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Jakub Janovsky Profile picture
@Rebel44CZ
Aug 8, 2022 • 40 tweets • 28 min read • Read on X
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#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 08/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 09/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 10/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 11/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 12/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 13/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 14/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 15/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 16/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 17/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 18/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 19/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 20/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 22/08/2022

Plus a ton of changes and new losses thanks to @naalsio26 (net changes to the list based on his file are in the 2nd image)

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… ImageImage
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 23/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 24/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 25/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 27/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 28/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 30/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 31/08/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 01/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 02/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 03/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 04/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 05/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 07/09/2022

This time the list is so long that I had to split it :)

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… ImageImage
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 08/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 09/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 10/09/2022

and I had to again split the list :)

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… ImageImage
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 11/09/2022

Today was an absolutely insane day with the update summary again being split - 102 total entries!!!

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… ImageImage
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 12/09/2022

Another insane day - 99 entries!

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… ImageImage
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 13/09/2022

Another massive 2-page list!

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… ImageImage
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 14/09/2022

Today's list is only slightly less crazy with 82 entries

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… ImageImage
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 15/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… ImageImage
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 14/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 14/09/2022

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack… Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 19/07/2023

Full list: https://t.co/2e98CrR9jJoryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…

Image
Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 21/07/2023

Full list: https://t.co/GoKU8JTCenoryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…
Image
#UkraineWar: Overview of Russian equipment losses added on 11/12/2024

Full list: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…Image

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More from @Rebel44CZ

Jakub Janovsky Profile picture
Jan 22
/thread/

There is an ongoing debate about the current size of the Russian AFV fleet, losses it has taken, new production level storage+reactivation, etc.

Here is my take on the topic
notes:

this is just my take on the "middle case " - so I am going for what is IMO the most plausible interpretation of the data, not hyper-optimistic/pessimistic interpretation of the data that some folks use.

I rounded the numbers slightly to make it easier to read
At the start of the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Russia had approximately (incl. marines + VDV + LDPR forces):
3000 tanks + 7200 in storage
3500 BMP-1/2s + 7100 in storage
650 BMP-3s
2500 BTR-80/82s +3600 older BTRs in storage
1000 BMDs + 600 in storage
3500 MT-LBs +4200 in storage
Read 33 tweets
Jakub Janovsky Profile picture
Jan 20
An interesting and long thread. While I agree with some parts, I disagree with others (hunting infantry is IMO necessary due to the very sparse infantry coverage of the FLOT)

So, here is my thread on this topic:
IMO, the root cause of many current problems with drone use are the relative lack of resources and splitting of drone units among many organizations - with the resulting lack of any standardization and coordination.
So, the following should happen:

1. Magyar is saying that USF is now 2% of UA military and that he needs to tripple that - he should get the relevant resources (people and funding) ASAP.

(USF should become a real branch of the Ukrainian military, not just on paper)
Read 10 tweets
Jakub Janovsky Profile picture
Jun 27, 2025
In this thread I would like to highlihght the issues I have with this @WarOnTheRocks article
warontherocks.com/2025/06/i-foug…
1. The author is apparently making a judgement over a weapon system purely based on his own limited experience - with no references to any other sources, data, or analysis. That is an increasibly small (and rather falwed) sample size for judging a type of weapon systems.
3. Based on the description of authors experience it didnt appear that the unit he served in was particulary capable, skilled, or well-equipped in the use of combat drones.
Read 7 tweets
Jakub Janovsky Profile picture
Apr 3, 2025
/long thread/ While I dont think attack helicopters (AHs) are dead, IMO Chieftan is in this video way overestimating their viability on a modern peer and near-peer conventional battlefield
He starts with the "It can do thing that nothing else can" argument, but without acknowledging that the amount of things that attack helicopters can do that other assets or combinations of assets are unable to do has shrunk a lot in recent times.
The Polish order for 96 AH-64s is repeatedly brought up as an argument for AHs being just fine, but that order appears to be an outlier and subject of uncertainties that could see it scaled down or cancelled.
Read 26 tweets
Jakub Janovsky Profile picture
Mar 13, 2025
/thread/ There has been a lot of talk recently about vulnerability of European armies regarding functionality of the US made weapons (and US componenets/data used in non-US weapons) with the F-35 being the prime example.

In this thread I want to explain how things are.
1. There are no "kill switches" - people should not be mixing movie/game stories and reality
2. But unless we are able to source everything (parts, software, data) needed for a weapon system to work, we are dependant on the manufacturers support,
including permissions of the government of the country manufacturer is bases in. That level of dependancy can vary based on how much we are not able to obtain or find workarounds for.
Read 12 tweets
Jakub Janovsky Profile picture
Feb 25, 2025
@shashj I disagree with how some things are presented/claimed

1. The current NATO requirements, including US forces are for comfortably curb-stomping Russia
@shashj 2. The whining about the number of brigades is extremely stupid because it always only counts our peacetime forces - ignoring our mobilization plans and potential.
@shashj 2. We would currently be able to defend against Russia - it just wouldnt look nice or be an easy, low-casualty war.
Read 15 tweets

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