Andrew Perpetua Profile picture
Aug 4, 2022 24 tweets 9 min read Read on X
My daily update! #urkdailyupdate

If you would like to view the the map: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…
Russia continues to shell the entire Kharkiv area, including the city itself. Russians in Kozacha Lopan are forcibly deporting Ukrainian citizens to Russia using the excuse of possible future Ukrainian attacks. Today Russia launched a failed assault into Dementiivka (1).
Russia has suffered absolutely huge losses attacking Dementiivka over the past few weeks, including losing large numbers of special forces from just about every branch of their armed forces, including brigade deputy commanders and chiefs of staff from the Spetsnaz.
In the Izyum area there have been semi-official statements from Ukraine talking about an ongoing offensive. This doesn’t necessarily represent a change in what is happening on the ground, but rather the confidence of various civilian leaders.
I believe Ukraine is actively attacking several towns at the moment, but I have very little news or facts so I cannot say anything more. Today Russia sent reconnaissance towards Mazanivka (2).
The Siversk area is primarily an ongoing artillery duel. Russia is trying to leverage their capture of Berestove to move west, but yesterday they were crushed trying to attack Ivano-Darivka and today they have been stopped in their tracks trying to move towards Vyimka (3).
The Bakhmut area has a lot of heavy ongoing fighting. Russia is trying to push north into Yakovlivka, but they are making little ground (4). There is heavy ongoing fighting around the Knauf Gips factory in Soledar (5). Russia is trying to attack towards Bakhmut from Pokrovske (6)
Russia has captured Vershyna and they are attacking Zaitseve from the east (7). Russia captured Semihirya and they are now attacking Kodema from the east (9). The attacks on Kodema from the north east (8) and south east (10) were both destroyed by Ukrainian artillery.
It is possible Russia captured Travneve today, but I could not find proof so I have left it contested. Russia may have also captured Bakhmutske (just south of Soledar), but I could not find proof so I did not change the map at all in that area.
In the Donetsk area there is heavy Russian artillery and large Russian assaults. Russia is attacking Krasnohorivka from two angles (11,12), but the attacks were repelled.
Russia is attacking Avdiivka from the south (13,14) but they are primarily focused on heavily bombarding Ukrainian defenses with the hope of turning them to rubble to assist future assaults.
Around Pisky, the Russian attack was halted (15) after Ukrainian reinforcements arrived. The reinforcements reportedly included both infantry and artillery.
In Marinka, Russia appears to have captured a significant amount of ground after extremely heavy shelling (16).
In the Hulyaipole/Velyka Novosilka area, Ukraine launched a small attack south from Neskuchne. I am not sure where they attacked, but I assume it would be Blahodatne (17). It is possible they are attacking Storozheve. It is unknown whether this attack was successful.
Russia attacked north towards Dorozhnyanka and Kostyantynivka (18) and there is ongoing fighting. Russia heavily shelled Kostyantynivka today.
In Zaporizhzhia Russia attacked Nesterianka (19) and towards Shcherbaky (20) and Stepove (21). There is ongoing fighting in all three directions.
Russia is moving a significant amount of equipment from Mariupol to Berdyansk (22).
In Rovzivka (23), Russians forced farmers to store their hay in a public area after forcibly taking their normal storage locations in order to store Russian weapons and vehicles. Today, Russia torched this stored hay.
In the Kherson area, Russian forces banned boats from going on the Dnipro River, apparently in fear of people sabotaging the bridges and barges.
Additionally, there was a weird story regarding Russia deploying Cechens to the left bank of the Dnipro river with the order to “at all costs to prevent an arbitrary abandonment of their positions by Russian servicemen".
This rumor is being spread by the Russians themselves, probably the FSB, with the purpose of telling Russian soldiers that they have no choice but to fight in Kherson. "You can rule by fear or you can rule by love." Basic mafia tactics. Al Capone could at least blame his syphilis
Tonight, Ukrainian forces reportedly fired HIMARS near the rail bridge that crosses the Dnipro river (24).
A Russian attack towards Bilohirka was repelled (25). Ukraine probably controls Bilohirka, but I have kept it contested for now.
See you tomorrow.

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More from @AndrewPerpetua

Jan 23
The main thing that any educated person needs to keep in mind at all times is that realpolitik is fake and everyone who believes in it is typically universally wrong on every single word they ever say.
It is especially funny because realpolitik people are almost never experts in any domain, and they get their info from aggregators. And those aggregators know the realpolitik people use them, and as such present info in a way most likely to influence the realpolitik.
They end up just being unwitting amplifiers of misinformation.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 11, 2025
Frankly I think the fastest way to end the war in Ukraine is not by sending tanks or by idiotic peace proposals. The fastest way is to set up factories across europe to produce 1000-2000 long range strike drones per day, and launch hundreds if not thousands of drones into Russia every single day until the country collapses. If they think sending 500 drones into Ukraine is a threat, see how they respond when 3000 drones fly into Russia.
With this many drones you can hammer every single factory, powerplant, substation, oil refinery, and mine in russia relentlessly.
Europe had a million drone program, to supply 1 million fpv drones. Fuck fpv drones. Have a 1 million drone program to supply 1 million strike drones. That's your million drones.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 3, 2025
The "stupid westerners, sanctions do not work, we smuggle goods in illegally. muahaha, Russia unstoppable" people tickle me. Sanctions are not for stopping goods entirely, they are for increasing friction because the resources you spend smuggling are resources not spent growing
People fundamentally don't understand the purpose of a sanction. Sanctions are not to stop the war now, although they do damage Russia, the real goal of a sanction is long term economic damage to permanently shrink their economic growth on the timescale of decades.
The sanction is basically saying "okay, you're a threat to me today, and maybe I can't do much about it now, but I will shrink you and outgrow you so in 50-100 years you are no longer a threat to me at all". It is a long term play.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 1, 2025
The Russians claim they shoot down Ukrainian aircraft the moment the missile leaves the tube, but we're supposed to believe they shot down two Black Hawks on Tuesday and only announced it after Ukraine leaked Black Hawk footage on Friday. These Black Hawks join the 650 F-16s and 450,000 M777s Russia has 'destroyed.'
GUYS. I AM GOING TO POST A VIDEO WHERE I WILL BLUR THE UNIT LOGOS TO SHIT SO NOBODY CAN TELL I STOLE THE VIDEOS FROM THE ARCHIVE AND THEN POST IT TO THE INTERNET SAYING I KILLED ALL THE SPECIAL FORCES
And then media outlets and super smart think tank people all over the world will believe me for some reason and then everyone will be like omg all the special forces died.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 18, 2025
Guys I took my division and charged them into combat and while we lost 50% of our armored vehicles and 45% of our infantry are dead, and several of our HQs were destroyed and most of our best officers are dead, we captured a village where 200 once lived so we’re winning the war.
Tomorrow we will send our next division to assault the next village. That one had a population of 1200. Its actually considered a huge city, when you think about it. If we can capture that, we will send our third division to capture the hamlet behind it.
Every day we advance. That means we’re winning.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 21, 2025
This is what Russia does. A country that only exports oil, gas, and war. This is the city of Marinka. Image
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Read 4 tweets

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