Thread by @yarko

Russian reports about the "Ukrainian drone attack" on Sevastopol is most likely a false-flag operation performed by the Russians. Here's the tread explaining why 🧵

Firstly, you need to know that Sevastopol port is kinda a big deal for the Russian fleet. It's been glorified and praised for ages to create an artificial myth about the 'undefeatable Russian fleet' and similar narratives.

So, the annual parade for the Russian Fleet Day is a big thing in the occupied Crimea, being swarmed by ethnic Russians from the mainland after the occupation in 2014.

But a parade is all about celebration. And what Russian Black Fleet can be proud of? They've lost the flagman ship Moskva, and a few smaller ones, Zmiinyi Island, dozens of sailors are missing. And it's only in a few months. Not much for a party, huh?

Keep in mind that Russian authorities always prioritize a TV picture over actual reality. Canceling the expectedly weak parade in Sevastopol, they made the Baltic Fleet parade near St Petersburg a number one and only star. And we know the power of TV over the Russian minds

The parade itself was canceled ten days ago, on July 21. They kept only a few minor celebrations across the town. But now, there's no place to discuss and compare the Russian fleet "now" and "before Feb 24" at all. Because there are only losses for Russia

Another outcome of the alleged Sevastopol attack for the Russians – to shift media stories from killing over 50 Ukrainian prisoners of war in Olenivka, protected by the international pacts signed by Russia.

And last but not the least, when Ukrainians target Russian fleet infrastructure – we are strong and precise. Remember "Moskva", "Saratov", and Russian forces on Zmiinyi island, among other examples.

There's insignificant political or military gain in attacking the Russian fleet command center with a "self-made drone," as they report. Honestly, I don't see a point in wasting even a lousy drone if it won't eliminate the invaders.

I won't be amazed when my assumptions that it is Russians to blame for the attack on Russians will come true later. Because Russian authorities care about the lives of Russian citizens/military even less than we do. At least, Ukrainian Armed Forces never target Russian civilians