Thread by @henryolsenEPPC

Here's tonight's AZ Primary Election Thread! Polls are now closed in the Grand Canyon State.

AZ 1/x

Maricopa (metro PHX) will cast about 60% of all the votes in the GOP primaries. It tends to favor the establishment over the insurgents, so if Masters and Lake win here, it's likely game over for them.

AZ 2/x

Maricopa posts the early vote exactly at 11pm ET. Over 300,000 votes were cast early, but 85k were cast today plus any other mail votes that were dropped off. Those late votes could matter, but the 300k sets the tone.

AZ 3/x

Robson leads Lake by 10% in the Maricopa early vote, which is what she needed to make it a race. Masters leads Lamon by 6%.

AZ 4/x

Robson up by 9% with more counties in, but Pima and Yavapai still out.

Masters up by 5%.

AZ 5/x

In contested House primaries, incumbent David Schweikert leads Elijah Norton with an unimpressive 43% (AZ 1) while businessman and carpetbagger Eli Crane leads state Rep. Walt Blackman by 33-24 (AZ 2). AZ 2 is a Trump seat represented by Democrat Tom O'Halleran.

AZ 6/x

In AZ 4, a sleeper GOP target, Eli Cooper is leading Tanya Contreras Wheeless by 30-25. And Juan Ciscomani, the establishment pick, leads in AZ 6 (open Dem seat) by 16%.

AZ 7/x

Masters lead is down to 3.9% as he is losing his home county, Pima, to Jim Lamon. Taylor Robson leads by 8.9%. Only two counties have not reported their early vote. Don't expect Election Day ballots to be reported quickly!

AZ 8/x

The Election Day votes are breaking heavily for Lake. Unless that pattern stops, it’s only a matter of time before she passes Robson.

The EDay votes do not seem to be breaking heavily in any direction in the Senate race.

AZ 9/x

I checked again and Masters is picking up steam in the E Day vote. His lead is now over 5%.

AZ 10/x