Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #NQ_F

TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$VIX

Down day for the #SPX, and the #VIX closed down -6.26% and below 20DMA

Yesterday: large bearish engulfing candle
Today: Continuation

Despite the lack of sync this looks like a bullish development for $SPX

#ES_F #trading $SPY $ES #options #VIX $VVIX

$XLF
#XLF was rejected at 20DMA

The sector remains above the 200DMA, and near support

For the October #SPX rally to continue it's necessary for #XLF to hold above $34.40

#trading #banks #options #ES_F $SPX $SPY $ES #DayTrading #Futures #inflation #ratehikes #Fed #Financial

$QQQ
It is in "the pinch", right between the 100DMA and the 20DMA.
One is support, the other is resistance

Let's see which side #QQQ comes out on.

It's still in the uptrend channel.

#NASDAQ #IXIC #NDX $NDX #NQ_F #options #trading #Futures #DayTrading #TradingSignals #SPX #ES_F

Read 10 tweets

TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$SPX
A low #CPI triggered a 114-point jump that took it above the dominant trendline. At the open, sell orders above that level initiated a pullback that took it 126 points down to the 20DMA

Not what we would call a 1-day reversal, more upside to come
#SPX

$DIA
Same picture for #DIA, sell orders above Dec 1 high pushed the #DJI lower

It went down after an impressive initial rally
Bounced from 20DMA

#DJIA will continue to lead the rally

Not a pretty candle, but not exactly a 1-day reversal

#DowJones #trading #options #trading

$IWM

Same story

Perhaps an uglier candle, closer to a 1-day reversal than $DIA and $SPX.

$RTY looking much better

Bounced from important support in the trading channel

Big volume today.

#IWM needs to catch up with $DJI for accompanying leadership

$RUT #RUT #RTY_F #trading

Read 12 tweets

Today in the markets:
$SPX $SPY $ES

#SPX bounced yesterday from 100DMA, moved higher today on slightly lower volume

Still below 20DMA. Failure to regain that level will be a significant crack in the October rally

Break below 3900 would be the death of the rally

#ES_F #SPX

$DIA $DJI $YM

#DJIA and #DIA have been rejected from 20DMA yesterday and today, but #YM_F closed above it today

It is important for DJI and DIA to close above 20DMA

It bounced yesterday from the lower edge of its trading channel

#DowJones #YM_F #trading #options #DayTrading

$QQQ $NDX $NQ
It bounced yesterday from channel support &continued today with slightly lesser volume

It's still below 20DMA, but still in a short-trend uptrending channel, and a mid-term downward channel

It need to close above 20DMA

#QQQ #NDX #NQ_F
#trading #Options #NASDAQ

Read 9 tweets

The market today:

$SPX / $SPY / $ES

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its upward trending channel

It bounced from channel support

#SPX #ES_F #trading #options #futures #daytrading #TradingSignals

$DIA / $DJI / $YM

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its upward trending channel

It bounced from channel support

#DIA #DJIA #DowJones #trading #options #Futures #OptionsTrading #DayTrading #TradingSignals #YM_F

$QQQ / $NDX / $NQ

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its short-term upward trending channel and its mid-term downward channel

It bounced near channel support

#QQQ #NASDAQ #IXIC #NDX #trading #OptionsTrading #Futures #NQ_F #daytrading

Read 7 tweets

1)Portfolio Update Sep-end -

$ADYEY $BILL $CFLT $CRWD $DDOG $DLO $GLBE $GTLB $LILM $NET $NU $OKTA $S $SNOW $SOFI $TOST $TWLO $ZI $ZS

Short #NQ_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +353.82% (28.24%pa)
$ACWI +32.59% (4.75%pa)
$SPX +65.17% (8.60%pa)

Contd...

2) YTD return (2022)-

Portfolio (-)40.20%
$ACWI (-)26.69%
$SPX (-)24.77%

Biggest positions -

1) $GTLB 2) $DDOG 3) $SNOW 4) $CRWD 5) $NU

Since 30 Sep, portfolio is net short via #NQ_F

3) Commentary -

September was a tough month for stocks and despite hedging in 2nd half of the month, my portfolio suffered a big drawdown.

Earlier in the month, Dow Jones Industrials, Dow Jones Transportation Average and NYSE Composite breached their June lows and on Friday...

