David just had a new book come out, How Minds Change: The Surprising Science of Belief, Opinion, and Persuasion. It is an Editor’s Pick and Best Books of 2022 so far over on Amazon. I’ve read it and so should you! 2/5
Dave is also the author of You are Not so Smart, “an entertaining illumination of the stupid beliefs that make us feel wise.” Super fun book on how we aren’t as rational as we would like to believe. 3/5
Dave has also graciously agreed to do a book launch event with me next month. We will be having a super fun conversation about behavioral science to celebrate the publication of #Quit. Details on that to come!
4/5
Needless to say, I am so appreciative of Dave’s support. I admire his work so deeply…plus he is a super nice human! 5/5
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What you’ve already spent on something is gone. And worrying that those resources will be wasted if you quit is what actually creates waste: the waste of the future time, money, and effort spent on an endeavor that is no longer worth pursuing.
2/
You can’t get the time you e spent back, but you can stop yourself from wasting the next minute you would otherwise spend on something that isn’t worth the time.
3/
Condorsay utilizes a unique blend of #AI and surveys to force tough choices on what we value most in each decision, allowing us to gain a better understanding of ourselves and each other through revealed preferences.
It's particularly valuable to inform group discussions, where it can help cut through groupthink, bias, and unhelpful compromises by avoiding information cascade. This is especially important in today's remote world.
Two things determine how your life will turn out: luck and the quality of your decisions. Want to know how to make high-quality decisions with your team at work? A thread: ⬇️
2/ Poker can teach you a lot about business and life. I drew on my time playing poker in the @WSOP and my cognitive science work at @Penn to teach you how to make high-quality decisions in my book, #HowToDecide.
3/ A key insight from the book that I’ll re-emphasize here: Treat the outcome and quality of a decision separately. You can make a great decision on a bet and still lose the hand. So I’ve developed 4 exercises to help you make better bets.
Over the past few weeks, I have been highlighting the work of those who blurbed and today, the final day before my book’s bday, it’s time for @mjmauboussin. It would be impossible for me to fully express how much gratitude I have for Michael.
1/14
This book would be so much worse if not for the thought partnership of @mjmauboussin. In writing the book, Michael got on countless calls and Zooms with me to help me work through my ideas.
2/14
As I produced a draft of each chapter, Michael read every word offering insightful suggestions and edits of my work. He helped me work through places where I was stuck. He helped me make sense of what I was trying to say.
I’m not sure what I can say that you wouldn’t already know about Marc, but I'll point you to some of his written work and his wonderful podcasts.
1/8
.@PMarca wrote "It’s Time to Build" about our unpreparedness for the pandemic as it relates to our failure to build. He argues we see failure across the board: housing, education, manufacturing & transportation - not because of lack of money but because of lack of desire.
2/8
No doubt, the piece is super provocative making it a must read.
The most dangerous category of poor decisions are ones that remain easily hidden from view because any instance of that type of decision is so easy to rationalize.
1/12
Trying to eat healthier?
It’s so easy to justify that piece of cheesecake because you just had a break-up. The ice cream you gobbled down few days ago? It was your kid’s birthday so you were celebrating! That bucket of popcorn last weekend? Movie night with the family!
2/12
Each of these decisions are easy to rationalize on their own. They feel like justifiable exceptions.
That’s why they hide from view.
It’s only when you examine them in the aggregate that you can see they will frustrate your goals.