Thread by @AndrewPerpetua

My daily update! #ukrdailyupdate

If you would like to view the map, here is the link: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

Russia appears to be getting ready for an attack in the Kharkiv area. Today I read that Russia is in the process of positioning artillery and distributing ammunition for an upcoming bombardment of the area. There is ongoing fighting along the entire line of contact.

The Izyum area: The situation appears to be more or less unchanged from the prior few days, although this could be due to a media blackout. Russia tried to attack Bohorodychne several times today, but were repelled in the western outskirts each time (1).

The Siversk area has been relatively quiet. Russia has not fully captured Luhansk Oblast, and today they fired 11 artillery barrages into Ukrainian positions followed by a small assault supported by helicopters (2). They failed to push Ukrainian defenders out of their positions.

The Bakhmut area has a lot of heavy fighting.

Russian forces are attacking Yakovlivka (3), Soledar (4, and Bakhmutske (5). Fighting is ongoing.

Russian mercenaries are attacking Bakhmut with air support (6).

Russia is trying very hard to attack Vershyna (7,8) and Kodema (9,10) and are attacking both from several angles. Ukrainian defenders are holding on.

It appears Russia has captured Hladosove, although I have not seen confirmation.

BTW the yellow blotch is a minefield.

There was a somewhat ambiguous statement regarding Russia attacking Zaitseve from the direction of Kodema, the issue is that there are two Zaitseve. I guessed the one to the south of Kodema might make more sense (11), although I’m really not sure if this is the correct one.

The Donetsk area: Russia is, for the most part, attacking all of the same areas as they have been for a few days now. The main purpose of these attacks is to surround Avdiivka and force Ukraine to abandon the area the same way they were forced to abandon Lysychansk.

Russia is attacking Krasnohorivka (12). A few days ago they jumped across the highway north of Krasnohorivka and settled into the area around the train tracks, but news explicitly indicates they are attacking Krasnohorivka from the east, and not from this position to the north.

Russian forces are attacking north towards Avdiivka (13) with little success. Russia may make some progress here and there attacking Avdiivka, but I doubt they can take the town head on.

Russians are attacking Pisky (14) and they claim to have simultaneously completely captured the town AND to have failed to capture any additional ground from a few days ago when they claimed to have captured half the town. Logic.

There was an attack north from Lozove towards Nevelske (15). This is the only new attack vector for Russia around this area, and it made no progress.

Russian forces are trying to capture the farmland around Marinka (16), which is basically all flat ground that is in direct line of sight of Ukraine’s higher ground. Which seems like a pretty bad place to attack.

South of Donetsk, Russia attacked Pavlivka (17) and Prechystivka (18). Russian forces took significant casualties and retreated.

In Zaporizhzhia, Russian attacks towards Dorozhnyanka (19), Nesterianka (20), and Shcherbaky (21) were all repelled. Russia really wants to stop Ukraines tediously slow but steady march south, but each of their attempts has failed.

In the Kherson/Mykolaiv area Russia has added a very large amount of forces, I have heard there are around 28 BTGs. Russia picked the best performing units from all around the war and placed them here to continue an offensive. Where that offensive may lead is a bit up in the air.

They could go north towards Kryvyi Rih, or west towards Mykolaiv.

Well, today Russia launched an attack on Blahodatne (22). The attack began with a large artillery barrage followed by a ground assault, likely supported by air power.

Russia’s goal here is to capture Blahodatne and then go north towards Partyzansk and take the main highway that leads directly to Mykolaiv. However, both Blahodatne and especially Partyzansk are HEAVILY fortified. This attack will be very difficult for Russia.

In Nova Kakhovka, Vitaly Gura, a Russian collaborator who was named the “deputy chairman of the administration”, was assassinated (23). From the images, it looks like he was gunned down in the doorway/foyer of his home. He was rushed to the hospital (in Crimea???) but died.

That is all I have for today.

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