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Evergreen Intel Profile picture
@vcdgf555
Aug 20, 2022 • 8 tweets • 13 min read • Read on X
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Increased amount of 🇷🇺 Russian mil and government activity observed in the past 24 hours (0300Z 8/189/22 to 0259Z 8/20/22): 28 separate airframes recorded via @ADSBexchange

May be a result of increased data coverage, not necessarily flights.
Rossiya - Special Flight Detachment, part 1

🇷🇺 RSD045 is Il-96-300 RA-96023 #157717
🇷🇺 RSD071 is An-148-100EA RA-61716 #14F114
🇷🇺 RSD073 is Il-96-300 RA-96018 #157712
🇷🇺 RSD077 is A319-115(CJ) RA-73026 #151D42
Rossiya - Special Flight Detachment, part 2

🇷🇺 RSD078 is Falcon 7X RA-09007 #14232F
🇷🇺 RSD105 is Tu-204-300 RA-64058 #14FA3A
🇷🇺 RSD882 is Tu-214 RA-64521 #14FC09
🇷🇺 RSD980 is Tu-214 RA-64534 #14FC16 (FSB)
Russian Air Force (including additional Rossiya RSD flights), part 1

🇷🇺 CTA0558K is Il-76MD-90A RF-78660 #1D3344
🇷🇺 RFF7779 is Tu-154B-2 RA-85563 #149C77
🇷🇺 RFF9006 is Tu-214PU-SBUS (presidential comms plane) RA-64529 #14FC11
🇷🇺 RFF9976 is Tu-154M RA-85843 #154F53
Russian Air Force, part 2 (south)

🇷🇺 30778 is An-148-100E RA-61729 #14F121
🇷🇺 82534 is Tu-154B-2 RA-85586 #154E52
🇷🇺 82460 is Tu-154M RA-85019 #154C1B (FSB)
🇷🇺 82546 is Tu-154M RA-85155 #154CA3
Russian Air Force, part 3 (south)

🇷🇺 82533 is Tu-154M RA-85686 #154EB6
🇷🇺 30780 is An-148-100E RA-61718 #14F116
🇷🇺 (No callsign) is Il-62M RA-86539 #15520B
🇷🇺 45446 is Tu-134A RA-65992 #1501C8
Russian Air Force, part 4

🇷🇺 30774 is An-148-100E RA-61733 #14F125
🇷🇺 30775 is An-148-100E RA-61728 #14F120
🇷🇺 78346 is Il-76MD RA-78847 #1533FF
🇷🇺 78840 is Il-76MD RA-78840 #1533F8
Ministry of Emergency Situations (EMERCOM), firefighting

🇷🇺 31140 is Be-200ChS RF-31140 #1479A0
🇷🇺 32766 is Be-200ChS RF-32766 #147FFE
🇷🇺 SUM9125 is Il-76TD RA-76841 #152C29
🇷🇺 (no callsign) is Be-200Chs RF-31380 #147A95

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More from @vcdgf555

Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jan 15
Iran-related thread.

Starting at 20:02 UTC, a pair of USAF C-17As set to depart from Al-Udeid AB, Qatar (OTBH) were instructed to "return to the chalks" and that their mission to Chania, Greece (LGSA) had been scrubbed. They were instructed then to wait for more info.

1/ Image
The change in plans coincides within minutes of remarks made by President Trump that the killings and executions inside Iran had been reported to have stopped, based on sources within Iran itself.

2/
This all occurred shortly after six USAF KC-135 tankers from Al-Udeid were seen departing in quick succession. These were believed to be evacuation flights, destination unknown.

The last KC-135 departed at ~1927 UTC or 35 minutes before the C-17As were told to stand down.

3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jan 3
Considering how quiet things have gotten this last little bit, I want to take the time to make a few points.

- 1st round seems to be over, at least for the Caracas area.
- Given how many airbases and military targets there are, this is frankly somewhat of a light 1st round.

1/
(cont.)

- Whatever was going on with the helicopters...
(A) Given social media these days, if something went terribly wrong, we likely would see it pretty quick
(B) Where did they come from??
(cont)
- In terms of assets we've seen build up.
(A) Rather light in terms of airstrikes, either from bases in the region, bombers from elsewhere or from the flattops.
(B) We are NOT maintaining air presence over Venezuelan skies. No sounds of fighters overhead.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jan 1
Iran updates.
Thread.

1/
2/
3/
Read 62 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Nov 21, 2025
Thread. Venezuela.

1/
2/
3/
Read 19 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Oct 26, 2025
Watched House of Dynamite.

My opinion in my replies. Image
Fantastic film. Perhaps the best of the modern era in terms of nuclear war fiction. Invoking the plot lines of a number of many prior films without actually drawing them to their full conclusions.

That said, I felt there were several major problems.
First, the whodunnit.

The scenario is made possible by a certain amount of ambiguity as to whether the DPRK, PLA or Russia launched the initial missile, made possible by a failure of detection by an early warning satellite in a region in which all 3 nations share interests.
Read 8 tweets
Evergreen Intel Profile picture
Jun 13, 2025
Day 2 thread of Israel vs Iran.

1/
NYT initially reported, then retracted, that the Quds Force Commander, Ismail Qaani, was killed.

Qaani is the successor to Qasem Soleimani.

2/
IAF appears to be entering Iranian airspace with impunity, even attacking during daylight.

3/

Read 21 tweets

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