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Aug 8 19 tweets 4 min read
#NQ #NQ An attempt to break outside of the flag. The previous high is pivoting level now. The price may oscillate around it until accepting/rejecting. Image
So far a reaction from 420 level mentioned in the previous tweet.
Rotational charts, like p&f offer a better inside for me through price action patterns.
market is fractal. the same patterns are everywhere.
Lack of upside momentum. Breakout buyers are first to go. Image
how the price reacts on pops from support is a clue whether we see higher or lower prices.
Contra trend trading is not easy in a dull market environment. A rejection from an inflection level is the only factor that I consider. The reward could be significant.
420 -> 320 short is closed. 320 is the session VWAP. Expecting a wake-up call for VWAP driven Algos.
Market structure has better chances to hold in a low volatility environment.
Sell side is challenging an origin of the last bull flag. A few small bear flags are created along the way. This is not a sell off - a drifting down action. However, the previous week high rejection may lead to the beginning of the wave 4, see the pre-market tweet. Image
Failure to hold the origin of the flag. A potential of the fake out above the previous week high. This may lead to a volatility spike. Image
sell side is in a short term control below 300. Area of 200 is a place where the buy side may show up for a bounce back to 250.
fake outs are costly. 8 out 10 times the price returns to the opposite side of the balance area. Image
Fake outs are common for a balanced environment.
The action since the US opening. Weekly projected levels and zones in play. Rejection of the previously accepted levels is a sign of a short term sentiment reversal. Well seen on the chart. Image
those are reversal bars, similar to p&f. much easier to visualize rotational price action patterns for me.
The short term sentiment is bearish now, the price is consolidating between 2 zones. A breach of the zone above may flip the sentiment back to buy side. A breach of the zone below would confirm the current sentiment. That's all one needs to know to keep it simple.
Price is back to monthly VWAP.
The ball is in buyers court. Image

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More from @ivs_futures

Aug 10
#NQ_F #NQ Post CPI landscape. Long setup into continuation, cover at the top of the balance - multi day resistance. A new bull flag is being formed. Image
Scenario of double top is in play, posted earlier in the morning. Image
Structural breaks during the upside move keeps the buy side in control. A rejection of the previously accepted level may offer a short setup. Double top first rule.
Read 14 tweets
Aug 10
#NQ_F #NQ A large view. A clear pullback with a first stop around 950ish. A few potential scenarios are presented. A double top with lower high would be preferable for shorts, a back test of the broken wedge is for longs. Image
A smaller view. The price made to the bottom of the broken consolidation area. A clear bear flag. Post CPI action to watch. The default outcome of this pattern is to resume the downside. A failed bear flag is bullish. Image
the previous day close 13050ish acceptance/rejection to watch. may set the tone for today's day session.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 9
#NQ_F #NQ A breach of the bull flag formation and downside move into yearly projected zone. At this point, a reversal is highly unlikely. We may see reactions from each level on first test. Image
Some time ago I posted a weekly view indicating that the wave 3 is about to end and we should expect a pullback - the wave 4 (38.2% ret).

buy side is active at the zone. they may stop the bleeding for now.
Read 8 tweets
Aug 9
#NQ_F #NQ Inside session so far. A narrow range. The ON session range expansion to watch, it would set a short term directional bias to tag along. The air pocket below is a good candidate to fill, but let the market show its hand first. Image
Market listens :) The air pocket is filled. Image
At this point the previous day low is a resistance. The bearish sentiment, triggered by yesterday's fake out, is intact. Buyers may attempt to change it at the opening.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 8
Obvious highs and lows are seen by everyone... Understanding what the market does around those levels is a skill to develop.
350ish found responsive sellers pushing back to 250. Not a red flag at the moment. Usually, price gets closer to the previous day close before the opening.
previous mid retest resumed the upside continuation aiming to retest the previous week high. At this point the most immediate target is hit. 420-50 is the next weekly projected level.
Read 4 tweets

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