Mina Al-Lami Profile picture
Aug 2 11 tweets 2 min read
Quick 🧵on jihadist reactions to #Zawahiri's death: Online supporters of al-Qaeda, including heavyweight clerics, have mourned the "martyrdom" of al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri, seeming to largely accept US announcement of 1 Aug that he was killed in a drone strike in Kabul /1
Al-Qaeda itself, however, has yet to officially comment on the subject /2
It is not yet clear who will succeed al-Zawahiri - a matter supporters have not yet been observed to discuss publicly. His only publicly-known deputy, Sayf al-Adl, is reportedly living in Iran, possibly under movement and security restrictions, according to jihadist accounts /3
On the messaging app Telegram and on Twitter, jihadist and Islamist writers showered praise and poetry on al-Zawahiri, referring to him as a "martyr" and paying tribute to his long jihadist history. Some cast doubt about the news or urged caution, but they were few /4
Meanwhile, supporters of al-Qaeda's jihadist rival, Islamic State group (IS), have been gloating about al-Zawahiri's death, referring to him disparagingly /5
They have also been using his reported killing in Kabul as "evidence" of the "treachery" of the Taliban, another staunch IS rival, and alleging collusion with the US in the killing. Some argued that the Afghan rulers must have been involved in or privy to the US operation /6
The Taliban have condemned the US air strike in Kabul, saying it was a violation, but without naming the high-profile target. News of the killing of al-Zawahiri in Kabul will be very uncomfortable for the Taliban, to say the least /7
Many jihadists, especially hardliners, will be looking to the Taliban with suspicion, wondering if it had a hand in the operation, even if some will not publicly voice their concerns /8
It will also be difficult for the Taliban to justify to the international community why one of the world's most wanted jihadist leaders was hiding, apparently in plain sight, in the their own backyard /9
The Afghan rulers had promised not to allow jihadists to use Afghan soil to plot attacks against the US and its allies, but I don't think they had promised to never give them shelter /10
Now Biden has under his belt the elimination, in under 6 months, the two most wanted jihadist leaders: IS leader Abu Ibrahim Al-Hashimi Al-Qurashi in Syria in Feb 2022, and now al-Qaeda leader Al-Zawahiri in Afghanistan 30/31 Jul

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More from @Minalami

Jul 15
mini 🧵Latest al-Zawahiri message, as part of a longstanding series, does not offer anything specifically new or hugely interesting, but it does show the jihadist leader has humour /1 👇
As part of his talk about leadership succession in the Islamic system, which he says must not be inherited and must go to the most qualified candidate, al-Zawahiri takes a detour and appears to indirectly take aim at al-Qaeda's staunch rival, IS /2
Referring to the "retirees of the Baath party”, he attacks their system of succession, saying Islam does not recognise giving bay’ah (pledge of allegiance) to “Abu al-Unknown” and “Abu al-Masked” and “Abu al-Hiding”, “whose background we know nothing about” /3
Read 5 tweets
Jul 7
🧵Our latest BBC Monitoring analysis looks at IS calls during June for hijra (migration) to Africa, where the group may be trying to rebuild its "caliphate" project, formerly centred on the Middle East /1
This explicit call for recruitment in Africa last month coincided with the 8th anniversary of the declaration of IS’s "caliphate" in Iraq & Syria. In its recent messaging, IS drew parallels between its purported influence in Africa and its presence in Syria & Iraq after 2014 /2
The group has been gradually building its influence on the continent since 2019 - around the time it lost the last vestiges of its Middle Eastern territory - to the extent that its African branches are now among its most potent in terms of attack frequency and impact /3
Read 6 tweets
Jun 18
🧵Breaking: ISIS has claimed responsibility for the 18 June attack on a Sikh temple, or Gurdwara, in the Afghan capital Kabul, saying it was to avenge Prophet Muhammad following remarks made by Indian politicians about the Muslim prophet /1
IS identified the attacker by the nom de guerre "Abu Muhammed al-Tajiki" and released a picture of him.
Said he was armed with a gun & hand grenades and that he opened fire at "Hindu and Sikh worshipers", allegedly killing or wounding 30 /2
IS said its militants used explosives and a car-bomb to obstruct and target Taliban security forces that arrived at the scene of the attack, allegedly causing 20 "deaths and injuries" in the ranks of the Taliban /3
Read 13 tweets
Jun 17
IS appears to have claimed its first attack in the northern Mozambican province of Nampula, to the south of Cabo Delgado where IS normally operates. IS claimed it attacked a Christian village in the Memba district /1
IS granted its Mozambique branch independent status in May. It’s since carried out attacks in areas of Cabo Delgado it had not previously targeted, namely Ancuabe and Chiure, both in the southern parts of the province. These attacks have so far mostly targeted "Christians" /2
Yesterday IS said it was behind 8 Jun attack on an Australian graphite mining project in Ancuabe, where there are international projects, saying it killed two guards. IS boasted its attacks caused another foreign solar project in Ancuabe to suspend its operation /3
Read 5 tweets
Jun 15
The latest message from al-Qaeda leader al-Zawahiri sees him lament the state of the jihadist movement today, saying there’s a shortage of role models, educators and truly sincere figures. Sounds downbeat /1
He rails against sell-outs and opportunists and those who break their pledges of allegiance, in a likely dig at IS and HTS, both of whom at some point in history were linked to al-Qaeda through a pledge of allegiance where al-Zawahiri was their ultimate emir. Both broke ties /2
Al-Zawahiri criticises those who compromise on Sharia principles, and fail to implement Sharia, for worldly gains. While this can been seen as an implicit dig at HTS and Islamist groups in Arab world that rose to power, it's unclear if it also extents to the Taliban /3
Read 5 tweets
Jun 15
🧵In its latest video, IS' West Africa Province (ISWAP) flaunts its religious outreach activities, presumably in NE Nigeria, showing its hisbah (religious police) and zakat (alms) teams in action, to show off "governance" capabilities, despite those being clearly limited /1
Shows IS preachers delivering lectures to locals, including many children, in unidentified rural areas, and religious events with quizzes and nashids /2
The key message IS delivers is that as soon as it takes control of territory, no matter where and how small, it rushes to fully implement Sharia. It contrasts this "commitment" with that of its rival in Afghanistan, the Taliban, as well as other jihadist groups /3
Read 8 tweets

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