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Aug 31 • 3 tweets • 2 min read
Democrats are spending close to $100k on TV ads for Republican Bob Burns in the #NH02 GOP primary. Democrats are scared Keene Mayor George Hansel (R) can beat Rep. Annie Kuster (D) so they are trying to trick Republicans into nominating Burns.
politico.com/news/2022/08/2…
Bob Burns (R) only raised about $180K for his #NH02 campaign. So the 6 figure ad buy Democrats are making on his behalf is almost as much as Burns has spent on his entire campaign. This is the fake ad Democrats are spending a fortune on to boost Burns👇
Democrats are also sending GOP primary voters in #NH02 anonymous pro Bob Burns (R) mail pieces. The flyers have no identification or disclaimers (which is a violation of federal campaign finance law) but come from Democrat direct mail shop Reynolds DeWalt.

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More from @RRHElections

RRH Elections Profile picture
Jun 10
NY's Assembly maps which are the basis for all of NY's election districts have been ruled unconstitutional & will need to be redrawn for 2024. 1/4
By separating the Assembly lawsuit from the Congressional & state Senate lawsuit the petitioners were able to get a re-draw for those 2 maps this year as opposed to having to operate this election cycle on the legislature's illegal gerrymandered map. 2/4
If NY's Assembly maps were ruled illegal when the House & state Senate maps were tossed the difficulty of redrawing all of NY's election districts in time could have prevented the court from ordering a re-draw this year & allowed the Legislature's gerrymander to stand for 2022.
Read 4 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
May 21
Quick hits on the new NY Congressional map: this will realistically swing between 16D-10R and 20D-6R, with each party having a couple other longer-shot targets. The key changes from Monday are a safer Malliotakis seat and splitting Suffolk by North/South Shore instead of E/W.
After being tantalized with the possibility of a compact South Brooklyn seat, the court's final map is somehow even worse for the Orthodox Jewish community than the first draft. Boro Park is split precisely down the middle, eliminating its influence.
With the huge exception of South Brooklyn, everything else south of I-84 is about as clean and no-nonsense as you could ask for. But the Upstate lines are still a mess, as Cervas's attempt to draw a "competitive" #NY19 creates a seat that runs from Watertown to Niagara.
Read 4 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
May 19
Here is the DRA link to the proposed changes the Harkenrider Petitioners have submitted to NY Congressional map proposed by Special Master Jonathan Cervas. The proposed changes would have 1 fewer split county be more compact on almost all measures👇
davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::…
The most important proposed changes in the Petitioners map is it undoes the possibly illegal cracking of the Orthodox Jewish community in south Brooklyn & converts the #NY10 "Bill deBlasio Opportunity" district into an Orthodox Jewish opportunity district.
The Harkenrider Petitioners also cleans up the NY Special Master split of Buffalo and draws a much cleaner and more compact #NY24.
Read 5 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
May 18
#PASen is extremely unlikely to resolve tonight. Let's do a thread on the races you may have missed in the meantime!
#NC1: Sandy Smith (R) vs. Don Davis (D); D's get preferred matchup in D+3, R-trending seat.
#NC4: Valerie Foushee (D) wins Safe D open seat
#NC13: 26-year-old Bo Hines (R) and Wiley Nickel (D) advance in R+1 seat
#PA6: Guy Ciarrocchi (R) gives GOP best shot in D+5, ancestral R seat
#PA7: Lisa Scheller (R) barely leads in R+2 seat
#PA12: Summer Lee (D) barely leads in open D+8 seat
#KY03: Morgan McGarvey (D) wins open Safe D seat
#IDGov: Brad Little (R) romps over Trump-endorsed primary foe
#ID02: Simpson (R) easily survives challenge
#ORGov: Tina Kotek (D) and Christine Drazen (R) advance; R's get preferred matchup in 3-way general with Betsy Johnson (I)
Read 4 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
May 11
Breaking: Florida judge strikes down congressional map as to #FL4/#FL5 only. He is setting the case for immediate appeal, possibly directly to the FL Supreme Court and bypassing intermediate court.
This ruling isn’t unexpected: the Florida SC ruled that the old #FL5 was mandated by the Fair Districts act, which was the only claim the plaintiffs made here. A trial court can’t overrule the Supreme Court.
As in New York, we’re getting a quick appeal in Florida. There are 3 options now:
1. FL SC can affirm that the old #FL5 is required
2. FL SC can overrule itself and deem the old #FL5 an illegal gerrymander
3. FL SC can punt to ‘24 and use the DeSantis map for ‘22
Read 5 tweets
RRH Elections Profile picture
May 3
Neither #NYGov Kathy Hochul (D-Buffalo) nor her potential Lt Governor running mate Antonio Delgado (D-Rhinebeck) are from New York City. The last time New York elected a Governor and Lt Governor entirely from Upstate New York was 1910.
*This assumes that Thomas Dewey is more associated with Manhattan, where he was District Attorney, than Pawling, NY, where he lived later in life.

The elected 1911-12 Gov/LG combo was Gov John Alden Dix of Glens Falls and LG Thomas Conway of Plattsburgh.
The last time NY had an Upstate Gov & LG was in the month of December 1942, when Gov Charles Poletti from Elizabethtown ascended to the office when then-Gov Herbert Lehman took a post in the wartime federal government. His acting LG, Joe Hanley, was from Perry, NY.
Read 4 tweets

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