I have news for them 😆

They’ve got it backwards: Masks aren’t going to suffocate you. But fridges might!

Come down an internet rabbit hole about fridges with me
“refrigerator death” has a whole wikipedia page

This is when you get trapped in a fridge & suffocate because they are air-tight. Modern fridges have safety mechanisms but maybe just dont get inside one?
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Refrigera…
As recently as last year, a family’s fridge up and exploded on them. Yikes! nbcdfw.com/news/nbc-5-res…
Read 10 tweets
Jul 28
Apparently even the President has fallen for the grift that public health = “living with fear”

So, a thread of all* the other ways you spend your days quaking with fear, aka living life to the fullest free from worry about preventable disease & disability.
__
*not actually all
You have a smoke detector in your home, probably 2 or more, & likely even a CO2 monitor, but you only think about them to soundly curse them when their battery dies in the middle of the night.

Your workplace also has detectors & maybe even sprinklers. You never notice.
Your home also has a refrigerator & you store perishable food in there. In the US & Canada, that includes eggs.

It also stores the milk you bought at the grocery store which has been pasteurized to remove bacteria.
Read 20 tweets
Jul 16
Sorry to inform you but 70% of you are very probably overconfident about your understanding of the word “pandemic”.

Yes, pan- = all + -demos = people, so superficially its a ‘disease outbreak thats everywhere’. But that an etymology, not a meaning. The truth is so much messier!
i was gonna write a thread for you this morning, but my coffee is taking it’s sweet time to turn on my brain, so you’re gonna have to wait on the thread. Sorry not sorry.

But let me give you some things to think about while you wait.

Check out the next set of polls:
How many pandemics do you think have happened in the past 50 years?
Read 12 tweets
Jul 11
I’m seeing a debate #onhere about whether or not Indigenous ways of knowing are also “science”.

I absolutely defer to Indigenous people & scholars on that, but I also think it’s important we remember that science itself is only one way of knowing among many, not ultimate truth.
I’m a scientist & obvi think science is a useful & important knowledge framework but it’s not the only useful & important one!

There’s so much more to know than the raw facts about the world science helps us learn. Art & music & literature & poetry are also ways of knowing.
Science shouldn’t have a monopoly on knowledge generation because there are so many things science can’t tell us.

We’ve put science on such a high pedestal that we’ve forgotten that it’s just a tool and not an end goal.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 9
THINK LIKE AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST

In light of some of the frantic tweets from others this week, a terminology reminder:

R0 means the expected average number of secondary infections resulting from the introduction of one infected person into an *entirely* susceptible population.
Our communities are full of people who have had vaccines & boosters & prior COVID infections. All those things mean we are NOT “entirely susceptible” to any omicron subvariant.

R0 is not the relevant number for Omicron.
Another number, Re (the effective reproductive number), describes the expected average number of secondary infections from one infected person in a *given* population at a given time with a given susceptibility profile.

This number changes so often that we sometimes call it Rt.
Read 21 tweets

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