It's called "Real Yield", where protocols pay out yield to users based on revenue generation.
🧵: My TOP 10 picks to capitalise on this growing sector, and how they could become the pillars of the next cycle. 👇
1/ Real Yield is classified as yield derived from the generation of "real" revenue, as opposed to revenue derived from token emissions.
Real Yield operates reflexively: More revenue = more yield paid to users and vice versa.
2/ Thus, a bet on a "real yield" project becomes a bet on its ability to a) accrue new users, and b) increase revenue generation overtime to reward token holders.
3/ But before I get into any "picks", it's important to understand where this narrative stems from.
Let's rewind to 2021, where the most common form of user acquisition was the offering of juiced up APRs in order to attract more TVL (at any cost).
4/ Some examples of DeFi protocols which incentivised heavily via emissions/dilution.
$TIME
$SUNNY
$AXS
$ANC
5/ The truth is, almost all DeFi protocols in 2021 utilised aggressive emissions models in order to attract liquidity FAST.
Why? Because the race was on. Retail interest and greed was at an all time high. Just like investors, projects felt the FOMO and didn't want to miss out.
6/ The problem is, this model isn't sustainable. Projects can only offer artificial yield for so long until they're forced to pivot to sustainable models.
Without that artificial incentive for users to deposit and stake, many DeFi protocols suffered an inventible collapse.
7/ This resulted in many investors getting badly burnt, none more so than $LUNA and $UST.
A combination of PTSD and the flush out of retail following DeFi's subsequent collapse highlighted key flaws in the current DeFi landscape.
8/ a) Emissions were "padding" TVL by incentivising liquidity. Once removed, the "true" value of many chains were exposed.
b) Many protocols didn't have well-designed underlying value accrual mechanisms.
9/ The result? A drastic pivot from "fake" to "real" yield protocols as the market shifted to a more risk-off environment.
This shift is exemplified by the recent growth in perp DEXs, alongside the $ETH ecosystem rally in anticipation of The Merge.
10/ Here are my favourite real yield projects that generate yield via actual revenue generation.
I'll give you the TLDR on what they do, how they generate revenue, and what I think their potential is.
11/ The first category of tokens fall under the "Decentralised Perpetual Exchange" sector.
They offer leverage trading with deep liquidity and low fees, whilst possessing all the positive qualities of a DEX vs CEXs:
• No KYC
• No Counter-party risk
• Security
• Sovereignty
12/ First on the list is $DYDX.
It's the largest and most actively used perp DEX, generating over $321m of annualised protocol revenue according to @tokenterminal.
This puts it in the top 3 of any dAPP by protocol revenue.
13/ $DYDX currently centralises this revenue (it isn't paid directly to token holders), but they have plans to change this model in V4, which is launching in late 2022.
The largest project on Arbitrum ($250m TVL), and 7th largest on $AVAX ($90m).
GMX is underpinned by a unique multi-asset pool that earns liquidity providers fees, facilitating 30x leveraged trading of spot assets with low slippage.
17/ $GMX arguably has the best tokenomics out of any perp DEX.
Staking GMX tokens exposes you to 30% of all platform fees, paid in $ETH. There is also a esGMX model to incentivise "sticky" liquidity.
25/ $SNX is currently generating $100m of annualised protocol revenue, ranking it as dAPP #9 by revenue on @tokenterminal.
Talk about "real" yield.
26/ We can also observe that both $SNX and $GMX rank in the top 10 for fees generated, exceeding 7 Day Avg. Fees of $100m across the entirety of the crypto space.
27/ $UMAMI
The big innovation here is its USDC Vault, which unlike Anchor, pays 20% in *sustainable* yield, generated from minting GLP and collecting trading fees.
28/ They're also launching an $ETH and $BTC vault in the near future.
• I think there is one misconception that "real yield" is objectively better.
Emissions serve their purpose. Many protocols have successfully acquired many new users and built great communities via emitting tokens to boost APRs.
32/ • Many tokens which originally started with aggressive emissions schedules are gradually pivoting to a fee generation model.
Ultimately, only the protocols generating real revenue will succeed. Hype and inflation is only good for temporary price performance.
33/ So although this list may be what is considered as "real yield" right now, there will be many DeFi protocols which pivot to this model.
Some will fail, as weak underlying tokenomics are exposed.
Some will succeed, as they adapt to their new architecture.
34/ Nonetheless, "real yield" is looking increasingly like the future of DeFi.
Projects which successfully implement features that drive both adoption and revenue generation should thrive over the coming years.
35/ As the space matures, investors will gravitate towards the protocols generating real and sustainable revenue, especially amidst volatile market conditions.
For institutional DeFi to eventuate, longevity and risk-adjusted growth also becomes a key consideration.
36/ I'll be covering more "Real Yield" tokens in the next issue of my newsletter.
If you want to make serious money in crypto over the next 6 months,
these are the 10 narratives you can’t afford to ignore.
Altcoins aren’t dead - but the opportunity has moved.
You just need to know where to look.
🧵: The top 10 narratives in crypto right now.👇
How to use this thread:
Each tweet is long-form, so I recommend reading the entire thread and bookmarking the most interesting tweets/sectors to dive deeper.
In each tweet, I explain:
• My thesis
• Alts I'm researching
• Tools to help you dive deeper
Pick 2-3 of these narratives and go DEEP if you want to extract an edge.
1. AI/Agents
If you've been following me for a while, you'll know how vocal I've been on AI's potential in crypto.
We saw some promising use cases earlier this year, but nothing has truly materialised yet. I think that's about to change.
One subsector of the AI narrative that is particularly interesting is AI agents.
The AI agent sector had one of the most aggressive runs earlier this year, and it's showing early signs of strength once again.
The catalyst this time - x402.
Essentially, x402 is like adding a wallet to the internet. It’s a new web standard that lets a website say, “hey, before i give you this data, send me a small payment.”
x402 turns an old unused code into something powerful:
a way for websites, apps, or APIs to get paid instantly, without accounts, subscriptions, or middlemen.
(explanation by @SuhailKakar).
This new narrative is just one example of proper product-market fit enabled by AI agents; they have a ton more real-world PFM use cases (trading, automating research, etc.).
One of the best resources for tracking this entire sector is @cookiedotfun- they have a specialized AI agent-tracking dashboard to make sure you don't miss any hot AI agent opportunities.
Some projects I'm watching within the AI agents sector specifically: @HeyAnonai, @cookiedotfun and various lower cap plays on VIRTUALS. It's still a nascent sector, so there will be many more in the future.
In the broader AI narrative, I'm watching these majors: $ATH, $TAO (plus eco), and $WLD.
(I'm constantly adding new low caps + researching so make sure to follow me @milesdeutscher to stay in the loop).
Michael Saylor built the craziest $BTC flywheel in history.
But his buying power is starting to fade.
The market is now asking one question:
🧵: Is the $BTC treasury bubble finally popping?👇
In this thread, I'll break down:
• The software company funding the gamble
• The mNAV "death spiral" risk
• Whether I think the concerns are justified
• The DAT capital rotation into $ETH
Let's dive right in.👇
1. $MSTR valutation & mNAV paradox
People often overlook that @MicroStrategy has a legacy software business, which continues to generate revenue.
However, MicroStrategy has essentially become a company whose valuation is primarily influenced by its $BTC holdings.