Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 7, 2022 22 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Update 🧵September 7th.
Visit the interactive map for more details and explanations.

Todays presentation is sponsored by the Russian remake of the movie Speed, slightly smaller buss, slightly larger main character.

Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper… Image
GSUA reported 139 shelling locations today. It seems shellings along the border to russia north of the active frontline has increased. Image
FIRMS Data: 2022-09-07_18:29
Added 239 locations to kml
Filtered 702 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 84 false positives

It is pretty noticeable on which side of the front line most of the fires are located. ImageImage
I'll most likely cover some rumors later.
Kharkiv north
RuAF attacked in the direction of Pytomnyk and Rus'ki Tysky, they were not successful according to GSUA Image
Balakliya
I have removed the RU line of control for this area, because they have no control. The AFU have pushed the Russians out of Verbivka, Yakovenkove, Volokhiv Yar, Bairak and Nova Husarivka according to geolocations. Image
I consider Bairak and Nova Husarivka liberated.
According to Russian channels, Balakliya has been surrounded.
The AFU has most likely advanced much further, but I have not been able to confirm it by video or photos yet.
Izium
RuAF tried to attack in the direction of Dolyna. This part of the frontline will most likely experience issues with supplies since UA are advancing north of Izium. Image
Siversk
I consider Ozerne liberated based on geolocated video and GSUA reporting shelling there today. According to the rumors on telegram Fighting is going on around Dibrova. RuAF failed an attack in the area of Hryhorivka. Image
Bakhmut north
RuAF attacked Soledar, Bakhmuts'ke, Bakhmut without success. Image
Bakhmut south
RuAF attacked in the direction of Vesela Dolyna, Opytne, Zaitseve and Mykolaivka Druha, the AFU defended their positions. Image
I consider Kodema and Vershyna captured by the RuAF based on the shelling and attack on Mykolaivka Druha. There was also a claim by pro ru channels yesterday about Kodema being captured.
Donetsk
RAF attacked in the direction of Optyne. No luck. Image
Pavlivka
I moved the RU line of control down to Petrivka based on the GSUA shellings. There are also a lot of shellings just on those front line towns, so I think the AFU might be on the offensive again in this area. Image
Kherson
Nothing new here, I'm just posting for shellings and FIRMS data. Image
Wrong overview pictured. It's supposed to be this. Image
I made this map based on unconfirmed rumors. I think kind of progress from the AFU is possible. Image
I made this map to show the current logistics situation for the Russians. UA seems to be heading straight for Kup'yans'k which is an important logistics hub for RuAF. If UA can get Kup'yans'k in artillery range, RU will have serious problems on the Izium front. Image
This area will be extremely vulnerable for RU if Kup'yans'k is in UA artillery range.
It is worth mentioning, the AFU is establishing abridge head south of Lyman, setting up conditions for an offensive in this area. Image
Russian propaganda channel Wargonzo claim the AFU is attacking Shevchenkove. t.me/wargonzo/8160 Image
Pro RU channel talks a bit about the AFU tactics, and the russian version of the events. t.me/romanov_92/270… Image

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More from @DefMon3

Sep 12
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings. Image
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
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Aug 9
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ. Image
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones. Image
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Grok canceling vatniks 🤣 Image
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Jul 5
This is an interesting case. The local municipality decided to investigate their legal options to force the church to move.
Nothing says church like high metal fences, guard dogs and military age males in hoodies. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 25
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Image
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House. Image
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor? Image
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Read 9 tweets
Jun 24
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why Image
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility. Image
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances. Image
Read 14 tweets

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