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Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT Profile picture
@crypto_birb
Sep 8, 2022 • 13 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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5 Things You Must Know Before the Triple Witch Comes

Set your reminders👊
twitter.com/i/spaces/1ynJO…
Starts in 30min. Set your reminders👊

twitter.com/i/spaces/1ynJO…
Let me add a few charts for the space!

1. Dow Jones
2. $SPX
3. $XLE + energy performance YTD
4. $USD
5. $TNX 10Y yields
6. The @RRGresearch chart
7. Triple Witch🧙‍♀️
8. Financial vs Business Cycle
9. Target rate probabilities
10. $BTC to $SPX correlation

fin
LAST MINUTE CHANGE - for this reason of the unpredicted death of #QueenElisabeth I've decided to reschedule today's space till next week.

• • •

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More from @crypto_birb

Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT Profile picture
Jun 8
VanEck is 9th largest ETF provider with $66.5B AUM.

Their bull case predicts ETH will reach $154,000 by 2030 with a base case target of $22,000.

Here are 9 reasons behind their thinking: Image
1) ETH Price Target: $22K by 2030?

The ETH price target for 2030 is estimated to hit $22,000 per coin, driven by $66B in free cash flows. This estimate is based on a projection of Ethereum generating $66 billion in free cash flows by 2030 and applying a 33x valuation multiple. Image
2) Portfolio Boost: 6% Crypto Allocation

Adding 6% crypto to a 60/40 portfolio boosts the Sharpe ratio, with a minor drawdown impact. Analysis of 169 sample portfolios showed that including 3% BTC and 3% ETH significantly improves the risk-adjusted returns. Source: https://www.vaneck.com/us/en/blogs/digital-assets/matthew-sigel-eth-2030-price-target/
Read 13 tweets
Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT Profile picture
Jan 30
FOMC tomorrow. Expect higher risk of losing money. I've put together short summary to keep you safe. Shares appreciated.

Thread👇🧵
1/ Risk disclaimer:

In this thread, I'll combine several charting techniques, chart pattern studies, fundamental factors, and seasonal records of cryptos.

The future is uncertain. Profits are not guaranteed.

Losses are inevitable (!)

Let's roll👇
2/ Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU):

The $INDU moved up to 37,833.45, marking an uptick of +0.10%, showcasing sustained growth.

The bull market saga continues as trends accelerate. Image
Read 12 tweets
Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT Profile picture
Nov 14, 2023
Bitcoin bull run is accelerating.

Next months, winning traders will 10X their portfolios, while others get completely rekt, staring at generational rallies from the sidelines. These 12 market tips will make sure you don't get left behind.

Thread🧵
1/ Risk disclaimer:

In this thread, I will combine several charting techniques, chart pattern studies, fundamental factors, and seasonal records of cryptos.

The future is uncertain. Profits are not guaranteed. Losses are inevitable.

Ready? Let's rock👇
2/ Focus on the facts, not opinions.

The seasonal intermarket context remains favorable, with a 95-98.8% chance of 2023 (pre-election year) closing higher than opened.

The Best 6 Months (for S&P 500) and The Best 8 Months (for Nasdaq) started in November.

Why should you care? Image
Read 17 tweets
Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT Profile picture
Aug 31, 2023
$BTC weak August into an even worse September ahead. Crash before massive Q4 rally?

A thread🧵👇
Risk disclaimer:

In this thread, I will combine several charting techniques, chart pattern studies, fundamental factors, and seasonal records of #Bitcoin.

The future is uncertain. Profits are not guaranteed.

Losses are inevitable.

Let's roll👇
1. 📈 Weekly #BTCUSD update:

Bitcoin faced resistance at $31k and retraced to $25k support (round number magic). Uptrend, as per Dow Theory, remains robust, even if slowing.
Read 18 tweets
Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT Profile picture
May 30, 2023
BUY SIGNAL TRIGGERED!

While still wobbly, #BTC gave a critical warning that you shouldn't ignore.

A thread🧵👇
Risk disclaimer:

In this thread, I will combine several charting techniques, chart pattern studies, fundamental factors, and seasonal records of #Bitcoin.

The future is uncertain.

Profits are not guaranteed.

Losses are inevitable.

Ready?

Let's go👇
1/ The weekly chart shows a successful throwback to the 200-week mean without a breakdown.

The market has reached expected levels, anchoring #Bitcoin traders to long-term prices.

The 50-week trend line is curving up after a year of decline, indicating a positive shift. Image
Read 30 tweets
Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT Profile picture
May 15, 2023
Being bearish in 2023 sucks.

Denying the fact that Bitcoin reversed loses you big money every day. But not all is lost.

This $BTC study will help you fix your mistakes.

👇🧵 twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Risk disclaimer:

In this thread, I will combine several charting techniques, chart pattern studies, fundamental factors, and seasonal records of #Bitcoin.

The future is uncertain. Profits are not guaranteed.

Losses are inevitable.

Ready?

Let's get it rolling👇
1) Let's focus on the facts, not opinions.

Numbers don't lie.

Even though the worst six months of the year begin with May, the pre-election years are still the best-performing years on record.

With 98.8% historical chances, being a bull in 2023 is the right decision. Image
Read 23 tweets

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