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Sep 4, 2022 β€’ 8 tweets β€’ 4 min read β€’ Read on X
Ghost plane? πŸ˜•

OE-FGR #440A99 is currently way further than its Cologne, Germany destination and has reportedly no crew visible in the cabin (per Dagens Nyheter - Swedish news). Image
Breaking: significant drop in speed for OE-FGR.
(Per @ADSBexchange) Image
Altitude maintained level through the speed drop for a few moments. Autopilot must be engaged and would then try to maintain altitude despite drop in speed and would essentially stall. Image
Now even and gradual turn to the right. This does not seem to indicate a controlled turn. Image
OE-FGR turned again (2D) to the left and has since lost coverage. Its last position was about 25 miles NW of Ventspils. It is likely down now.

There are reportedly four people aboard. Pray for them and their families. Image
πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Swedish Coast Guard Dash 8SE-MAA #4AB421 en route to the last known position of OE-FGR. Image
Just FYI, if you see this Nordic Unmanned drone circling north of the suspected crash site of OE-FGR, it is something I coincidentally covered the other day and is not involved in the SAR. ImageImage
Ships now involved in the SAR of OE-FGR.

Urd is a πŸ‡©πŸ‡° Danish RO/RO.

SAR KA 14 is called the Astra and is a πŸ‡±πŸ‡» Latvian Coast Guard vessel.
(Per @MarineTraffic) ImageImage

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More from @vcdgf555

Jan 15
Iran-related thread.

Starting at 20:02 UTC, a pair of USAF C-17As set to depart from Al-Udeid AB, Qatar (OTBH) were instructed to "return to the chalks" and that their mission to Chania, Greece (LGSA) had been scrubbed. They were instructed then to wait for more info.

1/ Image
The change in plans coincides within minutes of remarks made by President Trump that the killings and executions inside Iran had been reported to have stopped, based on sources within Iran itself.

2/
This all occurred shortly after six USAF KC-135 tankers from Al-Udeid were seen departing in quick succession. These were believed to be evacuation flights, destination unknown.

The last KC-135 departed at ~1927 UTC or 35 minutes before the C-17As were told to stand down.

3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 3
Considering how quiet things have gotten this last little bit, I want to take the time to make a few points.

- 1st round seems to be over, at least for the Caracas area.
- Given how many airbases and military targets there are, this is frankly somewhat of a light 1st round.

1/
(cont.)

- Whatever was going on with the helicopters...
(A) Given social media these days, if something went terribly wrong, we likely would see it pretty quick
(B) Where did they come from??
(cont)
- In terms of assets we've seen build up.
(A) Rather light in terms of airstrikes, either from bases in the region, bombers from elsewhere or from the flattops.
(B) We are NOT maintaining air presence over Venezuelan skies. No sounds of fighters overhead.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Oct 26, 2025
Watched House of Dynamite.

My opinion in my replies. Image
Fantastic film. Perhaps the best of the modern era in terms of nuclear war fiction. Invoking the plot lines of a number of many prior films without actually drawing them to their full conclusions.

That said, I felt there were several major problems.
First, the whodunnit.

The scenario is made possible by a certain amount of ambiguity as to whether the DPRK, PLA or Russia launched the initial missile, made possible by a failure of detection by an early warning satellite in a region in which all 3 nations share interests.
Read 8 tweets
Jun 13, 2025
NYT initially reported, then retracted, that the Quds Force Commander, Ismail Qaani, was killed.

Qaani is the successor to Qasem Soleimani.

2/
IAF appears to be entering Iranian airspace with impunity, even attacking during daylight.

3/

Read 21 tweets

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