CRYPTO₿IRB Profile picture
Sep 8, 2022 13 tweets 4 min read Read on X
5 Things You Must Know Before the Triple Witch Comes

Set your reminders👊
twitter.com/i/spaces/1ynJO…
Starts in 30min. Set your reminders👊

twitter.com/i/spaces/1ynJO…
Let me add a few charts for the space!

1. Dow Jones
2. $SPX
3. $XLE + energy performance YTD
4. $USD
5. $TNX 10Y yields
6. The @RRGresearch chart
8. Financial vs Business Cycle
9. Target rate probabilities
10. $BTC to $SPX correlation

fin
LAST MINUTE CHANGE - for this reason of the unpredicted death of #QueenElisabeth I've decided to reschedule today's space till next week.

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More from @crypto_birb

Jan 2
7 Market Indicators To Predict Cycle Top In 2025👇🧵

1. MVRV Z-Score: Image
MVRV Z-Score (Market Value/Realized Value) is BTC valuation model. Z-score shows how many standard deviations a value is from the mean.

Historically, BTC peaked only when MVRV pushed & stayed above 7.0.

Peak projection: $260k (2.62X from $97.2k)

Available @BitcoinMagPro Image
2. NUPL:

Net Unrealized Profit and Loss is the difference between market cap and realized cap divided by market cap.

0 to 0.5: Moderate bull, potential growth.

0.5 to 0.7: Strong bull, profit-taking.

> 0.7: Market top area, high selling pressure.

Available @cryptoquant_com Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 31, 2024
2024 was wild for crypto traders & entrepreneurs.

With all the noise on 𝕏, it was easy to miss (real) alpha.

Let's grow your wallet & mindset in 2025.

Here are top 17 posts I bookmarked this year 🧵👇
1. "Each time I think the top is in, I sell 1/3 of my stack."

@AltcoinPsycho on his simple exit plan
2. "If you're the first country to print money to buy bitcoin you'll be rich."

@CryptoTea_ paraphrasing Blackrock ETFs

Read 20 tweets
Jun 8, 2024
VanEck is 9th largest ETF provider with $66.5B AUM.

Their bull case predicts ETH will reach $154,000 by 2030 with a base case target of $22,000.

Here are 9 reasons behind their thinking: Image
1) ETH Price Target: $22K by 2030?

The ETH price target for 2030 is estimated to hit $22,000 per coin, driven by $66B in free cash flows. This estimate is based on a projection of Ethereum generating $66 billion in free cash flows by 2030 and applying a 33x valuation multiple. Image
2) Portfolio Boost: 6% Crypto Allocation

Adding 6% crypto to a 60/40 portfolio boosts the Sharpe ratio, with a minor drawdown impact. Analysis of 169 sample portfolios showed that including 3% BTC and 3% ETH significantly improves the risk-adjusted returns. Source: https://www.vaneck.com/us/en/blogs/digital-assets/matthew-sigel-eth-2030-price-target/
Read 13 tweets
Jan 30, 2024
FOMC tomorrow. Expect higher risk of losing money. I've put together short summary to keep you safe. Shares appreciated.

Thread👇🧵
1/ Risk disclaimer:

In this thread, I'll combine several charting techniques, chart pattern studies, fundamental factors, and seasonal records of cryptos.

The future is uncertain. Profits are not guaranteed.

Losses are inevitable (!)

Let's roll👇
2/ Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU):

The $INDU moved up to 37,833.45, marking an uptick of +0.10%, showcasing sustained growth.

The bull market saga continues as trends accelerate. Image
Read 12 tweets
Nov 14, 2023
Bitcoin bull run is accelerating.

Next months, winning traders will 10X their portfolios, while others get completely rekt, staring at generational rallies from the sidelines. These 12 market tips will make sure you don't get left behind.

Thread🧵
1/ Risk disclaimer:

In this thread, I will combine several charting techniques, chart pattern studies, fundamental factors, and seasonal records of cryptos.

The future is uncertain. Profits are not guaranteed. Losses are inevitable.

Ready? Let's rock👇
2/ Focus on the facts, not opinions.

The seasonal intermarket context remains favorable, with a 95-98.8% chance of 2023 (pre-election year) closing higher than opened.

The Best 6 Months (for S&P 500) and The Best 8 Months (for Nasdaq) started in November.

Why should you care? Image
Read 17 tweets
Aug 31, 2023
$BTC weak August into an even worse September ahead. Crash before massive Q4 rally?

A thread🧵👇
Risk disclaimer:

In this thread, I will combine several charting techniques, chart pattern studies, fundamental factors, and seasonal records of #Bitcoin.

The future is uncertain. Profits are not guaranteed.

Losses are inevitable.

Let's roll👇
1. 📈 Weekly #BTCUSD update:

Bitcoin faced resistance at $31k and retraced to $25k support (round number magic). Uptrend, as per Dow Theory, remains robust, even if slowing.
Read 18 tweets

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