lhsingapura Profile picture
Aug 16 9 tweets 3 min read
TNI & SAF stronger, together.

Speeches from Lt-Gen. Melvyn Ong & Gen. Andika Perkasa at the dinner reception (in Singapore), for the Combined Annual Report Meeting - Indonesia Singapore High Level Committee meeting.

The meetings under the CARM-INDOSIN HLC include the following:

1.The TNI-SAF Annual Staff Meeting (TSASM)

2.Indonesia-Singapore Joint Intelligence Committee (ISJIC)

3.Indonesia-Singapore Joint Operations and Exercises Committee (ISJOEC)
4. Indonesia-Singapore Joint Education & Specific Program Committee (ISJESPC)

5. Indonesia-Singapore Joint Logistics Committee (ISJLC)

6. Indonesia-Singapore Joint Working Group (ISJWG)

7. Services working groups
Last week, Gen. Andika met with PM Lee & also co-chaired the 23rd Combined Annual Report Meeting Indonesia-Singapore High Level Committee with Lt-Gen Ong. They discussed ways to deepen the close & long-standing relations between the SAF & the TNI.

Opening speeches by both co-chairmans.

IMO, the SAF has no choice — greater collaboration with the TNI is the way forward for both Indonesia & Singapore.

Singaporeans need to temper our romanticism about alignment of interests w Indonesians, given the prata like flip-flops of politicians in Jakarta.

The steady hand of Jokowi 2.0 economic policies could be over turned in just one term of the next Indonesian president.
For the sake of the future, I am hoping that Jokowi’s second term will not represent the high water mark of cooperation; & increased collaboration still has legs.
Impt backgrounder on Gen. Andika & #supergarudashield — while it is unlikely he can win the Feb 2024 election as a Presidential candidate, he could well be tapped as a future VP or as a future minister (to gain experience).
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More from @lhsingapura

Aug 13
While Campbell is correct tt China overreacted to Pelosi’s visit, Americans need to understand tt these actions are intended to:

(i) deter any Taiwanese attempt at independence; &

(ii) shift blame for the inevitable deterioration of Sino-American relations to the Americans.
Thucydides' Trap is a term used by Graham T. Allison to describe a tendency towards war when an emerging power threatens to displace an existing great power as a int’l hegemon.

The Pelosi visit has opened the door of Thucydides' Trap. Not sure if there is wisdom to avoid it.
Unlike the G7, a significant number of G20 nations like Indonesia, Saudi Arabia & India have viable relationships with China that they value. Not only do they show no intention to bandwagon with the ‘liberal west’, they gain prestige by exercising their independence.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 12
As the nature of documents seized by the FBI from Mar-a-Lago emerges (see excellent thread by @rgoodlaw), the GOP politicians who defend or support Trump’s false narrative will look like scumbags.
While the of agenda of the progressives in Washington is often harmful to American leadership in the Asia-Pacific, the refusal of GOP leaders to seek a cure this American partisan cancer called Donald Trump is even more harmful to American prestige — American scumbags at work.
American political dysfunction is endemic & their partisan politics whose goal is mutual malevolence bore me.

IMHO, the GOP should, at various times, listen to the 4th estate explaining the harm done to America by Trump’s telling lies to agitate for domestic conflict.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 11
A careful study of this thread on Crimea is useful, in helping Taiwanese civilians understand the actual threat of PLA missiles on air bases.

This is why Taiwan’s air defence radars & missile deployment locations need to change from time to time.
PLA missiles are a threat. But that does not mean PLA propaganda on their capability of a Taiwan invasion is to be belived.
At war, China will make efforts to let Taiwan know that while the CCP doesn’t want the PLA striking targets in Japan, America’s strategically valuable bases there will be placed at risk & Guam can also be targeted. This complicates American planning to fly in supplies.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 11
One of the most sensible threads on Trump’s coming legal troubles.



There are too many American reporters that repeat partisan talking points & thus do not perform the 4th estate’s role (in informing the public about the steps needed for ‘rule of law’).
Former President Donald Trump invoked his Fifth Amendmt rights & declined to answer questions from the New York attorney general at a scheduled deposition — as part of 3 yr civil investigation into whether the Trump Organization misled lenders, insurers & tax authorities.
In Feb 2022, the National Archives and Records Administration said they retrieved 15 boxes of White House documents from Mar-a-Lago, a Trump violation of the Presidential Records Act, since those records should have been at the National Archives.
Read 8 tweets
Aug 6
Logical for Guardsmen to participate in Ex Garuda Shield — the Natuna Islands (570 km) are w/in range of RSAF CH-47Fs. The SAF’s 7 SIB’s increased familiarisation w USARPAC heli-ops essential for coalition ops.

Air assault helicopters can be refuelled at sea by USN or RSN LPDs.
Given that the scenario is coalition ops in support of the TNI to take back Natuna Islands, golden hour medical evacuation for the injured can be to a role 1 hospital sitting off the coast — eg. RSS Resolution (208) deployed in support of the US Army led coalition air assault. Image
The SAF did not send airborne troopers to Ex Garuda Shield; instead the army deployment force supported by RSS Resolution (208) was tasked in an air assault role.

RSS Resolution can also carry a role 1 medical module, to provide golden hour medical coverage, for the coalition. Image
Read 10 tweets
Aug 4
South Korea's Korean Air & Asiana Airlines are cancelling flights to Taiwan for 1 to 2 days because of Chinese military exercises in the area, local media reported on 4 Aug 2022.
On 4 Aug 2022, the PLA fired 11 Dongfeng ballistic missiles into waters north, east & south of Taiwan between 1:56 pm and 4 pm.
9 of the 11 Dongfeng missiles landed in Japanese waters, in a message to Japan too.
Read 4 tweets

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