David Priess Profile picture
Sep 2 6 tweets 2 min read
Hey, everyone hyperventilating about #EmptyFolders

Slow down. Breathe.

Yes, the inventory lists empty folders with “CLASSIFIED” banners or marked "Return to Staff Secretary/Military Aide.”

This almost certainly doesn’t mean what you think.

Here’s a sanity check.

1/6
Classified documents, and most unclassified docs that are nevertheless sensitive, are usually carried between offices in places like the White House *in folders*.

Why? In large part, to keep prying eyes (or enterprising press photographers) from seeing them during transit.

2/6
So it is natural that boxes containing hundreds of classified/sensitive documents would also have the very folders that the docs had once been carried in and left in on a principal’s desk.

You need not list which folder each doc was in, if was in a folder at all when found.

3/6
But whether the docs were in these folders or not, the agents needed to document that there were in fact folders in there. Those are physical objects, and the agents there did need to account for ALL of the physical objects they’d found.

4/6
The haphazard intermingling of classified and presumably unclassified papers (and other things) in these boxes suggests that the folders sometimes would be in the same boxes as the documents they once contained, and sometimes not.

5/6
Is it possible that the presence of empty folders—even if they were empty when found, which isn’t clear—reflects that there are additional documents that have not yet been found?

Possibly, sure. But not necessarily. And, I would argue, more unlikely than likely.

/end

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More from @DavidPriess

Dec 20, 2021
THREAD: Intelligence and the presidency, a reading list.

Some students in my just-completed intel and the presidency graduate seminar urged me to share its core content with a wider audience.

You miss the discussions, sure—but here are my main texts and other sources.

1/16
The first book: “For the President’s Eyes Only: Secret Intelligence and the American Presidency From Washington to Bush.”

It ends 30 years ago, but Christopher Andrew’s book is the best single history of intel and presidents up until that point.

harpercollins.com/products/for-t…

2/16
Next one: “Getting To Know the President: Intelligence Briefings of Presidential Candidates,” by John Helgerson—an extraordinary window into how candidates and presidents-elect since the 1950s have interacted with intel.

It’s free at this link:

cia.gov/static/dff0ca6…

3/16
Read 16 tweets
Nov 29, 2021
THREAD: A wealth of new information about the intelligence briefings for Donald Trump and those around him as a presidential candidate in 2016, as president-elect in 2016-17, and as president has just hit the CIA’s public website.

Here are the most newsworthy details:

1/16
Context: The info is in a new chapter of John Helgerson’s book GETTING TO KNOW THE PRESIDENT—a useful source for my book THE PRESIDENT’S BOOK OF SECRETS—written for the CIA’s Center for the Study of Intelligence.

It’s on the CIA website here:
cia.gov/static/9c2a893…

2/16
Helgerson tellingly links the IC’s experience of briefing Trump to predecessors’ experiences with his chapter title:

“Donald J. Trump—A Unique Challenge”

What follows are assertions made in the this new chapter, often based on classified info not yet available otherwise.

3/16
Read 16 tweets
Aug 6, 2021
THREAD: 20 years ago today, the best known daily intelligence item in history—the article "Bin Laden is Determined to Strike"—appeared in George W. Bush’s President’s Daily Brief.

Here’s the story of its creation, based on my interviews with its author and intel leaders:

1/12
During the summer of 2001, Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet was telling everyone who would listen that “the system was blinking red.”

The CIA-based Counterterrorist Center (CTC) had been warning for months that al-Qaida seemed primed for a major attack.

2/12
From January 20 to September 10, more than forty pieces in the PDB alone related to Bin Ladin.

In response to such analysis, the president several times asked @MichaelJMorell, his CIA daily intel briefer, about the prospects for an attack in the United States itself.

3/12
Read 12 tweets
Jul 1, 2021
THREAD: Don Rumsfeld, who has died at 88, played many important roles during his long career.

Among the fascinating but lesser known of those roles: his contact points with the President’s Daily Brief—in two administrations, 25 years apart.

Here are just a few stories.

1/13
Rumsfeld first came across the PDB as Gerald Ford’s chief of staff early in Ford’s brief presidency.

He was the one who informed National Security Advisor Brent Scowcroft that Ford, after one year on the job, no longer needed daily in-person briefings from a CIA officer.

2/13
Rummy told Scowcroft Ford wanted the PDB on his Oval Office desk before he got there. “He will not need you or Dave Peterson [the CIA briefer] to sit in with him,” his memo said. “If Dave wishes to bring it over, he can sit in the outer office while the President reads it.”

3/13
Read 13 tweets
Mar 20, 2021
THREAD: It’s time to bring the *facts* about vice presidents and the President’s Daily Brief.

No spin—just the actual history.

And some pictures.

1/14
The President’s Daily Brief (PDB) was created by the CIA in 1964 for Lyndon Johnson, building on an earlier daily product designed for John Kennedy: the President’s Intelligence Checklist (PICL).

As JFK’s vice president, LBJ had *not* been allowed to see the PICL.

2/14
Vice presidents since (and including) LBJ’s VP Hubert Humphrey have almost always had access to a copy of the President’s Daily Brief and have (1) read it on their own, (2) taken in-person briefings apart from a POTUS session, and/or (3) joined the president’s own briefing.

3/14
Read 14 tweets
Nov 21, 2020
THREAD: How did we get into this Trump-driven crisis?

Less than 10 months ago, the Senate could have removed him from office. Fifty-two senators have some explaining to do.

Here’s one:

Sen. Lamar Alexander of Tennessee decided to leave Trump in the presidency.

1/52
How did we get into this Trump-driven crisis?

Less than 10 months ago, the Senate could have removed him from office. Fifty-two senators have some explaining to do.

Here’s another one:

Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming decided to leave Trump in the presidency.

2/52
How did we get into this Trump-driven crisis?

Less than 10 months ago, the Senate could have removed him from office. Fifty-two senators have some explaining to do.

Here’s another one:

Sen. Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee decided to leave Trump in the presidency.

3/52
Read 53 tweets

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