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Fantasy Football Picks & Bets┃The @JoeHolka Show https://t.co/akhK63MzzZ┃You can get my daily picks for $0 in the email newsletters linked below┃#PropDrop
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Aug 24, 2023 22 tweets 5 min read
Need help with your Fantasy Football Draft?

Here's the No.1 strategy to win in 2023: Round 1: Draft the best player at your spot

Wide receiver? Running back? Travis Kelce?

Anyone who’s played fantasy football knows the one rule for the first two rounds:

Don’t miss.

The important thing is to grab a productive player you can build your whole team around.
Jul 31, 2023 14 tweets 4 min read
The secret to winning in Fantasy Football

Draft better than your buddies.

Lucky for you...

I found the best pick of each round, enjoy: Rd. 1: Justin Jefferson (MIN), ADP 1.7, WR1:

With the news about Burrow, Jefferson takes the cake as the best pick over Ja'Marr Chase.

He was WR1 in catches (128), yards (1,809), YAC (630), and route wins (328).

And 7 games with 30+ PPR.

He's as sure a bet as you can find.
Jul 27, 2023 21 tweets 5 min read
Winning a Fantasy Championship is tough.

But I just did 33.33% of the work for you...

Here are the Top-17 draft picks (overall): Justin Jefferson (MIN), ADP 1.7, WR1:

He had 7 games with over 30 PPR points as fantasy’s WR1 in '22.

Led the league in targets (184), catches (128), yards (1,809), and YAC (630),

The Vikings passed on over 64% of their plays, so JJ is as sure a bet as you can find.
Jul 24, 2023 31 tweets 4 min read
The best part of fantasy football is drafting your team.

Especially when you start to identify the 7% of players going way too late...

10x your odds of beating your friends by stealing some combo of these 27 players: Kenneth Walker (SEA), ADP 47.3, RB15:

Was RB8 in fantasy PPG when Rashaad Penny was hurt; had the 3rd-most RZ touches.
Nov 12, 2022 40 tweets 16 min read
DFS is hard...

This will help you do better in Week 10.

Because to win on DraftKings, you MUST get these 3 NFL games right: It's time for my weekly conversation with @LordReebs (sharpfootballanalysis.com).

We're talking about the most important games of NFL Week 10.

Check it out.
Nov 11, 2022 32 tweets 15 min read
15 players that will help you CRUSH the competition on DraftKings in Week 10: Winning DFS is tough.

Luckily, we did 99% of the work for you.

Each week, I talk to @allinkid (theathletic.com) on my show.

Here are the guys we think you have exposure to on your rosters:
Sep 30, 2022 36 tweets 17 min read
Winning on DraftKings is tough.

But we just did 50% of the work for you...

Here are the 17 Best DFS Picks in Week 4: Part 1:

It's been an interesting three weeks.

What players do we want to target going into Week 4?

DraftKings Locks w/ @allinkid 👇
Sep 29, 2022 18 tweets 2 min read
13 terrible player prop lines you should exploit before Thursday Night Football: Joe Mixon MORE THAN 3.0 receptions
Aug 30, 2022 23 tweets 7 min read
If you're tired of losing money on DraftKings & FanDuel, read this: More importantly, if you're willing to get more contrarian & take calculated risks...

This will help you.

4 reasons Single Entry and 3-Max GPPs (tournaments) are still super exploitable:
Aug 29, 2022 19 tweets 4 min read
DraftKings gets ≈200,000 people to enter its weekly NFL "Millionaire Maker."

But 30%+ of the prize pool going to 1st isn't the only problem with these GPPs...

Here's 6 reasons why you will make 10x more money in small-field tournaments: Most large-field GPPs are lottery tickets.

I believe there are very few people attacking them with a true edge.

But major props to anyone who has been able to crush in those streets with +ROI.

I've taken a different approach with small-field GPPs:
Aug 28, 2022 20 tweets 8 min read
Here's THE Fantasy Football MVP at each position in 2022 (you're welcome): RUNNING BACK MVP: Dalvin Cook (MIN):

Minnesota may be Jefferson's world,

But Cook is still the Viking workhorse.

I'm not worried about his RB9 finish in FPPG (15.9) after 2 seasons of being RB2.

Here's why:
Aug 27, 2022 20 tweets 5 min read
6 League-Winners that'll help you DESTROY your competition in fantasy football 2022: Mike Williams hasn’t averaged under 15 yards per reception since 2017.

• Top-10 in deep targets in 2022

He has J. Herbert to get it there, Top-5 in deep ball completion % (PlayerProfiler).

There's more:
Aug 27, 2022 31 tweets 3 min read
27 BOLD predictions for Fantasy Football: 1. Tony Pollard will finish ahead of Ezekiel Elliott in fantasy scoring.
Aug 26, 2022 11 tweets 3 min read
Draft these 3 Rookie WRs to 10x your chances of WINNING your fantasy league: Drake London played in just 8 games last year, but was elite:

• 38% target share
• 19 contested catches
• 3rd in yards per route run

Matt Harmon named the No.8 overall "best contested-catch WR" in the class.

Plus, first-round pedigree often means opportunities right away.
Aug 26, 2022 10 tweets 3 min read
3 Breakout WRs who will 100% help you SMOKE your friends in fantasy football: Rashod Bateman was the first rookie WR since Brandin Cooks...

To log 500+ receiving yards on fewer than 70 targets.

(per Andrew Erickson)

195 targets opened up on the Ravens with the Brown/Watkins departures.
Aug 25, 2022 30 tweets 4 min read
27 simple ways to make your fantasy football league 50% better in 2022: 1. Losers bracket winner gets their money back.

A simple way to keep engagement from all players in the fantasy playoffs.
Aug 25, 2022 19 tweets 13 min read
Draft these 5 RBs to 10x your chances of winning your fantasy football league: Leonard Fournette is the lead back for the 2nd-highest scoring '21 offense in the NFL.

He signed a 3-year extension after:

• 69 RB receptions (3rd)
• 54 RZ touches (3rd)
• 22.3 PPR points over last 6 games
• RB3 in fantasy points per game

60% of his contract is guaranteed.
Aug 24, 2022 25 tweets 4 min read
21 players you will HATE yourself for drafting in fantasy football 2022: 1. Najee Harris (PIT), ADP 11.3, RB6:

Concerns they reduce workload, bottom-3 O-line, & ton of mouths to feed in PIT.
Aug 24, 2022 20 tweets 19 min read
Winning a Fantasy Championship is tough.

But I just did 99.99% of the work for you...

These are the 7 best WR's to draft in 2022: Christain Kirk describes his role as:

"dynamic. Inside, outside, and even get into the backfield." (per @JoshNorris).

Jags are heavily incentivized to feature him ($37M fully guaranteed).

He can handle it.

People forget he commanded a 21% tgt share without Nuk in the lineup.
Aug 23, 2022 17 tweets 3 min read
Finding MASSIVE upside outside the 1st round is how you win a FF championship.

And I just did 50% of the work for you...

13 players in the Top-75 who guarantee you'll CRUSH your fantasy football draft: 1. Saquon Barkley (NYG), ADP 15, RB8:

16.2 FPPG when he was healthy with Daniel Jones. Much improved o-line and new coach will help recapture the magic.
Aug 22, 2022 17 tweets 6 min read
13 sneaky RBs that'll help you CRUSH your competition in fantasy football 2022: 1. Dameon Pierce (HOU), ADP 102.9, RB35:

5.7 YPC at Florida, and didn’t play in preseason Week 2. Does that mean he’s Houston's RB1?