Read 15 tweets

Antonio Lengua

@thehawktrader

on the US open, 1530 Cet, volumes traded on #es_f and #nq_f were monster : 97.6%ile for ES and 99.6 for NQ (over 5 years interval!).
This selling climax triggered a short squeeze: few minutes later another big volume spike marked a short capitulation. ES then rallied to ...
1/

..4010, top of the trading range 3900-4015.

first comments:
1. buyers are now aggressively using selling activity to increase long not only on the bottom (3900) but at mid range too (3945)
2. 4015 is next resistance : it shd be passed soon to confirm this buying strength

2/

3. 3965 and especially 3945 must hold on any pullback. Buyers must defend these levels where they initiated this violent upside attack.
4. If these are broken to the downside, it means that 3900 will soon crash, with target 3780/3800.

3/3

Read 3 tweets

1)Portfolio Update Aug-end -

$ADYEY $BILL $CFLT $CRWD $DDOG $DLO $GLBE $GTLB $LILM $NET $NU $OKTA $S $SHOP $SNOW $TOST $TWLO $ZI $ZS

Hedge - Short #NQ_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +460.36% (33.27%pa)
$ACWI +46.90% (6.62%pa)
$SPX +82.19% (10.51%pa)

Contd...

2) YTD return (2022)-

Portfolio (-)26.79%
$ACWI (-)18.78%
$SPX (-)17.02%

Biggest positions -

1) $SNOW 2) $NET 3) $GLBE 4) $DDOG 5) $NU

Contd...

3) Commentary -

August was a choppy month (strong rally followed by a swift pullback) and my portfolio recorded a small gain versus declines for the major indices.

Over the past few weeks, a number of my companies reported strong operating results which caused their stocks...

Read 10 tweets

#NQ_F #NQ Post CPI landscape. Long setup into continuation, cover at the top of the balance - multi day resistance. A new bull flag is being formed.

Scenario of double top is in play, posted earlier in the morning.

Structural breaks during the upside move keeps the buy side in control. A rejection of the previously accepted level may offer a short setup. Double top first rule.

Read 15 tweets

#NQ_F #NQ A large view. A clear pullback with a first stop around 950ish. A few potential scenarios are presented. A double top with lower high would be preferable for shorts, a back test of the broken wedge is for longs.

A smaller view. The price made to the bottom of the broken consolidation area. A clear bear flag. Post CPI action to watch. The default outcome of this pattern is to resume the downside. A failed bear flag is bullish.

the previous day close 13050ish acceptance/rejection to watch. may set the tone for today's day session.

Read 5 tweets

#NQ_F #NQ A breach of the bull flag formation and downside move into yearly projected zone. At this point, a reversal is highly unlikely. We may see reactions from each level on first test.

https://twitter.com/ivs_futures/status/1556570002643353600

Some time ago I posted a weekly view indicating that the wave 3 is about to end and we should expect a pullback - the wave 4 (38.2% ret).

https://twitter.com/ivs_futures/status/1556570002643353600

buy side is active at the zone. they may stop the bleeding for now.

Read 8 tweets

#NQ_F #NQ Inside session so far. A narrow range. The ON session range expansion to watch, it would set a short term directional bias to tag along. The air pocket below is a good candidate to fill, but let the market show its hand first.

Market listens :) The air pocket is filled.

At this point the previous day low is a resistance. The bearish sentiment, triggered by yesterday's fake out, is intact. Buyers may attempt to change it at the opening.

Read 4 tweets

StocksAfterDark

@StocksAfterDark

How to Read my Chart:

E = Early Entry
S = Safer Entry
D = Daily Entry (Previous Day High / Low)
Wk = Weekly Entry (Previous Week High / Low)
BF = Broadening Formation
D/UTL = Down/Up Trendline
IB = Inside Bar1⃣
OB = Outside Bar3⃣
FTC = Full Time Frame

#StocksafterDark #SADTips

#SADnation - You do NOT need to trade every Day. You do NOT need to hit the🌙on each trade. You do NOT need to go ALL in. You do NEED a plan & CONSISTENCY is🔑

2022 has 251 days:

$100/D = $25.1K
$500/D = 125.5K
$1K/D = 251K
$5K/D = $1.25M

2023 = 250D

#SADucation #SADtips

1⃣

#SADnation Have you gone 🟢➡️🔴?

Have a 🎯 & 🛑 in mind before entering into a trade.

Learn to scale out of your positions & adjust your 🛑Where you place them is your personal Risk➡️Reward tolerance.

Learn to get ⬆️ & walkaway when you’re🟢.

5% > -1%

Wins compound.

2️⃣

Read 21 tweets

On changing one's mind (aka "flip flopping" on FinTwit) -

"Probably one of my greatest assets is that I'm open minded + can change my mind very quickly" - Stanley Druckenmiller

"In Wall Street, the man who does not change his mind, will soon have no change to mind" - WD Gann

"If you bet, if the situation changes, you must change" - Stan Druckenmiller

"Those who fail to adapt to change, risk everything" - Bruce Kovner

"A wise man changes his mind, a fool never" - WD Gann

"Conviction. Conviction. Conviction. New facts. Change." - Marc Andreessen.

