13 terrible player prop lines you should exploit before Thursday Night Football:
Joe Mixon MORE THAN 3.0 receptions
Aug 30, 2022 • 23 tweets • 7 min read
If you're tired of losing money on DraftKings & FanDuel, read this:
More importantly, if you're willing to get more contrarian & take calculated risks...
This will help you.
4 reasons Single Entry and 3-Max GPPs (tournaments) are still super exploitable:
Aug 29, 2022 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
DraftKings gets ≈200,000 people to enter its weekly NFL "Millionaire Maker."
But 30%+ of the prize pool going to 1st isn't the only problem with these GPPs...
Here's 6 reasons why you will make 10x more money in small-field tournaments:
Most large-field GPPs are lottery tickets.
I believe there are very few people attacking them with a true edge.
But major props to anyone who has been able to crush in those streets with +ROI.
I've taken a different approach with small-field GPPs:
Here's THE Fantasy Football MVP at each position in 2022 (you're welcome):
RUNNING BACK MVP: Dalvin Cook (MIN):
Minnesota may be Jefferson's world,
But Cook is still the Viking workhorse.
I'm not worried about his RB9 finish in FPPG (15.9) after 2 seasons of being RB2.
Here's why:
Aug 27, 2022 • 20 tweets • 5 min read
6 League-Winners that'll help you DESTROY your competition in fantasy football 2022:
Mike Williams hasn’t averaged under 15 yards per reception since 2017.
• Top-10 in deep targets in 2022
He has J. Herbert to get it there, Top-5 in deep ball completion % (PlayerProfiler).
There's more:
Aug 27, 2022 • 31 tweets • 3 min read
27 BOLD predictions for Fantasy Football:
1. Tony Pollard will finish ahead of Ezekiel Elliott in fantasy scoring.
Aug 26, 2022 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
Draft these 3 Rookie WRs to 10x your chances of WINNING your fantasy league:
Drake London played in just 8 games last year, but was elite:
• 38% target share
• 19 contested catches
• 3rd in yards per route run
Matt Harmon named the No.8 overall "best contested-catch WR" in the class.
Plus, first-round pedigree often means opportunities right away.
Aug 26, 2022 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
3 Breakout WRs who will 100% help you SMOKE your friends in fantasy football:
Rashod Bateman was the first rookie WR since Brandin Cooks...
To log 500+ receiving yards on fewer than 70 targets.
(per Andrew Erickson)
195 targets opened up on the Ravens with the Brown/Watkins departures.
Aug 25, 2022 • 30 tweets • 4 min read
27 simple ways to make your fantasy football league 50% better in 2022:
1. Losers bracket winner gets their money back.
A simple way to keep engagement from all players in the fantasy playoffs.
Aug 25, 2022 • 19 tweets • 13 min read
Draft these 5 RBs to 10x your chances of winning your fantasy football league:
Leonard Fournette is the lead back for the 2nd-highest scoring '21 offense in the NFL.
He signed a 3-year extension after:
• 69 RB receptions (3rd)
• 54 RZ touches (3rd)
• 22.3 PPR points over last 6 games
• RB3 in fantasy points per game
60% of his contract is guaranteed.
Aug 24, 2022 • 25 tweets • 4 min read
21 players you will HATE yourself for drafting in fantasy football 2022:
1. Najee Harris (PIT), ADP 11.3, RB6:
Concerns they reduce workload, bottom-3 O-line, & ton of mouths to feed in PIT.
Aug 24, 2022 • 20 tweets • 19 min read
Winning a Fantasy Championship is tough.
But I just did 99.99% of the work for you...
These are the 7 best WR's to draft in 2022:
Christain Kirk describes his role as:
"dynamic. Inside, outside, and even get into the backfield." (per @JoshNorris).
Jags are heavily incentivized to feature him ($37M fully guaranteed).
He can handle it.
People forget he commanded a 21% tgt share without Nuk in the lineup.
Aug 23, 2022 • 17 tweets • 3 min read
Finding MASSIVE upside outside the 1st round is how you win a FF championship.
And I just did 50% of the work for you...
13 players in the Top-75 who guarantee you'll CRUSH your fantasy football draft:
1. Saquon Barkley (NYG), ADP 15, RB8:
16.2 FPPG when he was healthy with Daniel Jones. Much improved o-line and new coach will help recapture the magic.
Aug 22, 2022 • 17 tweets • 6 min read
13 sneaky RBs that'll help you CRUSH your competition in fantasy football 2022:
1. Dameon Pierce (HOU), ADP 102.9, RB35:
5.7 YPC at Florida, and didn’t play in preseason Week 2. Does that mean he’s Houston's RB1?