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CRYPTO₿IRB Profile picture
@crypto_birb
Sep 8, 2022 • 13 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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5 Things You Must Know Before the Triple Witch Comes

Set your reminders👊
twitter.com/i/spaces/1ynJO…
Starts in 30min. Set your reminders👊

twitter.com/i/spaces/1ynJO…
Let me add a few charts for the space!

1. Dow Jones
2. $SPX
3. $XLE + energy performance YTD
4. $USD
5. $TNX 10Y yields
6. The @RRGresearch chart
7. Triple Witch🧙‍♀️
8. Financial vs Business Cycle
9. Target rate probabilities
10. $BTC to $SPX correlation

fin
LAST MINUTE CHANGE - for this reason of the unpredicted death of #QueenElisabeth I've decided to reschedule today's space till next week.

• • •

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More from @crypto_birb

CRYPTO₿IRB Profile picture
Aug 25
Bull run ends in 60 days.

Cycle Peak Countdown says BTC is 93% done (1,007 days in). Blowoff top odds are about to max out.

Now you'll retire your bloodline or get absolutely rekt.

Let me explain.

(Thread)🧵
1/ Reminder about cycle maths (low→high):
• 2010–2011: ~350 days
• 2011–2013: 746 days
• 2015–2017: 1,068 days
• 2018–2021: 1,061 days
• 2022-2025: 1,007 days so far.

We're tracking toward 1,060–1,100 days.

That literally puts us in the last 5-8%. Image
2/ Halving numbers update → peak timing:
• 2012: 366 days
• 2016: 526 days
• 2020: 548 days
• 2024 halving = Apr 19 → 492 days ago.

Target window = Oct 19 – Nov 20, 2025 (518–580 days).

That’s another reason explaining why it's 60 days away. Image
Read 12 tweets
CRYPTO₿IRB Profile picture
Aug 21
Bitcoin is no longer “magic internet money.”

It’s a strategic reserve adopted by states, institutions, and the most asymmetric bet in global markets.

The next 70 days will decide everything.

(Thread)🧵
1/ From retail meme (r/Bitcoin wizard, 2011) → to US strategic reserve plans.

White House doc (2025) proposed building a Bitcoin Reserve as part of national assets.

We’ve really grown… Image
Image
2/ State-level push:

• 17 states pending BTC adoption bills
• 3 passed
• 5 rejected
• 2 partial reserves

Bitcoin is now part of U.S. political economy. Image
Read 12 tweets
CRYPTO₿IRB Profile picture
Aug 20
Everyone’s staring at BTC $113K. Fear is back. Overexposed portfolios bleeding.

But next big move is hiding in ETF outflows, miner margins and fading momentum.

Here’s what market is actually telling us now.

(Thread)🧵 Image
1/ $BTC is holding at $113,450.

Long-term supports:
• 200d BPRO = $109,800
• 200d SMA = $100,471

RSI = 42 → weak momentum, while 50d momentum = 57. Image
2/ Technical Volatility remains relatively low:

• ATR = 2,830
• 50d vol = 2,810

We’re still in $2–3K swing territory, meaning that a larger move $10-15K hides around the corner. Image
Read 12 tweets
CRYPTO₿IRB Profile picture
Aug 19
If you got rekt, your risk management sucks.

90% of traders blow up life savings by ignoring risk.

Here are 10 best practices to manage losses and come back stronger.

(Thread)🧵
1/ Humans are loss-averse: we fear losing more than we love winning.

That’s why unchecked emotions = bad trades.

Step one: accept losses as part of the game. Image
2/ Every trader goes through the grief cycle:

1. Denial

2. Anger

3. Bargaining

4. Depression

5. Acceptance

Recognize the phase you’re in — and don’t let emotions control your next move. Image
Read 12 tweets
CRYPTO₿IRB Profile picture
Aug 14
I'm starting the Bitcoin Cycle Peak Countdown.

We’re 997 days in. Halving math + history say the clock hits zero in a little over 70 days.

Here's alpha pack you need to exit before blow-off top.

(Thread)🧵 Image
1/ We’re really late.

Since the Nov 21, 2022 cycle low, it’s been 997 days — that’s about 90% through a typical Bitcoin bull market (which usually lasts 1,060–1,100 days, bottom to top).

But, price-wise, the best is yet to come... Image
2/ Halving → peak timing is the market secret sauce:

2012 halving ➡️ 2013 peak: 366 days

2016 halving ➡️ 2017 peak: 526 days

2020 halving ➡️ 2021 peak: 548 days

2024 halving ➡️ 2025 peak: 550 days (?)

This one puts next peak between Oct 19 & Nov 20, 2025 (518–580 days). Image
Read 14 tweets
CRYPTO₿IRB Profile picture
Feb 4
Trading is simple but it's not easy.

Took me years of practice just to master the basics.

I've compiled 13 beginner-friendly cheat sheets to help you learn faster👇🧵
#1 Trading Glossary

Basic terms and definitions regarding polarity change principle, order blocks, as well as throwbacks. Image
#2 Position Sizing

Money management explains how to find the optimal size of an entry. Piece below can suggest where to start. Image
Read 16 tweets

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