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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Jun 25

The #Kremlin is trying to maintain the appearance of stability after the events in Dagestan: the ISW assessed the situation

Putin's regime in Russia is trying to maintain the appearance of stability in response to terrorist attacks in #Dagestan. In particular, the dictator Vladimir Putin does not even plan to make a special address after the terrorist attack.

The Kremlin also announced that Russian society is "absolutely consolidated" in its lack of support for terrorist attacks in Dagestan and Russia in general. This is stated in the analysis of the Institute for the Study of War.

Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Head Lieutenant General Kyrylo @ChiefDI_Ukraine stated that Western military assistance is arriving in #UKRAINE, but that it will likely not arrive at a scale that will significantly impact the frontline situation until at least mid to late July 2024. Budanov stated in an interview with the Philadelphia Inquirer conducted on June 12 or 13 and published on June 23 that US and European weapons deliveries, including artillery ammunition, are arriving in Ukraine at a faster pace than several months ago but noted that Ukrainian forces need a high volume of weapons and "there is a question of volume."[1]

Budanov stated that "no Armageddon will emerge [on the frontline]" but that the frontline situation will remain difficult for at least one month. Ukrainian First Deputy Defense Minister Lieutenant General Ivan Havrylyuk also recently stated on June 15 that Ukrainian forces are still waiting for most of the military assistance that the US passed in late April 2024 to arrive in Ukraine, but that limited amounts of US security assistance arrivals have reduced Russia's artillery shell advantage from seven-to-one to five-to-one.[2]

ISW continues to assess that Russian forces are attempting to make tactically and operationally significant gains before US military assistance arrives to Ukrainian forces at the frontline at scale, and that the initial arrival of Western-provided weaponry will take some time to have tactical to operational effect on the frontline.[3]

/1understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…
news.obozrevatel.com/ukr/russia/kre…

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Budanov stated that a sufficient quantity of US-provided long-range ATACMS missiles could allow Ukrainian forces to strike the Russian-built Kerch Strait Bridge in occupied Crimea and sever an important Russian ground line of communication (GLOC) between occupied Crimea and Russia.[4]

Budanov stated that Ukraine could isolate occupied Crimea, which the Russian military uses as a rear staging area, by conducting long-range ATACMS missile strikes against the Kerch Strait Bridge. The Russian military continues to use Crimea's GLOCs to transport military personnel, weapons, materiel, and fuel from Russia to the frontlines in Ukraine and reinforced its air defense umbrella to cover occupied southern Ukraine from Crimea.[5]

Ukrainian officials have recently stated that Russian forces have reduced their military logistics transport across the Kerch Strait Bridge, presumably due to efforts to establish logistics lines connecting mainland Russia and occupied Crimea through occupied southern Donetsk, Zaporizhia, and Kherson oblasts, but the Kerch Strait Bridge likely remains essential to maintaining Russia's occupation of Crimea.[6]

- Ukrainian long-range strikes against the Kerch Strait Bridge would sever an important GLOC for Russian forces based in occupied Crimea and likely complicate their ability to maintain their occupation of and basing within the peninsula. The destruction of the bridge would force Russian military to rely on the long route along northern coast of the Sea of Azov and exacerbate vulnerabilities for Ukrainian forces to exploit along the Russian main GLOC.

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Current US policy regarding Ukraine's use of Western-provided weapons allows Ukraine to strike anywhere within Russian-occupied Ukraine, which presumably includes using long-range ATACMS to strike the portion of the Kerch Strait Bridge within Ukraine's internationally recognized land and maritime borders.[7]

- ISW assesses that 13 kilometers of the Kerch Strait Bridge — which Russian authorities built without Ukraine's approval following Russia's illegal occupation of the peninsula in 2014 — are within Ukraine's internationally recognized territorial waters. The US policy on the Ukrainian ATACMS use, therefore, technically should allow Ukrainian forces to strike at least a section of the bridge if not the entire bridge.

- Pentagon Spokesperson Major Charlie Dietz also notably stated on June 24 that “Ukraine makes its own targeting decisions and conducts its own military operations."[8]

- Then–US State Department Spokesperson Heather Nauert stated on May 15, 2018, that the US condemns Russia's construction and partial opening of the Kerch Strait Bridge, that the bridge "serves as a reminder of Russia’s ongoing willingness to flout international law," and represents Russia's attempt to "solidify its unlawful seizure and its occupation of Crimea."[9]

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Jun 23

A thread:

"I am calm about Trump's possible coming to power. He changed his position several times. I believe in the USA and in the fact that we will win," said Kyrylo @ChiefDI_Ukraine, the head of the State Administration of Ukraine, in an interview with the Philadelphia Inquirer.

