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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Aug 16, 2022 • 11 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
This is an extraordinarily important observation on Russian Army logistics.👇

Powered & towed barges have always been the go-to logistical tool for military powers without air superiority/in a contested air environment.

2/
General Douglas MacArthur's air power in New Guinea ran on towed fuel barges from 1942-1944, when Japanese aipower blocked normal coastal tanker movement.

2/ Image
German Marinefährprahm (MFP), "naval ferry barge", or "F-lighter" types A thru D were used in the Danube plus the Mediterranean, Adriatic, North, Baltic & Black Seas for German logistical movements under Allied air superiority.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marinef%C…
3/ ImageImageImage
River barge traffic fed the German war machine in the 1944 Normandy campaign, in large part because it wasn't a priority target on the Allied transportation campaign strike list.

4/ Image
The Imperial Japanese Army & Navy made extensive uses of both un-powered and motorized barges to resupply under crushing Allied air superiority.

5/
The Russian Army used barges extensively with trains in "The Great Patriotic War," so their use in the current Russo-Ukrainian War is certain.

These barges were escorted or armed, see:

The Volga Flotilla Russian River Gunboats
worldnavalships.com/forums/thread.…

6/ Image
See also this Russian barges in WW2 wiki entry:

Dnieper Flotilla
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnieper_F…
7/ Image
And this entry.

Soviet Riverine Gunboats and Monitors
8/
naval-encyclopedia.com/ww2/soviet/riv… Image
The logistics of the Russo-Ukrainian War is proving to be an extended WW2 military history final exam for a lot of Western intelligence officers & analysts.

These folks already have an "incomplete" for WW2 mechanized logistics.

Let's see how well they will do with barges.🙄

9/
Hopefully modern Western analysts will do better with Russian barge traffic than the ones in SHAEF during the Normandy campaign.

10/End
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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 1
I cannot underline enough how drones have changed warfare from WW2 based on this 🧵 numbers:

75% of all RuAF Casualties are from drones
20% are from Artillery
4% are from small arms

RuAF WIA time to medical treatment past AFU drones: 14.5 hours (3 x normal CASEVAC)

Drone🧵
1/ Image
In WW2 according to US Army Medical department statistics, the US Army ground forces in NW Europe and the Mediterranean took 65% of their casualties from Artillery.

In 2025, Russia is taking 75% from drones.

2/ Image
Image
Drones are now more lethal in Ukraine than artillery was in the WW2, the most artillery heavy war in human history to date.

Drones have replaced, and then some, tube artillery, rockets and mortars as the indirect fire "King of Battle."

3/ Image
Read 12 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 23
Strategypage -dot- com has a new article out on the decline of Russian that civil infrastructure that makes Frederick Lanchester smile.

Russian Civil Infrastructure Attrition🧵

1/ Image
Text from the article:

"Russia wants to end the Ukraine War via negotiations with the United States. This will work if done from a position of strength. The current Russian situation is weak and getting weaker.

2/
...Russian forces in Ukraine are stalled and too weak to launch another offensive, even a small one.

It will get worse. The Russian economy is starting to collapse in some or many areas because of disinvestment.

3/
Read 8 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 8
Just...no.

This is the "Russia Strong" narrative pushed by those unknowingly spreading Russian Reflexive Control infowar propaganda, as here.

Russia is _Not_ Strong🧵

1/
The semiconductor industrial base is the foundation of 21st century economic & military power.

The USSR only ever produced single detector element technology like Long Wavelength Infrared (LWIR) Infrared Line Scan (IRLS) or scanning infrared Search and Track (IRST) like those on the MiG-29 Fulcrum A.

2/Image
The USSR never produced any of the classic nodding or spinning mirror LWIR Forward Looking Infrared (FLIRs) sensors that the US introduced during the Vietnam war.

In fact there is no evidence Russia was able to sustain any of the large Soviet semiconductor industry.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Feb 19
The vast majority of US military aid to Ukraine was in fact spent inside the USA to replace vastly overpriced by the Biden Adm. National Guard & Air Guard surplus weapons.

Spending aid money buying Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) to replace NG surplus Humvees

Infowar🧵
1/
...was just one of the aid grifts @JakeSullivan46 NSC crew played to pretend they were helping Ukraine while not offending Russia & buying US Defense contractor kit.

Pres. Trump is literally parroting Russian reflexive control scripts from Biden Adm.

2/
This should not be a surprise as I've pounded on the fact for 2 years that Russia has mapped & fed to each specific US tribal & professional demographic the data to eat up messages/memes Russia wants those groups to believe.

Calling Ukraine's...

3/
Read 7 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Feb 9
This @sambendett thread here makes Russia seem like a poor kid looking through a candy store window at the "candy" of Ukrainian ground resupply drones.

1/
We still don't see D-rings on Russian UGV's to hold down pallets lifted by all terrain forklifts and telehandlers.

[Hey, @TimothyDooner! Rate this strap work⬇️]

2/
 Image
I mean, seriously, Russia is now introducing a camel transport corps because the Russian startups and big defense contractors cannot produce supply UGV's at scale to deliver potable water to front line troops.

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Feb 9
This 🧵by @GrandpaRoy2 demonstrating the increasing battlefield obsolescence of tube artillery in the face of fiber optic fiber guided FPV drones is a useful jumping off point the following:

66% of RuAF AFV's & equipment killed in Jan 2025 were victims of drones

Drone tech🧵
1/ Image
Back in November 2024 I did a long thread on how drones were an "effectiveness revolution" on the battlefield and we would see drones displacing other battlefield weapons because of it.

2/
Drones are a cost effectiveness revolution compared to conventional weapons.

3/ Image
Read 12 tweets

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