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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Dec 22

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Putin has a "black swan" and a dangerous option from the times of World War II. Interview with Seleznev

The Russian occupation army, in an attempt to achieve the greatest possible results, is exhausting its resources, but it is impossible to say that these losses are "critical". Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin may consider the inauguration date of US President-elect Donald Trump - January 20 - as the deadline by which he needs to achieve convincing successes on the front. However, we cannot expect that after January 20, enemy activity will decline.

The occupier has a factor that can become a "black swan" for Ukraine - North Korean troops, which are underestimated in Ukraine. This opinion was expressed by military expert Vladislav Seleznyov in an exclusive interview

war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/putin-mae-…

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The Russian occupation army, in an attempt to achieve the greatest possible results, is exhausting its resources, but it is impossible to say that these losses are "critical". The head of the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin,
obozrevatel.com/ukr/person/vla…
may consider the inauguration date of US President-elect Donald Trump
obozrevatel.com/ukr/person/don…
- January 20 - as the deadline by which he needs to achieve convincing successes on the front. However, one cannot expect that after January 20, enemy activity will decline.

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The occupier has a factor that can become a "black swan" for Ukraine - North Korean troops, which are underestimated in Ukraine. Under certain circumstances, they can join the ranks of the occupation army in Ukraine, in particular, attack the Kharkiv region. As for the prospects of Ukraine's capitulation, the country's top military-political leadership will not take such a step a priori. The capitulation of our country is possible only if the history of the Second World War with Hiroshima and Nagasaki repeats itself.

This opinion was expressed by military expert Vladislav Seleznyov in an exclusive interview
facebook.com/vladislav.sele…

– January 20, the day of Donald Trump’s inauguration, is a rather significant date for the Russian occupation forces. Given recent trends, do you think the enemy can achieve significant successes on the front before this day?

– It is necessary to look at the root and determine all the factors in order to assess the future that awaits us. The fact that the future is not predetermined, as far as I am concerned, is obvious, because the formation of the future is influenced by a lot of factors. But it seems to me that we need to focus not on January 20 as the date of Trump's inauguration, but on the resource capabilities of the Ukrainian defense forces and the Russian occupation army

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Dec 17

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Russia used North Korean soldiers as its convicts: how Pyongyang has already helped the occupiers and how it is ready to help in the future

Open sources have begun to regularly appear videos showing groups of Asian-looking soldiers taking part in battles in the Kursk region. Obviously, these are North Korean soldiers, which again makes the issue of cooperation between the DPRK and Russia relevant for consideration. Let's figure out how Pyongyang has already helped the aggressor country, how it is helping now, and how it can help in the future.

war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/rosiya-zad…

More details about this can be found in the material of the joint project OBOZ.UA and the group "Information Resistance" .
sprotyv.info

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Soldiers from North Korea

Information that Putin had requested troops from Kim Jong-un appeared in June 2024. But then it was about an alleged request from several engineering brigades, which seemed quite appropriate given the catastrophic losses of special equipment by the Russian occupation forces.

In the first half of October, data emerged that the dispatch of personnel to Russia had been carried out, but these were not engineering brigades, but full-fledged combat units. The only question that remained relevant was where and when the North Korean military would appear and how the Russians would use them

In November, it became known that the DPRK military began to replenish the 810th separate marine brigade, whose area of operation was the Kursk region, where it suffered heavy losses. In order not to withdraw the 810th brigade from the combat zone for recovery, it began to be reinforced on the spot with North Korean "rambos". Moreover, the process (from the moment information appeared about the compensation of losses by the North Koreans and until their direct involvement) lasted more than a month

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Given the available information, this was due to the fact that the DOV command on the ground did not quite understand how to use all this North Korean mass and what their status was, how much more important they were than the average Russian. The language barrier, the outdated training school, the limited capabilities of the units that were not equipped with equipment - this created a temporary stagnation in the involvement of the North Koreans.

During this time, thanks to several strikes on the positions of the ROV, the DPRK military suffered not critical, but first losses - without even entering battle.

The first clashes began in the area of Plekhovo, Kursk Oblast, and they became indicative. It is obvious that the Russian command began to use the "allies" in the same way as the convicts and ordinary Russian soldiers - within the framework of a meat assault.

It is also confirmed that the North Korean units did not receive any equipment as part of their equipment. Their assault operations were carried out on foot - exclusively by an infantry component. The heaviest weapons they had with them were 60-mm mortars, North Korean analogues of the Chinese Type-63 company mortar.