KYIV, Ukraine — There have been at least 10 Kremlin attempts to kill one of Ukraine’s most admired heroes, the legendary head of military intelligence, Kyrylo Budanov.

Russian agents have blown up his car. They even poisoned his wife.

She survived. He pledged revenge.

When I met the spy chief in his darkened office recently, during a rare interview with a foreign journalist, I asked whether the Russians are still trying to kill him. The poker-faced Budanov shrugged. “It’s normal,” he said.

Then, allowing himself a half-smile, the lieutenant general added: “Let’s put it this way: Since we are talking with you now, it means they are not succeeding.”

There are good reasons why the #Kremlin will continue to try.

/1

Budanov’s spy agency, known as HUR, has carried out some of Ukraine’s most stunning military successes, including long-range drone strikes inside Russian territory.

Meanwhile, the agency’s Magura sea drones — a game-changing Ukrainian invention — have helped push most of the Russian fleet

out of its main Black Sea harbor in occupied Crimea and back to ports on the Russian mainland.

These gains are probably Ukraine’s most important victories in the last year — and could lead to more surprising maritime successes to offset the stalemate on land.

#HUR headquarters is located on an isolated peninsula that juts into the Dnieper River. Inside a grim, gray, low-rise block, Budanov’s office is barely lit. He prefers to operate in the shadows — in military operations as well as at his desk.

Behind that book- and paper-laden desk hangs a large painting of an owl sinking its claws into a bat. The HUR adopted the owl as its symbol in 2016, two years after Moscow invaded Crimea, to troll the Russians. The bat is the symbol of the special operations unit of Russia’s military intelligence agency.

/2reuters.com/world/europe/u…
legionmagazine.com/russias-black-…
cfr.org/expert-brief/w…

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On a nearby table, a set of polished metal chess pieces shines through the gloom, as if to warn that Budanov is poised to out-strategize Moscow.

Appointed to his post four years ago, the 38-year-old spymaster has been known to lead his men on daring raids into enemy territory. “He is a pirate who loves operations,” an admirer told me. He is also famous for his tight lips.

But in our interview, Budanov spoke openly about the need to expand drone attacks inside Russia and to make it impossible for Moscow to hold on to Crimea. And he was frank about the challenges Ukraine faces — including the continued need for U.S. weapons and the possibility of an election victory by Donald Trump.

inquirer.com/topic/donald-t…
inquirer.com/opinion/kyrylo…

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Jun 20

Kovalenko: #Russia threatens #NATO countries with nuclear weapons, but it has no protection against a retaliatory strike. Analyzing the aggressor's potential

In the third year of a full-scale war in #Ukraine, the Russians continue to threaten the entire world with nuclear weapons and believe that their threats still have some meaning and weight.

- And if we really assume that #russia will strike #NATO countries, what will the result be? Who will suffer more and who has more opportunities to strike more powerfully - including in response? Let's try to figure it out.

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The nuclear triad of the smoker

- When we talk about the Russian nuclear potential, we first of all mean the nuclear triad of the #Russian Federation, capable of using the entire range of weapons with nuclear warheads.

- These are ground assets (mobile and stationary), aviation complexes (Tu-95MS, Tu-22M3 and Tu-160) and a naval component (APC).

And here begins the most interesting.

- If we consider the potential of all these components, it turns out that it is extremely low and even dangerous for #russia itself.
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During the 30 years of the existence of such a country as the Russian Federation, most of the nuclear combat units and their carriers did not undergo proper regular maintenance and regular repair work. If we talk about stationary mine launchers, primarily for intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), two-thirds of them on the territory of Russia have long ceased to be operational, and launches from the last third can threaten emergency situations.

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That is, the use of the land component for the use of tactical and strategic nuclear weapons is possible, but in terms of its condition and potential, it is far from the level of the times of the USSR.

The situation with the aviation component is no better . The fleet of strategic missile-carrying bombers is extremely worn out, and each type of aircraft is 1/3 or 2/3 of the total number unfit for flight.

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Jun 15

☺️ #PutinTerrorist yesterday came out with a shitty "peace proposal" - the #Netherlands is based

The Prime Minister of the Netherlands Mark @MinPres said that Russia should be involved in the peace process with Ukraine at some stage, but the dictator Putin does not want it at the moment. This is evidenced by his "peace conditions" in Ukraine.

"The fact that Putin came out with this crappy 'peace proposal' yesterday is a sign that he is panicking, that's good news," the politician said.

