Jan Rosenow Profile picture
Aug 30 12 tweets 6 min read
Marginal pricing in electricity markets has been subject of much debate lately.

How can we shield consumers from surges in energy prices whilst preserving the market’s essential functions?

We @RegAssistProj have a proposal: a price shock absorber. 🧵

raponline.org/knowledge-cent…
1/ The EU is planning an "emergency intervention" in electricity markets to reduce prices. National governments have announced similar initiatives too.

politico.eu/article/pressu…
2/ Policy interventions want to correct the effects of marginal pricing which means the clearing price is set by the most expensive generator.

@LionHirth @thehertieschool has an excellent thread on marginal pricing for those unfamiliar with the term.
3/ The current market design has been built over decades. Reforming it takes time, is complex and should not be done in a rush with potential unintended consequences as German energy expert @CKemfert points out.
4/ Our shock absorber is modelled on “circuit breaker” mechanisms that have been in place for some time in other markets to prevent run-away scarcity pricing from harming consumers. Cumulative pricing threshold inAustralia and the peaker net margin in the ERCOT are examples.
5/ Importantly, it leaves electricity market fundamentals in place to deliver energy efficiency, beneficial demand flexibility and a ‘normal’ level of expected inframarginal rent to compensate investors for the value of their investments.
6/ Mechanism trigger: price shock above useful market function

Next: cap clearing price for gas-based generation

Non-gas resources (RES, nuclear, DSF) continue bidding at marginal cost & are dispatched in merit order.

IF gas is needed: cost recovery on load-weighted basis
7/ We compare the price shock absorber proposal with other policy options. None of them are perfect (including our proposal) but blunt price cap and pay-as-bid score particularly poorly.
8/ Proposals for splitting the market into a green power pool and fossil generators have been made too, most recently by @MLiebreich but also @MichaelGrubb9. Those ideas deserve a closer look but would take time to be implemented.
9/ @eu_acer have proposed a "temporary relief valve" in April very similar to our shock absorber: normal market clearing, regular price signals, up to the point where sustained high prices have reached the mechanism’s pre-defined threshold.

acer.europa.eu/Official_docum…
10/ Almost daily governments announce that they want to decouple gas from electricity prices. Latest example is Austria. Any reform needs to be carefully considered to avoid unintended consequences. Our shock absorber provides short-term relief. euractiv.com/section/energy…
11/ German government also looking at options to ease price pressure. @JakobSchlandt @SueEhlerding

zeit.de/politik/deutsc…

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More from @janrosenow

Aug 28
POLL: How will the energy crisis affect the clean energy transition?
1/ My personal view: The sharp increase in fossil fuel prices makes renewables and energy efficiency multiple times more economical. We already see a massive uptick in demand for clean energy tech.
2/ Here’s solar: UK suppliers of solar panels have reported a fourfold increase in orders this year compared with the year before.

thetimes.co.uk/article/race-t…
Read 9 tweets
Aug 4
Winter is coming - it is less than 60 days until the next heating season starts.

⚠️Gas prices are ~10x ⬆️ compared to the first half of 2021.

Where is the war-time effort on energy efficiency in Europe? Which countries have announced major ramp up of insulation programmes?

🧵
1/ First up: Germany announced a whopping €14 billion per year of public funding for building energy efficiency retrofits.
2/ Italy continues to provide very generous tax rebates up to 110% of investment costs through its superbonus scheme. By April this year the Italian government provided €21bn in subsidies since launching in July 2020. That's ~€12bn/yr. theguardian.com/world/2022/apr…
Read 10 tweets
Jul 26
Electrification is energy efficiency.

If we electrified industry, buildings and transport to the full potential this would reduce final energy demand by 40%.

Data from Prof Nick Eyre @ecioxford @CREDS_UK @oxfordgeography link.springer.com/article/10.100…

🧵
@ecioxford @CREDS_UK @oxfordgeography 1/ Currently much of energy services society uses are produced from converting heat to work, mainly by combusting fossil fuels.
2/ The energy transition involves a systemic shift from heat-producing to work-producing energy sources. Even energy services that involve heating will largely be based on work (renewable electricity).
Read 10 tweets
Jul 18
Renewable energy now cheaper than ever before.

Cost less than cheapest new fossil fuel-fired power generation.

In period 2010-2021 we have seen cost reductions of:

📉-88% utility-scale solar
📉-68% onshore wind
📉-60% offshore wind

New @IRENA analysis irena.org/publications/2… Image
1/ Extent of benefits from renewables in 2022 will be unprecedented. Fuel and CO2 cost only for fossil gas are now higher than cost of solar. Image
2/ In a single year costs of solar and offshore wind came down by 13% with offshore wind costs down 15%. Image
Read 7 tweets
Jun 24
Cooling is the fastest growing use of energy in buildings.

More 🔥 heatwaves
➡️ More ❄️ cooling
➡️ More ⚡ electricity use

This ought to be on our radar but it is currently not.

🧵
1/ As @FrediOtto and her team have shown "every heatwave in the world is now made stronger and more likely to happen because of human-caused climate change".
Read 10 tweets
Jun 23
Making cities more walkable and cyclable is so important.

But change is hard. In my local area in Oxford Low Traffic Neighbourhoods (LTNs) currently being trialled.

Angry drivers have repeatedly removed bollards blocking them from cutting through quiet residential roads.

🧵
1/ Car travel in the UK has increased by a whopping 531% since 1960. Navigation systems send drivers through residential roads never built for this much traffic.

At the same time public transport and bike use is much lower than in other countries.
2/ Because cars have gotten much bigger and heavier fuel consumption is not declining causing huge carbon emissions.
Read 16 tweets

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