This is approximately the tactic of using soldiers from the DPRK from the DOV command. This, in turn, indicates that with the current intensity and method of using the "allies" already in January, they will require replenishment and restoration of combat capability. Therefore, it is not at all excluded that this is not the last wave of "aid" from the DPRK and the preparation of the second batch should be expected in January-February 2025

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Dec 10

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ISW assessed what is behind the Kremlin's latest statements regarding bases in Syria and what their loss threatens for Russia

news.obozrevatel.com/ukr/abroad/v-i…

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The Kremlin continues to cautiously signal that it can secure Russian military bases in Syria in the short term. However, it is uncertain about the long-term future of these bases amid the unstable political situation in the country.
obozrevatel.com/ukr/topic/konf…

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This is stated in a report by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), which analyzed a statement from Putin's dictator's press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, dated December 9.
understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Dec 8

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Joakim von Braun Swedish well known Security/East Europe expert

Joakim von Braun — Sunday, December 8, 2024

STRONG INCREASE IN SUPPORT TO UKRAINE BY WESTERN COUNTRIES

Under the influence of two unpleasant factors, Western countries have now implemented a substantial increase in their military aid to Ukraine in the last quarter of the year. One factor is Russia's geographical advancement on the front, the other is Trump's fear of withdrawing promised US support. Today, Ukraine and its struggling people have many friends around the world, and such difficulties do not diminish the willingness of other donor countries to continue their support.

While there are several negative factors that put pressure on donors, there are also a number of particularly positive factors that increase donor willingness.

The fact that Ukraine has shown its forefoot and invaded Russia, and is now stuck in the Kursk Oblast, has shown that Ukraine’s military might shows both initiative and offensive force.

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► The fact that Ukraine has managed to quintuple the number of newly mobilized soldiers since spring also shows a regained strength and optimism. According to Christian Freuding, head of the "Bundeswehr Situation Center in Ukraine", the situation of Ukrainian artillery has also improved.

Russia is now losing more than 1,500 soldiers a day shows Putin is losing more and more grip. Many indications show that Ukrainian retreats are inciting Russia to attack, when in fact it should consolidate the front and thus reduce its heavy losses.

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* * * * * COLLECTING FOR UKRAINE * * * * ** * * * * *** * * * *

A little over a week ago, the four Scandinavian countries, the three Baltic countries and Poland met in Copenhagen to discuss and coordinate support from the eight countries to the Ukrainian armed forces. Ukrainian Minister of Defense Roustem Oumierov was also present, as was Herman Smetanin, Minister of Strategic Industries of Ukraine.

Today Sweden and Denmark announced that Ukraine will receive 40 additional units of the incredibly long-awaited CV90 combat vehicle from Swedish Hägglunds! Just like the Archer and the JAS Gripen, the CV90 is a world leader in its field. The vehicle has received praise from a number of people in the Ukrainian armed forces.

Until October 2024 Sweden has provided Ukraine support equivalent to about SEK 57.8 billion, including SEK 48.4 billion for military support. Looks like we will be bringing another support program in January 2025. Sweden is also strengthening its support for industrial cooperation between our countries and also supporting Ukrainian production of long-range robots and drones, an area in which Ukraine excelled in the fall.

Sweden is also providing a range of strategic support worth about SEK 415 million, aimed at, among others, media freedom, cybersecurity, accountability, nuclear security, gender equality, children and the labour market. If Ukraine wants to defeat Russia, the entire Ukrainian society must stand strong and united against a vile enemy!
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* * * * * EUROPE BRINGS STRONG SUPPORT * * * * ** * * * *

In 2024 the EU has spent several billion more dollars on strengthening Ukraine, both on a general and military level. On October 24, the Council of the EU adopted a financial support programme for Ukraine, an exceptional macroeconomic support loan of more than 400 billion SEK (35 billion euros). This loan will be repaid thanks to the seized Russian assets. On 08/11/2018, the EU decided to continue its support for the training of Ukrainian soldiers, who now receive nearly 5 billion additional crowns (€409 million).

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Dec 8

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It gives its result: the GUR said that Budanov regularly participates in combat operations

war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/dae-svij-r…

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The head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Kyrylo Budanov, is not a "cabinet general." On the contrary, according to military sources, he quite regularly takes part in combat operations, <

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although he is also "regularly refused" to do so.

This was stated by GUR spokesman Andrey Yusov in an interview with the Center for Countering Disinformation.obozrevatel.com/ukr/person/kir…

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Dec 8

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Russia plans to seize Odessa and cut off Ukraine from the Black Sea. Ivan Stupak assessed the risks

war.obozrevatel.com/ukr/rf-planue-…

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The Russian occupation army has become more active in southern #Ukraine. The enemy has deployed additional forces and equipment to the Kinburn Spit, located only 60 kilometers from Odessa ,
obozrevatel.com/ukr/location/u…
and #Russian boats are storming the islands in the Dnieper Delta in the south of the Kherson region. Can the enemy attack Odessa? Can he make an attempt to cut off Ukraine from the Black Sea, in particular, using Transnistria?

The danger to Odessa and the Odessa region has indeed increased. The enemy actually has the ability to shell the city, port infrastructure, and the entire region. However, there is currently no talk of landing enemy forces in the Odessa region, although the Kremlin has such plans.

- The use of a group of Russian troops from Transnistria is also unpromising due to objective reasons. Currently, the enemy is betting mainly on an uprising within the country, but he has big problems with this too.

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This opinion was expressed in an exclusive interview with OBOZ. UA by former employee of the Security Service of Ukraine Ivan Stupak .
obozrevatel.com/ukr/person/iva…

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