All the details from the summit

All continents together against the Russian Federation: the results of the first day of the Peace Summit in Switzerland, which brought together almost 100 countries. All details online

On Saturday, June 15, the Global Peace Summit organized by Ukraine started in Switzerland. Its basis is the Peace Formula - 3 out of 10 issues are planned to be discussed at the event: nuclear and food security, as well as the release of Ukrainian prisoners of war and children abducted by Russia.

The day before, on June 14, it became known that 92 world states and 8 organizations will participate in the summit , of which 57 will be represented at the highest level. The event will last two days - June 15 and 16, and the first of them has already ended.

The correspondent of is in the main media center of the summit, our publication conducts a text broadcast of the event.

22:45 – Zelenskyi spoke about his meeting with the President of Argentina, Javier Millay, during which the politicians discussed further steps in the implementation of individual points of the Peace Formula, as well as bilateral cooperation, in particular in the field of trade.

Thank you for participating in the inaugural Peace Summit. We appreciate the broad presence of Latin American countries at the Summit. I am sure that history will remember our long path to peace," the guarantor said.
/1OBOZ.UA

22:00 - President Volodymyr Zelenskyi said that today was the day when the world began to approach a just peace .

"Thank you for participating in the Global Peace Summit! We all need peace. Glory to Ukraine!" - wrote the guarantor.

21:50 - The Prime Minister of the Netherlands, Mark Rutte, said that Russia should be involved in the peace process with Ukraine at some stage, but dictator Putin currently does not want it . This is evidenced by his "peace conditions" in Ukraine.

The fact that Putin came out with this shitty 'peace proposal' yesterday is a sign that he is panicking, this is good news," the politician said.
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21:40 - The President of the European Council Charles Michel said that it is Ukraine that should decide when it is possible to start a dialogue with Russia , and any negotiations with it should be based on international law.

He added that the only guide to achieving a just peace is international law and the UN Charter, while a direct attack on the rules-based global order must be responded to in a consolidated manner
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Read 44 tweets

Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

Jun 9

The soldier of the #GUR with the call sign "Shaman" recalled the battles with the enemy and told about the crimes of the russian Federation

Soldiers from the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of #UKRAINE were among those who met russian troops in the #Kyiv region at the end of February. Among them is a group of scouts who distinguished themselves in #Afghanistan in 2021, led by a fighter with the pseudonym "Shaman".

Voin recalls that in #Gostomel and #Buchi at the beginning of the full-scale invasion of the russian Federation, the russians behaved "like rats."

Voin recalls: in Gostomel and Buchi, at the beginning of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation, the Russians behaved "like rats." The memoirs of "Shaman" were published by the Canadian edition of The Globe & Mail

in the material devoted to the military intelligence of #UKRAINE.

The representative of the GUR MOU, nicknamed "Shaman", who was born in the Ukrainian Donbas, is only 30 years old. In the summer, he participated in a mission in Kabul, Afghanistan. The soldier describes those with whom he had to work then as "people who knew no fear and were ready to go anywhere."

In February 2022, all these soldiers met the invaders in #Kyiv region, #Kharkiv region and #Donbas.

"Shaman" was among them. A day before the start of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation, he gathered a group of 12 scouts and created a unit from them, which would later become known as "Shamanbat". They were distinguished by patches with a stylized white skull on a black background.

The leadership of the GUR sent this newly formed group to the defense of the Gostomelsky airfield, the capture of which was especially important for the Russians, because this way they could transfer tanks and other armored vehicles to the suburbs of the capital for a further attack on Kyiv.

Already at dawn on February 24, the fighters of "Shaman" received confirmation: the double agent's data about the plans of the occupiers for Gostomel were reliable. And when the GUR special forces saw the enemy, they opened fire on them.

Several weeks of fierce fighting followed, and in the end Kyiv region was de-occupied. It was then that the international crimes of the invaders on the territory of Ukraine were revealed for the first time: the columns of the world media published creepy photos from the de-occupied areas in the north of Kyiv region and described the bodies of Ukrainians tortured to death found in populated areas, burned cars in which civilians tried to leave the combat zone, mass graves with people of different ages and genders.

The reaction of the Russians in Gostomel and Buchi was dictated by their fear. It was the reaction of a cornered rat who had no control or power. It was just chaos and they were doing maximum damage, just killing everyone around them," Shaman says.
NEXT:

The Fearless
An elite squad of fighters has been on the front lines of every major battle for Ukraine’s independence. This is the story of their war

MARK MACKINNON
ILLUSTRATIONS BY MIKO MACIASZEK
THE GLOBE AND MAIL
PUBLISHED JUNE 6, 2024

The Ukrainian military helicopter had been shot down about seven kilometres behind Russian lines, crashing in a field browned by winter, on the edge of a leafless forest. Those aboard were scattered dead and mortally wounded across the burning landscape of southern Ukraine weeks after the Russian invasion.

