New blog post - Dysgenics by the Numbers: Quantifying the Fall of Civilization.
After looking through the literature I estimate that the global average IQ will reach 74 by the year 2100.
After looking through the literature I estimate that the global average IQ will reach 74 by the year 2100.
How do I get this number?
My prediction combines the rate of genetic decline within nations (0.6 IQ points per decade) and the rate of dysgenics between countries.
Low IQ countries have a much higher fertility rate which will take a while to fall to the replacement rate.
My prediction combines the rate of genetic decline within nations (0.6 IQ points per decade) and the rate of dysgenics between countries.
Low IQ countries have a much higher fertility rate which will take a while to fall to the replacement rate.
Whilst Africa had a population of 200 million in 1800 the UN predicts Sub-Saharan Africa will have a population of 4 billion by 2100.
This will dramatically reduce per capita welfare in the world.
This will dramatically reduce per capita welfare in the world.
So what if the global average IQ falls to 74 by 2100? Does this matter?
Using up-to-date estimates of the effect of IQ on GDP, I find that dysgenics will reduce GDP per capita by 30% by 2050 and 58% by 2100.
By contrast, climate change is predicted to cost us only 4% by 2050.
Using up-to-date estimates of the effect of IQ on GDP, I find that dysgenics will reduce GDP per capita by 30% by 2050 and 58% by 2100.
By contrast, climate change is predicted to cost us only 4% by 2050.
If you want to learn more about the numbers behind these calculations, then you should read the whole blog at Anglo Reaction.
georgefrancis.substack.com/p/dysgenics-by…
georgefrancis.substack.com/p/dysgenics-by…
Can anyone see the gif in the article? It seems to be intermittent when I read it with Google Chrome.
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