This is a last compilation of the night for Mail, In Person, and EDay. Tomorrow AM, the SOS will probably have even more current numbers for Mail
Long story short: Republicans ran the tables with Election Day voting (it was 63% GOP, which was 11 points higher than it was in the 2018 primary).
Also, too, the polarization between mail and in person (as well as Election Day) was quite apparent in Florida. Below are the #:
What helped the Democrats remain competitive was that 46% of the two party vote was cast by mail. While only 17% voted in person. That left 37% to vote on Election Day
This is yet another example (I won't gloat - PROMISE) of the reality that there is an organic level of interest in voting on primary day that is NOT wholly dependent on a competitive race for Governor and Senator. Which will be apparent when I post a comparison to 2018
So for the preliminary two party vote, when compared to 2018, here's what I have:
2018: 137K, 86% Rep
2022: 178K, 96% Rep
Turnout compared to 2018: Overall +30%, Dem -62%, Rep +44%
(1/)
First things first, since providing an accurate projection/data is priority #1: I used NBC's wildly optimistic numbers about Democratic turnout, which (to their credit) were adjusted this AM, but were off for the Dems last night. So Republican turnout was quite robust.
(2/)
And while a 96% GOP electorate is pretty substantial, the motivation was clear: just over half of those who voted Democratic in 2018 opted to vote Republican for a day to save Liz Cheney, whose (according to CNN) 29% was Bob Inglis level disastrous.
(3/)
2018: 137K, 86% Rep
2022 so far: 77K, 96% Rep
2022 projected: 164K, 91% Rep
Proj turnout compared to 2018: Overall +20%, Dem -21%, Rep +27%
(1/3)
The 91% GOP proj electorate was about what I figured. What IS interesting from initial results: Democratic turnout only dropped 4K since 2018. Which leads me to an opinion I've had about this race: Cheney's REPUBLICAN problem couldn't be solved by getting DEMOCRATIC votes.
(2/3)
Particularly since, with 14% registered Democrats, the vast majority of them were COMMITTED Democrats who'd likely vote in a DEMOCRATIC primary anyway.
(3/3)
Technically, Wyoming AND Alaska have primaries tonight, although initial results from Alaska won't come in until late in the evening. And even then, itll take a couple of weeks for absentee voters to come in and get ranked. So for tonight, Wyoming gets top billing.
This is a heavily Republican state: 73% registered Republicans, 14% registered Democratic, and 13% third party. Obviously, the House race will be where all eyes are focused.
For the 41 counties that "entered the early voting stream" this AM, 14 are already reporting data. This data is VERY preliminary, and these 14 counties voted 56-43% for Trump.
Rep: 896 (65%)
Dem: 407 (30%)
Ind: 65 (5%)
EXTREMELY EARLY FL EV TURNOUT, II
Looking at all 67 counties now. 30/67 are posting data (these counties voted 51-48% for Trump, BTW - the stwd average). Here's very early data for ONLY today (they update every 10 mins):
Looking at all 67 counties now. 60/67 are posting data (these counties voted 51-48% for Trump, BTW - the stwd average). Here's midday data for ONLY today (they update every 10 mins):