Thread by @thejoeholkashow

6 League-Winners that'll help you DESTROY your competition in fantasy football 2022:

Mike Williams hasn’t averaged under 15 yards per reception since 2017.

• Top-10 in deep targets in 2022

He has J. Herbert to get it there, Top-5 in deep ball completion % (PlayerProfiler).

There's more:

• Top-10 in end zone targets in 2022

Only Cooper Kupp saw more targets within 5 yards of the end zone.

Williams trailed only Kupp in fantasy scoring through 5 weeks by the way.

We know the knee injury slowed him down after that...

Theoretical EV here is sky high at WR14.

Tony Pollard is expected to handle more touches (and see more snaps at slot WR).

He was PFF's No. 2 graded rusher in '21.

They also graded the Cowboys as the NFL's No. 1 offense.

The only thing standing in his way from breaking his "top handcuff" label is Zeke.

A player he continues to out-perform...

• Yards per Touch: 6.2 (2nd) vs. 4.5 (35th)
• Juke Rate: 34.9% vs. 26.1%
• Breakaway Run Rate: No.3 vs. No.45
• Yds Created Per Touch: No. 6 vs. No.37

When (not if) Zeke struggles and/or for some reason he misses time, it's go time.

Pollard scored 31.2 fantasy pts in his only game without Zeke, finishing as THE RB1.

Only Jonathan Taylor, Alvin Kamara, and Austin Ekeler had a better yds per touch.

Pollard finished No.1 in points per opportunity (without touchdowns).

Looks great for Pollard as a receiver too:

• 84.8% catch rate (3rd)
• 2.5 yards per route run (1st)
• 8.6 yards per rec (10th)

The Cowboys also boast the 6th easiest RB strength of schedule (FantasyPros).

What am I missing here?

Pollard is the better value/risk by a mile.

You can correlate a nice bet here, depending on your side.

PrizePicks lists Zeke at 875.5 rush yards and Pollard at 690.5.

I'm on the Zeke UNDER & Pollard OVER.

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Leonard Fournette is the lead back for the 2nd-highest scoring '21 offense in the NFL.

He signed a 3-year extension after:

• 69 RB receptions (3rd)
• 54 RZ touches (3rd)
• 22.3 PPR points over last 6 games
• RB3 in fantasy points per game

60% of his contract is guaranteed.

Top-2 RB over final 11 games… when his 70 tgts led the position (per Sal Vetri).

2nd in targets per game (Swift).

1-of-4 players with 50%+ RZ opp. share.

The Fat Lenny memes were fun, but it's overblown. Coach is unconcerned.

I'm buying Lenny & Rachaad White at ADP.

Joe Mixon was 3rd in carries and 5th in RZ touches last season...

Now he's running behind a borderline Top-10 offensive line (once a huge weakness):

Mixon ranked 33rd in run blocking efficiency last year (PlayerProfiler).

He's lost 3rd down work before, but there's room for growth in his proj. if that changes.

Since 2018, Mixon has averaged 20.5 touches per game (per Eric Moody).

J. Taylor was only other RB with 7 top-six weekly finishes in '21 (Andrew Erickson)

Michael Pittman is a legit No. 1 WR and another '21 #ReceptionPerception star:

• 96th percentile success rate vs. press
• Handled a massive 25.7% target share.
• 31% target share Week 13-18

His 98.1% route participation was bested by only C. Kupp and J. Chase.

We know Matt Ryan is a much better compliment to his skillset.

So it's not surprising to hear about the duo already dominating in camp.

Wentz' accuracy was a huge issue (29th, per PlayerProfiler).

Matty Ice averaged a Top-15 rating in this category over the last four years.

Honestly, he was better than Wentz in nearly every efficiency category.

Ryan turned R. Gage into a Top-20 WR down the stretch.

This could be as simple as Pittman's 51.3% route run win rate (4th best):

• And just a massive upgrade at QB.
• Nearly zero target competition.

Aaron Jones has true league-winning upside, despite AJ Dillon's presence.

Let me explain...

Both RBs were Top-12 in RZ touches (this was with Davante Adams on the team).

Jones avg. 22.9 PPG without Adams, this would rank #2 among ALL players in '21.

(per Alex Caruso)

Also...

Green Bay has a massive need for pass-catchers, so what if Jones goes nuts?

The primary fantasy benefit of Dillon's involvement is more targets for Jones.

He was Top-10 in yds created per touch.

Unsurprisingly, Jones averages more fantasy pts w/ Dillon active for this reason.

Follow @thejoeholkashow.

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👇

RT the 1st Tweet now, so others can enjoy:

https://twitter.com/thejoeholkashow/status/1563617097770569729

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