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Aug 10 15 tweets 3 min read
#NQ_F #NQ Post CPI landscape. Long setup into continuation, cover at the top of the balance - multi day resistance. A new bull flag is being formed.
Scenario of double top is in play, posted earlier in the morning.
Structural breaks during the upside move keeps the buy side in control. A rejection of the previously accepted level may offer a short setup. Double top first rule.
You can't make this stuff up :) Weekly projected zones in play to the tick despite a volatile move up. A reaction first than a breakout. Now a short setup with a tight stop anticipating a breach of the previously accepted zone.
the previous day high seems a good target.
The short setup has worked. 100 handles. It took awhile + noise.
This is the play. From zone to zone.
When the market makes a quick and exhausted move a continuation trade is less rewarding. Seeing a rejection of a previously accepted level is cue for a contra trade setup.
However, the next inflection level is used as a target. In this case the previous day high mentioned in the previous tweet when the short was opened.
when a previously accepted level is rejected it flips a short term sentiment. The next inflection level is a place where the opposite side may flip it again. since the outcome of the inflection level is not known it is better to book the profit and reassess.
a simple rule to apply is to add or subtract 100 handles from an inflection level.
as of now, the action is within a new bull flag. Edges of the flag are potential places for entries/exits
for day traders understanding a short term sentiment and tracking it correctly is critical. analysis does not pay the execution does...
trading a news is usually not recommended. the speed of the machines is their advantage. a retail trader has an advantage too. seeing the market structure and understanding what are the critical levels for both sides allows to put a limited order with wider stop.
In the pre CPI action the market broke a consolidation area. this is a bullish sign. The market showed its hand. Could've been a fake - sure. But that thinking is wrong. Trading to win vs to avoid loses. It is better to go with what-should-happen.

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More from @ivs_futures

Aug 10
#NQ_F #NQ A large view. A clear pullback with a first stop around 950ish. A few potential scenarios are presented. A double top with lower high would be preferable for shorts, a back test of the broken wedge is for longs.
A smaller view. The price made to the bottom of the broken consolidation area. A clear bear flag. Post CPI action to watch. The default outcome of this pattern is to resume the downside. A failed bear flag is bullish.
the previous day close 13050ish acceptance/rejection to watch. may set the tone for today's day session.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 9
#NQ_F #NQ A breach of the bull flag formation and downside move into yearly projected zone. At this point, a reversal is highly unlikely. We may see reactions from each level on first test.
Some time ago I posted a weekly view indicating that the wave 3 is about to end and we should expect a pullback - the wave 4 (38.2% ret).

buy side is active at the zone. they may stop the bleeding for now.
Read 8 tweets
Aug 9
#NQ_F #NQ Inside session so far. A narrow range. The ON session range expansion to watch, it would set a short term directional bias to tag along. The air pocket below is a good candidate to fill, but let the market show its hand first.
Market listens :) The air pocket is filled.
At this point the previous day low is a resistance. The bearish sentiment, triggered by yesterday's fake out, is intact. Buyers may attempt to change it at the opening.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 8
#NQ #NQ An attempt to break outside of the flag. The previous high is pivoting level now. The price may oscillate around it until accepting/rejecting. Image
So far a reaction from 420 level mentioned in the previous tweet.
Rotational charts, like p&f offer a better inside for me through price action patterns.
Read 19 tweets
Aug 8
Obvious highs and lows are seen by everyone... Understanding what the market does around those levels is a skill to develop.
350ish found responsive sellers pushing back to 250. Not a red flag at the moment. Usually, price gets closer to the previous day close before the opening.
previous mid retest resumed the upside continuation aiming to retest the previous week high. At this point the most immediate target is hit. 420-50 is the next weekly projected level.
Read 4 tweets

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