In line with claims that American democracy is in crisis, we found concerning baseline levels of potentially problematic attitudes, e.g.:
➤Partisan animosity
➤Support for undemocratic practices
➤Support for undemocratic candidates
➤Biased evaluation of politicized facts
We test 25 interventions to reduce such attitudes, submitted by social scientists & practitioners. Most targeted partisan animosity, but many also aimed to reduce support for undemocratic practices or partisan violence. Walk-through of interventions here👇
Our results reveal that the efforts of those interested in reducing partisan animosity have yielded an impressive base of knowledge. 23 interventions reduced partisan animosity, often sizably (up to 10pts on a 100-pt scale), across survey and behavioral indicators, and durably.
We also find promising interventions that yield significant improvements for each of the other potentially problematic outcomes we examine - although effects on these outcomes were generally less common, smaller, and less durable than for partisan animosity.
For example, we found evidence that six interventions reduce support for undemocratic practices. Reducing misperceptions about outpartisans’ anti-democratic attitudes and highlighting the disastrous consequences of democratic collapse were the most promising approaches.
We also found five interventions that significantly reduced support for partisan violence. Engaging videos showing partisans’ reactions to misperception corrections and a joint pro-democratic statement by Utah’s candidates for governor in 2020 were most effective.
When we designed the challenge, we realized how little we actually know about how connected the many important political attitudes are.
Using effect sizes from the many interventions on the many outcomes we collected, we can shed unique light on this question.
We find:
➤Partisan animosity is largely driven by other factors than support for undemocratic practices or partisan violence.
➤Partisan animosity is driven by similar factors as biased evaluation of politicized facts and general social distrust.
Spotlight: Support for undemocratic candidates
Combination of how much voters endorse undemocratic practices, and how much they despise rival partisans - most effective interventions for reducing SUC are the top 2 for interventions for reducing SUP and top 4 interventions for PA
Overall, our results provide a toolkit of promising interventions for practitioners & shed new theoretical light on challenges facing American democracy. Problematic attitudes are related in complex ways, and effectively treating them requires understanding those relationships!
This project was a true team effort. Major thanks to the leaders of the project: @jgvoelkel, Nick Stagnaro, and @jchu1225. And huge kudos to Sophia Pink, Joe Mernyk, Chrystal Redekopp, Jamie Druckman, & @DG_Rand for their brilliance and hard work.
One-stop shopping for resources related to the Strengthening Democracy Challenge (press release, paper, details of interventions, etc.) on our website: strengtheningdemocracychallenge.org
🚨Results are in for the Strengthening Democracy Challenge. Winners will be announced this week!🚨
ITT we announce the 25 submissions we selected to test. We think these submissions are awesome & hope you do too.
But first, how we got here…👇🧵
BACKSTORY: last summer we invited people to submit ideas for how to reduce Americans’ anti-democratic attitudes, support for partisan violence, and/or partisan animosity.
Our research team worked w/ a stellar advisory board to select the 25 interventions we found most promising & then tested them in a massive (N>31,000) online survey experiment
What was eligible?
Short interventions (< 8 minutes) that were deployable online.
🚨Call for Submissions🚨 “The Strengthening Democracy Challenge,” a large-scale project testing interventions to reduce (a) anti-democratic attitudes, (b) support for partisan violence, and/or (c) partisan animosity, is open for submissions NOW 1/
American democracy faces major problems. Americans are willing to compromise on democratic principles for partisan goals. Some people are willing to resort to violence to help their side win. Extreme dislike for rival partisans has grown significantly in recent decades. 2/
To deepen understanding of how to address these problems, we will conduct a large (up to 30k participants) experiment testing up to 25 submitted interventions designed to reduce anti-democratic attitudes, support for partisan violence, and/or partisan animosity among Americans 3/
We identify three broad approaches - general public health messages, promotion by trusted politicians, and promotion by trusted nonpolitical influencers – identifying behavioral science relevant to each.
We highlight @deaneckles and colleagues’ research on how vaccine intentions can be increased (in the US and beyond) by informing people about the actually very high levels of vaccination+vaccine intentions in the general public.
🚨New WP🚨 “Elite Party Cues Increase Vaccination Intentions among Republicans”
How to convince Republicans-biggest holdout group-to get vaccinated? We find pro-vax messaging from Trump+Rep elites works, whereas Biden+Dems message reduces enthusiasm
High vaccination rate is key for herd immunity. But vaccine intentions are deeply polarized. ~40% of Republicans report they won’t vaccinate, essentially the same % as in Nov. A flat line for 5 months! (while other groups - e.g. racial minorities - have shifted substantially)
In pre-reg'ed experiment (N = 1,480), we varied whether Republicans saw endorsements of the vaccine from Republican politicians (including video from Trump’s CIPAC speech), from Democrats (including a speech by President Biden), or a neutral control.