CORF FPL 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Profile picture
Aug 9, 2022 23 tweets 11 min read Read on X
🏟️ A GAMEWEEK 2 THREAD

🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2.5 Goals %
🎯 Teams to Target
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differential Central
🏡 Hot Property
🚮 Top Binned
🏗️ Current Draft
📡 My Watchlist

Some early food for thought ahead of GW2..

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL
📝 GW1 Eye Catchers

I was impressed with ARS in attack & defence. Zinchenko cleaned up on BPS whilst Saliba looks good value at £4.5. Blank for Jesus but he was excellent throughout, have patience.

NEW recorded most shots (23) GW1. Two beautiful goals from Schar & Wilson too!
📝 GW1 Eye Catchers

Darwin caused havoc in the 39mins he was on the pitch. Goal/Assist, 3 big chances (2nd) & xG of 1.46 (2nd). He's high on my radar moving forward

Djenepo started LWB for SOU, was awful. Kulusevski, who was superb throughout, absolutely pulled his pants down.
📝 GW1 Eye Catchers

FUL were excellent vs LIV. Mitrovic was fantastic, a continuous threat whilst I was also very impressed with Andreas who could be really handy at just £4.5

MCI absolutely bossed WHU, in complete cruise control. Superb PL debut from Haaland with 2 goals.
📊 GW1 Key Stats

Most Shots:
NEW (23), TOT (18), MUN (17)

Highest xG:
NEW (2.49), LIV & CHE (2.07)

Big Chances:
LIV & MCI (4)

Least Shots Conceded:
NEW (5), MCI (6), AVL (7)

Top NPxG against:
NFO (2.5), FUL (2.1), SOU/BHA (1.8)

Least NPxG against:
NEW (0.1), MCI (0.29)
📊 GW1 Key Stats

Points:
Gross/Schar (15), Mitro/Haaland/Kulu (13)

Shots:
Maddison (6), Haaland/Welbeck (5)

xG:
Haaland (1.83), Darwin (1.46), Gross (0.86)

Big Chances:
Haaland (4), Darwin (3)

Big Chances Created:
Harrison (2)

xA:
Harrison (1), Darwin (0.69), Welbeck (0.59)
🥅 GW2 Clean Sheet %
➡️ @drafthound

1️⃣ Liverpool (39%)
2️⃣ Man City (38%)
3️⃣ Aston Villa (38%)
4️⃣ Arsenal (35%)
5️⃣ West Ham (34%)
7️⃣ Man United (33%)
8️⃣ Brighton (33%)
9️⃣ Southampton (32%)
🔟 Wolves (31%)

CRY's weakness at defending set pieces & LIV 1st for CS % = TAA haul? 👀
⚽ GW2 Over 2.5 Goals %
➡️ @drafthound

1️⃣ Man City (50%)
2️⃣ Liverpool (44%)
3️⃣ Arsenal (29%)
4️⃣ Brighton (23%)
5️⃣ Aston Villa (20%)

📌 In the 6 games vs promoted teams (BRE, WAT, NOR) last season, City won all 6 matches. Scoring 20 goals, conceding just on just 2 occasions.
🚀 GW2 ANYTIME SCORER %
➡️ @drafthound

1️⃣ Haaland (74%)
2️⃣ Salah (58%)
3️⃣ Ronaldo (52%)
4️⃣ Darwin (51%)
5️⃣ Jesus (49%)
6️⃣ Diaz (45%)
7️⃣ KDB (43%)
8️⃣ Toney (43%)
9️⃣ Foden (43%)
🔟 Mahrez (43%)
🎯 GW2 Team to Target
➡️ Man City

Given a 74% chance of beating BOU this weekend with a 38% chance of a CS & 50% chance of scoring more than 2 goals. The City triple up has to be high on people's agenda this week, especially given that they are at home.
🎯 GW2 Team to Target
➡️ Liverpool

Whilst CRY present a tricky opponent on paper, LIV's recent record against The Eagles has been excellent, winning 5 of the last 5 league games, scoring 21 goals & conceding just once. Given a 71% chance of 3pts in GW2 & favs for a GW2 CS (39%)
©️ GW2 Captaincy
👑 Haaland

Excellent PL debut, very much the focal point of MCI's attack & on pens! 5 shots (2nd), 4 big chances (1st), 1.83 xG (1st) & 2 goals vs WHU.

He's given a 74% chance to score vs BOU & 18% chance of a hat trick.

Absolutely locked in as my GW2 Captain.
©️ GW2 Captaincy
2️⃣ Salah

Salah has a good record vs CRY with 4goals & 3assists in his last 5 matches. Goal & assist vs FUL, looked as hungry as ever.

