Thread by @AndrewPerpetua

My daily update! #ukrdailyupdate

The fog of war is getting opaque and harder to understand in many areas of the war.

If you would like to view the map: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

In the Kharkiv area there was a standard exchange of artillery fire, particularly around Sosnivka and Kozacha Lopan. Russia attempted to attack Dementiivka (1) and Bairak (2) but both attacks were repelled.

The Izyum area is getting increasingly confusing as there is little news but hints of changing control over various areas. It is possible that Ukraine has captured both Sulyhivka and Dovhenke. For now I have kept Sulyhivka as a gray area and Dovhenke as under Russian control.

I am not confident about either. Today Ukraine identified a Russian recon group near Dovhenke and drove them away (3). This is a bit odd, and hints towards a possible Ukrainian presence in or around the town. Similarly, Russian recon was driven away from Dolyna (4).

The lack of news from Bohorodychne has pushed me to extend the uncertain area even further north (A) towards Pasika. It is possible that Ukraine controls this entire gray area, perhaps even Pasika.

The entire Siversk area is effectively an ongoing artillery duel. Today, Russia heavily shelled the Verkhnokamyanka town (B), which is rather small and just west of the Verkhnokamyanka oil refinery which is more obviously labeled on the map.

This small town is one of the two remaining strongholds Ukraine holds in the Luhansk Oblast, the other is their remaining foothold in/around Bilohorivka (C) just north.

I have decided to mark these areas as contested rather than in Ukrainian control, but they certainly are not in Russian control.

Russia moved northwest from Berestove and tried to attack Ivano-Darivka from the south (5). This attack was a complete failure and Russia withdrew.

In the Bakhmut area, Russia has taken a bit of land and is attacking settlements from new angles. In Yakovlivka they continue to attack from the south, without success (6). In Soledar, they are now attacking from the east (7), as opposed to the south east, again without success.

Russia appears to have captured Pokrovske and they are now attacking Bakhmut (8) with little success.

Russia is attacking Zaitseve from the north east (9), Kodema from the north east (11), and Semyhirya from the east (12) all without success. They are still attacking Vershyna from the east (10), but the settlement remains contested.

In the Donetsk area, Russia’s significant advantage in artillery is giving them a decisive advantage in their attacks. In Kamyanka, Russian forces are hoping to capture the town but have had no success (13). This town is not a primary focus at the moment.

In Avdiivka, Russia is using thousands of rounds of artillery per day to destroy Ukrainian defenses, particularly in the forested areas to the south east of the town. Ukraine is suffering many casualties. Today the main fighting occurred near the highway south of the town (14).

In Pisky, Russian artillery poured tens of thousands of shells over the past few days, and the Ukrainian defenses have been pulverized. This afternoon Russia claimed to have captured roughly two thirds of the town (15). Ukraine suffered high casualty rates in this town as well.

In Marinka, just south of Pisky, Russia is pouring in a lot of artillery as well, but the assault has not been successful (16).

In the Hulyaipole/Velyka Novosilka area, Russia performed reconnaissance around Novopil (17) and shelled Novodarivka.

In the Zaporizhzhia front, Ukraine is performing a slow and steady attack south towards Dorozhnyanka (18), Nesterianka (19), and Konovalova (20). All Russian attempts to stop these advances have failed.

In the Kherson/Mykoliav/Kryyi Rih area, Ukraine claims to have liberated 7 more towns. It is difficult to read the tea leaves on which towns these could be. Whether they are newly liberated as of today, or ones they liberated long ago and only felt like tabulating today.

I have marked a few possible towns. Oleksandrivka (D), Doslidne (E), Pravdyne (F), Blahodatne (G), Kyselivka (H), Blahodativka (I), Bilohirka (J), Vysokopillya (K), Petrivka (L).

Beyond that, Russia attacked Trudoliubivka and were repelled (21).

Regarding the Ukrainian venture across the Inhulets River, Russian sources say Ukraine has expanded their area of control. A few days ago I read that both Blahodativka and Bilohirka were contested. Russia attacked Bilohirka and Ukraine, supposedly, attacked Blahodativka.

This is why I believe one or both of these towns could be in Ukrainian control at this point. I have no firm evidence so I have not edited my map.

This is all I have for today.

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