Trying to reach the casualties – the crew of the helicopter, plus fighters who had been rescued from the besieged port city of Mariupol before the craft was shot down on its return trip – would be something close to a suicide mission. The last person who should have taken the assignment was Nazar Borovytskyi.

/1theglobeandmail.com/world/article-…

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The helicopter missions into Mariupol were seen as so risky that each team – usually a pilot, a mechanic and two special-forces fighters from Ukraine’s HUR military intelligence service – was only supposed to make the trip once.

- The soldiers joked among themselves that they were volunteering for seats on a one-way flight.

Nazar, 28, had already flown two such missions in the spring of 2022, escaping both times with a handful of injured fighters from a surrounded steel factory in a shattered city slowly falling under Russian control. Now one of the missions had gone awry, necessitating an even more dangerous rescue.

It was definitely not his turn, but when the commander asked for volunteers, Nazar asked to be sent back in.

In the framed photograph on the wall of the HUR headquarters, Nazar, muscular, with chiselled cheekbones and a dark blond beard, stands in the back row wearing a black T-shirt under his camouflage bulletproof vest.

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The image, displayed outside the Kyiv office of Lieutenant-General Kyrylo @ChiefDI_Ukraine, captures a group of #Ukrainian soldiers in what was then one of the most dangerous places in the world – the Kabul airport in the summer of 2021.
- The soldiers were members of a specially assembled unit that flew multiple missions to rescue #Ukrainian nationals, as well as one of The Globe and Mail’s translators and his family, from Kabul ahead of the anticipated Taliban takeover.

- An inscription in the corner reads “26.08.2021, Kabul, Afghanistan.”

In all, there were 32 operatives – 30 men and two women – on the ground in Kabul that day, plus the pilots and crew of the military cargo plane. All except the pilots were experienced HUR officers.

When the team landed in Kyiv after flying the third and final planeload of evacuees out of the country, they would be greeted by Gen. Budanov, as well as President Volodymyr Zelensky’s chief of staff. Medals would follow.

Read 23 tweets

Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

@anno1540

May 28

Kovalenko: #Ukrainian drones began to destroy unique radars in #Russia. Why their loss is critical for the enemy

In the afternoon of May 24, the first photos and videos of the damaged over-the-horizon radar station "Voronezh-DM" in the Krasnodar Territory of the Russian Federation were published.

- Just a few days later, it became known about a similar attack on the Voronezh-M radar already in the #Orenburg region. It is obvious that Ukrainian drones have begun to "focus" on these objects, but why exactly on them and what conclusions can be drawn from this?

More at:

Since the beginning of 2024, we have already become accustomed to regular reports of attacks by Ukrainian drones on Russian oil refineries (refineries) . The result of these strikes was a decrease in the export of oil products from the Russian Federation and an increase in fuel prices for domestic consumption. The essence of these actions was perfectly clear and did not require special explanations among the expert environment.

Starting from April 2024, the Defense Forces of Ukraine regularly strike the territory of the temporarily occupied Crimean peninsula, systematically destroying air defense systems, radio engineering nodes and airfields . And here, too, explanations of such actions are superfluous.

But what are over-the-horizon radar stations and why Ukrainian drones "took up" them - still deserves clarification.
/1sprotyv.info

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Radar "Voronezh"

Today, you can learn about such radars except for scant information from the discharge - let's take a look at the TTX in Wikipedia. Thanks to this excellent encyclopedia, open to all, you can learn that the over-the-horizon long-range radar stations "Voronezh" are part of the Missile Attack Warning System (MISAR) to detect the launch of intercontinental ballistic nuclear missiles . These radars are an integral part of Russia's nuclear security complex, and there are 10 such stations on the territory of the aggressor country!

The coverage range of these radars is 6,000 km along the horizon and 8,000 km in height - with simultaneous control of up to 500 objects. Such characteristics allowed, for example, the "Voronezh-DM" radar, which was located in the Krasnodar Territory, to survey the sky over the temporarily occupied Crimea, part of the Mediterranean and the Balkans .

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But it is not even this that is important, but a completely different, extremely negative for us functionality of this station. The fact is that the Voronezh radar family is not only surveillance, but also a gunner for Russia's most modern and powerful electronic warfare system, Tobol.

Thanks to this EW, the aggressor country is able to jam the GPS signal and mobile communications over Poland and the Baltic states . It is this EW that has the ability to disrupt the work of StarLink . It is the "Tobol" air defense missile that increases its influence on the territory of Ukraine, violating the accuracy of Western weapons , which Western media and officials have been talking about so often lately.

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

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Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

Lew Anno Suport#Israel #Ukraine 24/2-22

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