Given a 58% chance of scoring GW2 & presents a great opportunity to go against the most popular Haaland cap pick this week!
©️ GW2 Captaincy
3️⃣ KDB

I've no doubt Haaland & Salah will be most capped this GW. But following them I think KdB is probably the next best captaincy option. He's involved in all that City do well, their creative hub. I expect a return or two from him in GW2 but comes with risk
📉 Differential Central
◻️ Aaronson (£5.5 & 1.2% TSB)

Really impressed with the LEE winger vs WOL,he was unlucky not to get on the score sheet. Could go up against Djenepo in GW2, who looked woeful vs TOT in GW1. I really think he's a great, cheap differential punt going forward
📉 Differential Central
🟦 Grealish (£7.0 & 4.3% TSB)

City utilised the wide men vs WHU, should they operate the same way vs BOU I think Grealish could be a great 3rd MCI option. I see him thriving with Haaland playing as CF this season, really keen to see how he does vs BOU.
📉 Differential Central
🟦 Ake (£5.0 & 1.1% TSB)

Whilst Laporte remains sidelined it seems Ake is Pep's man to partner up with Dias in the City backline. At just £5.0m he could be a savvy option this GW as he goes against is former club. A set piece threat, good on BPS & cheap.
🏠Hot Property

Players most bought IN ahead of GW2 so far..

1️⃣ Haaland - 752k
2️⃣ Zinchenko - 421k
3️⃣ Mitrovic - 385k
4️⃣ Kulusevski - 271k
5️⃣ Martinelli - 250k
6️⃣ Darwin - 197k
7️⃣ Gross - 135k
8️⃣ Schar - 128k

As of Tuesday morning at 8.00am (UK)
🚮 Top Binned

Players most booted OUT ahead of GW2 so far..

1️⃣ Kane - 602k
2️⃣ Jesus - 229k
3️⃣ Perisic - 211k
4️⃣ Son - 124k
5️⃣ Cash- 123k
6️⃣ TAA - 118k
7️⃣ Coutinho - 105k
8️⃣ Diaz - 102k

As of Tuesday morning at 8.00am (UK)
🔎 My GW1 Watchlist

✅ James
Just a BPS magnet

❌ Rashford
Poor vs BHA, just have no interest in MUN assets atm

❌ Neto
Some fantastic skill vs LEE, but WOL attack is so meh

✅ Trippier
Clean Sheet & in the BPS

✅ Maddison
Assist, took more shots than anybody else in GW1 (6)
📡 GW2 Watchlist

Staying:
🟦 Maddison vs ARS (a)
⬛ Trippier vs BHA (a)

Added:
🟥 Darwin vs CRY (h)
⬜ Aaronson vs SOU (a)
🟥 Saliba vs LEI (h)

If I'm going to transition towards Darwin I'll have to free up money in Defence & Midfield. Could Saliba & Aaronson be my solutions?
⚖️ My GW2 Team

GW1 Points: 69

Squad Balance:
🟥 Mount
🟧 Bailey
🟨 Archer, Robertson, James, Jesus
🟩 Salah, Haaland, Cancelo, Trent, Andreas, Martinelli, Ward, Iversen, Williams

©️ GW2 Captain: Haaland
🔄 GW2 FT: Mount to Foden/Grealish

* Subject to change
✍️ My Drafthound Channel

If you'd like to check out my extended gameweek previews/articles as well as having access to a whole host of new features from @drafthound you can follow the link below..

drafthound.com/?utm_campaign=…

Thanks for taking a look & Good Luck for GW2! ☘️

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More from @CORF_FPL

Sep 17
🏟️ GAMEWEEK 5: A THREAD

- GW4 Review
- Clean Sheet %
- Over 2.5 Goals %
- Anytime Scorer %
- Anytime Assist %
- Captaincy
- Differentials
- Fixture Swings
- Top IN & OUT
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A thread to provide initial food for thought ahead of GW5..

#FPL || #FPLcommunity Image
📋GW4 REVIEW: ATTACK

Haaland, Watkins & Nketiah took most shots (6) all coming inside the box. Haaland/Watkins had 4 on target to Nketiah's 1

Rogers had 4 shots, 3 on target, 2 were big chances. The ultimate flirt

Mateta GW4's highest xG (1.45), followed by Watkins (1.27) Image
📋 GW4 REVIEW: CREATION

Ndidi created most big chances (3), followed by McNeil, Digne & Mitchell (2). Ndidi also notched 2 assists

McNeil with highest xA (0.72)

MUN had 20 shots v SOU, 10 on target

5 of MUN's shots considered big chances, only matched by AVL who also had 5 Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 20, 2023
🏟️ GAMEWEEK 9: A THREAD

Including:
🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2 Goals %
🚀 Anytime Scorer/Assist %
🔮 Point Predictions
©️ Captaincy
🎰 Differentials
🔄 In'd & Binned
🏗️ GW9 Plan

Sorry it's late, I've been right up against it this week! 🥵

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
🗓️ WELCOME TO GW9

⏰ Deadline:
Saturday 21st October @ 11.00am (UK)

🎯 GW9 Win %:
1️⃣ Liverpool (77%) vs EVE
2️⃣ Man City (73%) vs BHA
3️⃣ Man Utd (71%) vs SHU
4️⃣ Newcastle (69%) vs CRY
5️⃣ Spurs (67%) vs FUL

🍟 Top 1m Chip Use so far..
WC1: 42% BB: 6.4% FH: 8.8% TC: 8.9% Image
🥅 GW9 CLEAN SHEET %

1️⃣ NEW 50%
2️⃣ NFO 48%
3️⃣ MUN 44%
4️⃣ LIV 42%
5️⃣ BRE 40%
6️⃣ TOT 38%
7️⃣ MCI 36%
8️⃣ ARS 31%

🧤 FUL keeper Leno leads the way for GK bonus points so far this season with 8, behind him are Neto & Johnstone, both tied on 5.