"Warren and I are very good at changing our prior conclusions. We work at developing that faculty because without it, disaster often comes" - C. Munger

"Change. The investors' only certainty" - T. Rowe Price

When new facts emerge, I do change my mind quickly. Guilty as charged.

Read 4 tweets

Michael Harris🇺🇸 📈

@mikeharrisNY

Thread 🧵about the market.

1/n Family, friends and some followers ask me where I think the market is heading. Some are bulls, others are bears. It's a good question. Here is my answer. I have no freaking idea. $SPX $SPY $NDX $QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F

2/n Maybe I'm not as smart as some gurus who predict a rebound to new highs, or some others who think this is going way lower. Or, I have learned my lessons. This is what I mean.

3/n During the dot com bear market, after a 20% drop I thought the market was going to rebound. I didn't lose much from trading, I lost from my stock portfolio. Because after it dropped 30%, I sold in panic and took the loss. I didn't add when the market bottomed in 2003.

Read 11 tweets

1)Portfolio Apr-end -

$ADYEY $CFLT $DDOG $DLO $GLBE $GTLB $LILM $MNDY $NU $OKTA $PLTR $QS $S $SHOP $SOFI $SNOW $TWLO $U $UPST $ZI

Short - $ARKK #NQ_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +612.94% (41.40%pa)
$ACWI +56.62% (8.23%pa)
$SPX +90.34% (12.02%pa)

Contd...

2) YTD return (2022)-

Portfolio (-)7.74%
$ACWI (-)13.40%
$SPX (-)13.31%

Biggest positions -

1) $GTLB 2) $DDOG 3) $S 4) $ADYEY 5) $SNOW

Contd...

3) Commentary -

April was a tough month for risk assets and stocks came under pressure due to (a) Fed policy and (b) elevated valuations.

This liquidity cycle was extreme (unprecedented easing followed by abrupt tightening), therefore we've seen huge moves in stocks in...

Read 10 tweets

Alec

@TheFakeAlec

@Michigandolf

Thread 1/5: After seeing such a clean rejection off of the 30m OR (opening range) for #NQ_F on Friday, I thought of @Michigandolf, who loves the 30m OR. I then wondered how often we close below or above the 30m OR. I decided to do the math so you don’t have to.

@paxtrader777

Although #ES_F did not reject the 30m OR like NQ on Friday, it did reject the open. You can see the highlighted area around open is the 30 second OR, popularized by @paxtrader777 and shared by a few others. My favorite opening range on my chart.

I was surprised, I would have guessed we closed outside of the 30m OR ~50% of the time or less, but actually we close outside of the 30m OR 73% of the time. NQ even closes outside of the 60m OR more times than it closes inside.

Read 5 tweets

1)Portfolio Dec-end -

Long - $ADYEY $DLO $GLBE $LILM $LSPD $MELI $MQ $S $SE $SOFI $TOST $TWLO $TLT

Short - $ARKK, Russell 2000 futures #RTY_F

Return since 1 Sept '16 -

Portfolio +672.73% (46.76%pa)
$ACWI +80.02% (11.66%pa)
$SPX +119.60% (15.90%pa)

Contd...

2) YTD return (2021)-

Portfolio +21.81%
$ACWI +16.80%
$SPX +26.89%

Biggest positions -

1) $TLT 2) $SE 3) $MELI 4) $MQ 5) $SOFI

Contd....

3) Commentary -

December was a brutal month for growth stocks as the previous month's selling continued before a relief rally briefly reversed the downtrend.

At the beginning of the month, I sold out of all stocks and around mid-month, positioned my portfolio for the post-QE..

Read 16 tweets

Fed announced QE "taper" in Nov and accelerated it in Dec....but data shows that over past 4 weeks, its balance-sheet still grew by ~$120b!

In anticipation of the end of QE, hedge funds dumped tech stocks in Nov/Dec. With Fed still pumping $120b/month, will HFs now ↗️ exposure?

After realising that despite QE "taper" announcements, the Federal Reserve's balance-sheet still grew by $120 billion over the past four weeks, I covered my #NQ_F short at a loss, also my long $ futures position and $TLT

I've also increased exposure to growth stocks.

In November, the Fed announced it would reduce QE by $15 billion per month and in December, it announced it would reduce it by $30 billion per month (with view to ending it in March).

Despite these 'hawkish' declarations, its balance-sheet still grew by ~$120b over past 4 weeks!

Read 4 tweets