lhsingapura Profile picture
Aug 30, 2022 12 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1. Below, the magnificent Su-30MKI at the ‘walk’ phase of the crawl-walk-run stages of Ex. Pitch Black 2022, during Dissimilar Air Combat Training (DACT).

2. But there are some Indian misconceptions about how training is conducted, especially over its DACT with a RAAF Growler.
3. All of this, "my Indian Su-30MKI kicked your Growler's butt" is silly. A valuable part of this phase of #PitchBlack22 is watching how the other side operates, to learn what kind of tactics they use, including how they have been "modified" along with the weapons declared.
4. A 1 v 1 scenario of a MKI v a Growler is so constrained that it's not a viable situation in real life. In real life, Growlers are escorted by other fighters to perform their EW & SEAD role — to ensure a unfair fight.
5. Any Blue Force strike package in a coalition large force employment exercise directed by a E-7A, will see fighters like Su-30MKIs or F-35As employed in a DCA or OCA role to protect the EA-18Gs.
6. The Su-30MKI may be an excellent dog fighter but that’s not the preferred method for any OCA package from JASDF, USAF, USN, RAAF, ROKAF, or RSAF to engage red air. The modern air-air fight is at BVR ranges (with the AIM-260 starting to appear in numbers from FY2026).
7. For years, IAF Su-30MKIs have been engaged in DACT with RSAF F-16C/Ds, to get a better idea of Pakistani tactics. It’s no surprise that coalition pilots, featured below, are using the MKI to learn more about PLAAF (Shenyang J-11) & Russian (Sukhoi Su-30) tactics.
8. Likewise Singapore also needs CONOPS help from the US Marines, the RAF & the Aeronautica Militare (as fellow operators of the F-35B) — as we do not have prior STOVL aircraft ops experience. There should be no shame in learning to operate in a coalition more effectively.
9. MAJ Sivaraj (36), flew his F-15SG as an “enemy” against RAAF F-35As in a “very challenging scenario”, said his opponents handled it “very well”.
10. “Through this we can actually see how capable the F-35s are in their teamwork. The way the aircraft flies, how they target the adversaries & how they work together as a team was quite impressive to see,” MAJ Arumugam Sivaraj said as Red Air.
11. “Exercises like this just help us understand these aircraft in a large-force scenario, & that kind of knowledge will help us form and shape some (operational concepts) that we think we can employ subsequently,” COL Mark Tan (44), as RSAF’s exercise director said.
12. I am aware that air forces of small & medium powers (no matter how capable), need to operate as part of a coalition to have mass — the 1991 GWI is an eg. of American power & mass, when they help liberate a country (like Kuwait), from the naked aggression of Saddam’s Iraq.
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More from @lhsingapura

Jul 18
@Mazri73 1️⃣Taiwan has defendable terrain & this renders an unseen advantage. Having previously participated in multi-domain war-games, both Australia & Singapore understand how difficult an opposed landing will be for the PLA (on the 14 possible invasion sites).

2️⃣The PLA is not…
@Mazri73 ..10 feet tall, & they will not ready for war by 2027. But it is possible for the Chinese military to be ready by the 2032-2036 time period.

3️⃣In the Indo-Pacific, the US DoD will never fight alone — US allies & partners also operate VLO & STOVL aircraft, making runway denial…
@Mazri73 ..as a strategy, not viable for the the PLA Second Artillery Corps.

4️⃣China is still trapped by the JMSDF & the USN w-in the 1st & 2nd island chains, for now. You are over estimating China’s resolve, & this is as harmful as under-estimating the PLA’s emerging naval capabilities.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 7
@eddytzani97 1. As Dr Ng said, Singapore does not “…depend on another country to come to our rescue. If Singaporeans will not or cannot defend Singapore, there is no backstop. A strong SAF acts a deterrence against aggression towards us & keeps adventurism at bay.”
@eddytzani97 2. A few years ago, my son told me that based on his initial medical screening, he was ineligible to serve in a combat unit. I went with him for more medical tests to provide evidence he could serve — later, he completed 38 weeks of OCS in 2018 & is now a LTA in the reserves.
@eddytzani97 3. It is easy to fall for rage farming on social media by politicians (eg. protect Malay rights). Lies by state sponsored media is often unchallenged by its echo chamber.

4. In contrast, I took my son for interval training on my holiday with him & took him to a range, to shoot.
Image
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Read 6 tweets
Jan 30
@ChasAHKnight 1️⃣Some counter terrorism efforts that exceed a country’s borders & territorial waters are in a legal grey zone.

Q: If Pakistan had managed to capture any of the operators in Operation Neptune Spear, would they be seen prosecuted under the laws of Pakistan?
@ChasAHKnight 2️⃣Other egs include a raid that would not be legal under local laws include the killing of Abd-al-Hadi Mahmud al-Haji Ali during an “unilateral helicopter raid” in Apr 2023 (in al-Suwaydah, Syria). If Assad could have captured US troops in this raid, he would conduct a trial.
@ChasAHKnight 3️⃣Strictly speaking, it should be the Palestinian Authority (PA) that should act to stop the use of hospitals by Hamas gunmen (in the West Bank). Instead, the PA has a play to slay policy to support terror. Doctrine of necessity applies.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 23
1. The requirements for a ‘credible defense posture’ for an US ally like the Philippines (with the EEZ disputes), is very different from that of a non-aligned nation.

2. Singapore as a non-aligned nation has no allies, in the even of an armed conflict (or an invasion), &…
..needs a defence budget of SGD17.98 billion (USD13.4 billion). Each year, Singapore invests more on defence than the defence budget of any other ASEAN country but that does not mean our posture is credible.

3. The struggle for credibility is real, as there are scenarios…
..we plan for (where deterrence has failed) & there is a need to mobilise for the bigger fight to come, or face defeat.

4. Sun Tzu wrote, “victorious warriors win 1st & then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war 1st & then seek to win.” This applies to the 1962 Sino-…
Read 6 tweets
Oct 15, 2023
1. Hamas aided by the pro-Palestinian Malaysian cyber army are doing great work to push their narrative.

2. These terrorist supporters are using a picture of an Israeli kid killed by Hamas & claiming it was a Palestinian killed in an air strike.
3. Hamas is facing an unmitigated public relations disaster. Hamas is trying to deny (or distract) from the following:

(a) 400,000 Israelis cannot go home, until the ground war is fought;

(b) Hamas is prepared & wants to fight this war, with Gaza & hostages, as human shields; &
(c) Malay social media influencers in Malaysia (& other countries) are on a suicide mission to defend terrorism.

4. The narrative battle to support terror is fought with bots, trolls & uses AI. Hamas is trying to present its gunmen as principled by broadcasting clips of…
Read 8 tweets
Sep 4, 2023
1. Important to keep in mind that the RSAF with 5 squadrons (with 100 fighters) is a small air force.

2. IIRC, a single USAF fighter wing has 7 squadrons.
Image
3. Grateful for @DrTimHuxley’s comment, but let me clarify my point.

4. Singapore’s fighter fleet size (~100) is comparable to that of Thailand or Vietnam.

5. But if you measure the RSAF against Taiwan (379), Korea (482), or Japan (313), the RSAF is small or ~1/3 their size.
@DrTimHuxley 6. The 1st chart forgets to count the M-346s stationed in France.

7. The RSAF used to have an orbat of 167 fighters but was downsized to about ~112, & may even go up to 124 (or more), before the F-16 fleet is slowly phased out.
Read 7 tweets

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