📱Full List:
drafthound.com/?utm_medium=fp…
Image
Read 24 tweets
Sep 21, 2023
📝 GAMEWEEK 6: A THREAD

Including:
✍🏻 GW5 Notes
🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2 Goals %
🔮 Point Predictions
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differentials
⁉️ Dilemmas
🔄 In & Out's
🃏 WILDCARD ACTIVE

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
✍🏻 GW5 Notes..

Another very impressive display from ALVAREZ with 2x assists. Remains on most City set pieces.

HAALAND with 6 big chances & 2.69 xG but only 1 goal. Non cappers (Me) can count themselves very, very lucky.

KABORE created 2 big chances for LUT with 0.86 xA. Image
✍🏻 GW5 Notes..

KULUSEVSKI with 7 shots, all inside the box. Scored a late, late goal to secure 2-1 win. Possible GW8 differential?

RASHFORD with 9 shots vs BHA, 6 inside the box. Remains the best MUN asset IMO.

WATKINS with his 4th assist of the season. Surely due a goal soon? Image
Read 25 tweets
Sep 13, 2023
📝 GAMEWEEK 5: A THREAD

Including:
📊 Season Stats so far
🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2 Goals %
🔮 Point Predictions
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differentials
🔥 Hot Property
🚮 Top Binned
🏗️ My GW5 Plan

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
📊 Player Stats GW1-GW4

Points
🥇Haaland 39
🥈Mbuemo 33
🥉Bowen 30

Goals
🥇Haaland 6
🥈 Ferguson/Mbuemo 4

Assists
🥇7x Players on 3

xGI
🥇Mbuemo 4.94
🥈Haaland 4.72
🥉Saka 3.76

Big Chances
🥇Haaland/Jackson 7
🥉Mbuemo 6

Big Chances Created
🥇Bruno/Salah/Onana/Neto 4 Image
📊 Team Stats GW1-GW4

➡️ Attack

Goals
🥇BHA 12
🥈MCI/TOT 11

Shots
🥇BHA 83
🥈TOT 73
🥉 CRY 69

Big Chances
🥇BRE 15
🥈BHA/CHE/EVE 14

➡️ Defensive

Goals Conceded
🥇MCI 2
🥈LIV 4

NPxGA
🥇MCI 2.7
🥈CRY 3.1
🥉ARS 3.3

Clean Sheets
🥇MCI 2
🥈CRY/ARS/CHE/BRE 1 Image
Read 24 tweets
Aug 6, 2023
📝 GW1-GW5: Building the Defence

Using @drafthound's clean sheet probabilities (%) to consider goalkeeper & defence options ahead of the GW1 deadline.

🎯 Teams/Targets
🥅 Clean Sheet %'s
🔄 £4.5 rotations
💸 £4.0 options
📉 Differentials

#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL Image
🟥 ARSENAL

🥅 CS%
GW1: NFO (50%) 3rd
GW2: cry (39%) 3rd
GW3 FUL (40%) 3rd
GW4: MUN (36%) 6th
GW5: eve (43%) 2nd

14 clean sheets (2nd) last season but only 4 of those came at home, that said with 3 home matches in that first 5 GWs I'm certainly not put off ARS defence coverage. Image
💭 My initial reaction was to lean towards RAMSDALE, but with RAYA signed he's one to avoid IMO

GABRIEL now the stand out option. 2nd best xG of all DEF's last season, 10 goals in last 3 seasons. A threat from set pieces

📉 SALIBA to be considered if you want away from template Image
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Sep 5, 2022
🏟️ GAMEWEEK 7: A THREAD

🥅 Clean Sheet %
⚽ Over 2.5 Goals %
🎯 Teams to Target
©️ Captaincy
📉 Differential Central
🏡 Hot Property
🚮 Top Binned
🏗️ Current Draft
📡 My Watchlist

A thread built to evoke early food for thought ahead of GW7..

#FPL #FPLCommunity @OfficialFPL
✍🏻 GW6 Notes

Toney with a hat trick vs LEE including a banging free kick. He's now on 5goals & 2assists for the season

Mitrovic with another goal vs TOT. Back to back goals in each of their last 4games taking him to 6goals for the season.

Both strikers are high on my radar!
✍🏻 GW6 Notes

MUN with another win, whilst ARS dominated large spells MUN were clinical in attack. Antony debut goal & Eriksen was excellent, but Rashford the stand out FPL asset with goal & assist

Finally a LIV clean sheet! But TAA subbed on 59mins & Robbo benched! Frustrating!
Read 23 tweets

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