Consumption: The India story is alive and kicking. The changes which happen slowly and aren’t visible on a daily basis are powerful. Indian households are becoming more affluent.
As incomes rise, discretionary spending rises too. This accelerates adoption of more goods & services as the expenditure of food & fuel stagnates. This means more demand for white goods, brown goods, electricity & contact services.
Employment hasn’t recovered as smoothly, but formal employment is supportive. For a resilient economic recovery, we need a strong employment situation.
Nifty earnings are not only a function of how India’s economy is doing but also what the world is doing. And there-in lies the opportunity. A sectoral earnings churn is underway.
Decoupling has never played out. We haven’t seen it in data, ever. But for now, India’s bank credit growth is bucking the trend & flying strong into the headwinds.