The climate provisions of the #InflationReductionAct can be summarized in 3 words: Deploy, deploy, deploy. Clean energy = cheap energy, and if you build it, it will run. You can't subsidize a coal plant enough to make it compete against a plant with no marginal operating cost
Moreover, the fossil fuel industry has become so fat, drunk on subsidies and stupid when it comes to market demand. Dean Wormer told us that's no way to go through life. It also makes them really vulnerable. imf.org/en/Topics/clim…
The political pushback against renewables has always been driven by that fear of deployment. Cheaper energy is a wealth transfer from fossil energy producers to energy consumers. Entrepreneurial producers adapt. The ones we have instead chose to lobby against progress.
So as we now #DeployDeployDeploy we are going to see those fossil assets becoming less and less competitive as consumers prefer cheaper energy. That has the potential to create a virtuous cycle. Bring it on.
One last point: markets already know this. Tesla trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple 10x as high as Exxon. Investors are making it very clear that they don't trust the oil majors to provide long-term returns on capital.
As I told one of my more recalcitrant colleagues a few months ago: "I get it. Leadership is hard. The good news is you don't have to. Just follow what the markets are already telling us." Onward. /fin
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There is so much garbage polemicism happening around Biden's student debt relief proposal. And I know polemicists don't care about policy. But our job is to make good policy, and then use our platforms to make that into good politics - not the reverse. So a brief thread:
1/ The polemicism I'm specifically concerned about is this whole narrative that forgiving student debt drives up deficits & hurts our long term financial well being. That argument is meritless for two reasons.
2/ First, it confuses lower future debt service payments with the crystallization of an existing loss, and second it confuses the impacts of internal vs. external US debt. Let's take each separately.
This is a really important issue & bill we introduced this week that will make our electric grid more reliable, cleaner and cheaper. Short thread: subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eenews…
1/ When power is generated in a remote power plant and sent through a bunch of wires to get to your home or business there are losses in the system. ~7% on average, 20% or more during peak hours gets lost in distribution.
2/ That means that if you generate power locally (say a solar panel on your roof) or are willing to curtail your demand during peak hours (say: set your A/C to run few degrees warmer) the power you generate or avoid is 1.1 - 1.2x what you see on your meter.
The volatility in natural gas prices is overwhelmingly due to domestic gas producers shipping gas overseas to capitalize on higher price markets (and only selling to Americans if they're willing to pay the same rate). As proven in real time here: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
To be clear, that's not a criticism of domestic gas producers. They have the same interest that every business has: they want to sell their product at the highest possible price. They build LNG terminals so they can access more expensive European markets.
But it is absolutely a criticism of every disingenuous politician (or gas industry shill) who claims that high prices are because of domestic policy choices. Unless they are talking about the domestic policy choices to build LNG export terminals, they are lying.
This isn't meant as snark. It's frighteningly true. From Reagan's support for immigration to Bush I's acid rain cap & trade regs to Romneycare, the @GOP has abandoned virtually every broadly popular idea they've had over the last 3 decades.
As they abandoned the middle, they lost the ability to win popular elections. Within the context of current structures, their power derives solely from those institutions (electoral college, senate, SCOTUS, gerrymandering) where the winner is not determined by popular vote.
This is really interesting - on the undervaluing of transmission investments that would provide insurance against extreme weather events. utilitydive.com/news/regional-…
This is about transmission, but could just as easily be about so much of the COVID-driven supply chain disruptions in the global economy.
Capital markets over-reward short-term cash flow and under-value hedges against future disruption. (Yes, I realize I'm just rehashing the Black Swan). But this could just as easily be about every business that skinnied down their inventory and then couldn't meet demand last year.
Whenever these sorts of things happen I'm struck by how much love and self-confidence there is in the LGBT+ community and how threatening that is for a certain subset of the population. Love has the numbers, and don't let events like this convince you otherwise.
None of us choose our gender, nor our sexuality, nor where we sit on traditionally masculine or feminine continuums. That's the beauty of biology. But some of us wear masks. To be more macho, more feminine, more able to fit into some social norm than we feel.
Being totally honest with yourself and presenting yourself outwardly in a way that is consistent with who you are on the inside - outside of a few acceptable "insides" is an act of bravery and love.