Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Aug 4, 2022 24 tweets 9 min read Read on X
My daily update! #urkdailyupdate

If you would like to view the the map: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
Russia continues to shell the entire Kharkiv area, including the city itself. Russians in Kozacha Lopan are forcibly deporting Ukrainian citizens to Russia using the excuse of possible future Ukrainian attacks. Today Russia launched a failed assault into Dementiivka (1).
Russia has suffered absolutely huge losses attacking Dementiivka over the past few weeks, including losing large numbers of special forces from just about every branch of their armed forces, including brigade deputy commanders and chiefs of staff from the Spetsnaz.
In the Izyum area there have been semi-official statements from Ukraine talking about an ongoing offensive. This doesn’t necessarily represent a change in what is happening on the ground, but rather the confidence of various civilian leaders.
I believe Ukraine is actively attacking several towns at the moment, but I have very little news or facts so I cannot say anything more. Today Russia sent reconnaissance towards Mazanivka (2).
The Siversk area is primarily an ongoing artillery duel. Russia is trying to leverage their capture of Berestove to move west, but yesterday they were crushed trying to attack Ivano-Darivka and today they have been stopped in their tracks trying to move towards Vyimka (3).
The Bakhmut area has a lot of heavy ongoing fighting. Russia is trying to push north into Yakovlivka, but they are making little ground (4). There is heavy ongoing fighting around the Knauf Gips factory in Soledar (5). Russia is trying to attack towards Bakhmut from Pokrovske (6)
Russia has captured Vershyna and they are attacking Zaitseve from the east (7). Russia captured Semihirya and they are now attacking Kodema from the east (9). The attacks on Kodema from the north east (8) and south east (10) were both destroyed by Ukrainian artillery.
It is possible Russia captured Travneve today, but I could not find proof so I have left it contested. Russia may have also captured Bakhmutske (just south of Soledar), but I could not find proof so I did not change the map at all in that area.
In the Donetsk area there is heavy Russian artillery and large Russian assaults. Russia is attacking Krasnohorivka from two angles (11,12), but the attacks were repelled.
Russia is attacking Avdiivka from the south (13,14) but they are primarily focused on heavily bombarding Ukrainian defenses with the hope of turning them to rubble to assist future assaults.
Around Pisky, the Russian attack was halted (15) after Ukrainian reinforcements arrived. The reinforcements reportedly included both infantry and artillery.
In Marinka, Russia appears to have captured a significant amount of ground after extremely heavy shelling (16).
In the Hulyaipole/Velyka Novosilka area, Ukraine launched a small attack south from Neskuchne. I am not sure where they attacked, but I assume it would be Blahodatne (17). It is possible they are attacking Storozheve. It is unknown whether this attack was successful.
Russia attacked north towards Dorozhnyanka and Kostyantynivka (18) and there is ongoing fighting. Russia heavily shelled Kostyantynivka today.
In Zaporizhzhia Russia attacked Nesterianka (19) and towards Shcherbaky (20) and Stepove (21). There is ongoing fighting in all three directions.
Russia is moving a significant amount of equipment from Mariupol to Berdyansk (22).
In Rovzivka (23), Russians forced farmers to store their hay in a public area after forcibly taking their normal storage locations in order to store Russian weapons and vehicles. Today, Russia torched this stored hay.
In the Kherson area, Russian forces banned boats from going on the Dnipro River, apparently in fear of people sabotaging the bridges and barges.
Additionally, there was a weird story regarding Russia deploying Cechens to the left bank of the Dnipro river with the order to “at all costs to prevent an arbitrary abandonment of their positions by Russian servicemen".
This rumor is being spread by the Russians themselves, probably the FSB, with the purpose of telling Russian soldiers that they have no choice but to fight in Kherson. "You can rule by fear or you can rule by love." Basic mafia tactics. Al Capone could at least blame his syphilis
Tonight, Ukrainian forces reportedly fired HIMARS near the rail bridge that crosses the Dnipro river (24).
A Russian attack towards Bilohirka was repelled (25). Ukraine probably controls Bilohirka, but I have kept it contested for now.
See you tomorrow.

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More from @AndrewPerpetua

Feb 7
There is absolutely no reason for Ukraine to negotiate with Russia, at all, for any reason, in the year 2025. Any negotiations should start in mid 2026, when the Russian economy has imploded, their deficits are blasting off to the moon, and Russia can no longer fight.
Every country should be looking at the situation like this: we only have to get ukraine through the next 12-18 months. We need to throw in the money, weapons, and ammo available now to make this happen. This is not a forever war. There is 1 year left. We are 75% done.
Russia will have absolutely no ability to wage war in the year 2027. Zero ability. Bringing the war into 2027 should be the threat to Russia. If we supply Ukraine through to that time period, Russia risks absolute implosion.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 5
This little bulldozer effectively negated the impact of the russian airforce on the Ukrainian supply lines south of Kostyantynopil. Russians were dropping tremendous numbers of bombs in an attempt to destroy the bridges, and this little guy is out here rebuilding them and getting rid of craters. It took a solid hit from a FPV Drone, but the driver wasn't there when it happened. Little guy denied the impact of the airforce for a few thousand dollars. This is why Engineering fundraisers are vital.Image
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Here you can see some of the airstrikes.
Also, it takes a significant amount of bravery to go out there on a bulldozer and fix these damaged bridges. You are very exposed. And, hopefully, the bulldozer is reliable because you don't want to be messing around out there.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 1
Russians will tell you they want peace.

They do not.

The Russian government believes peace is submitting to their will and becoming a slave. And any slave who disobeys must be destroyed.

Russians do not want peace. They want to rule.

The Russian government must be destroyed Image
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this is what their so called peace looks like Image
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Read 7 tweets
Jan 28
The American people said “we don’t like inflation!” and had a choice between two presidents.

Option A said their goal was to attack the source of inflation so the economic conditions that lead to rapid rise in costs wont happen again.

Option B said their plan was to increase inflation by at least 50%.

And America voted for option B.
You have to understand the consequences of your actions here. You had one political movement that wanted to shift focus away from corporations and onto the people. You may not have liked everything about the current state of that movement, but the movement existed.
And while it existed, you could have used your votes to influence it, and push it into the direction you liked. Maybe you like x and y but not z. You could influence that.

But instead, you voted for oligarchy.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 7
Sources like warspotting and lostwar withhold losses from their counts when they are not clearly identifiable. Ukraine has pivoted to using heavy bomber drones to destroy vehicles, and posts tremendous numbers of losses per day using this method.
Due to thermals and top down view these losses are only very rarely counted. And when they are counted, it can be many months later when alternate footage appears.
In short, there is not a drop in documented losses, but the methodology used by the loss aggregators is highly conservative and struggles to deal with the types of footage available at the moment. And as a result will lag behind reality.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 28, 2024
THE UKRAINIAN DRONE HAS TWO SHOTGUNS.
im giggling
lol
Read 4 tweets

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