Kharkiv
RuAF attacked in the direction of Kostyantynivka, it was repulsed by the AFU. Status of Udy is still a bit unclear since GSUA still reports shellings in the town.
I've seen reports on twitter about Kutuzivka being liberated, I did not have a clue it was captured. This is nothing that I have been able to confirm. Adding it to the map anyway, there has been talk about a RU offensive in the area.
Balakliya offensive
GSUA stated the AFU have advanced 50km in to previous occupied territory, this would put them about 13km from Kup'yans'k if they came from Balakliya.
RU channels are reporting the AFU are about 10km from Kup'yans'k .
I believe the actual line of progress is wider than on my map, but this is the confirmed advance by images, videos and official statements.
Rumors state the AFU are advancing to the south east from Kharkiv in this area too, and possibly a jump across the river south of Balakliya. These are unconfirmed rumors.
Izium
South of Izium, RuAF attacked in the direction of Dibrovne and Dovhen'ke, the AFU successfully defended their positions.
Siversk
Ozerne was liberated according to GSUA, so they probably read my report yesterday🤣
A RuAF attack was repulsed in the Hryhorivka area.
Bakhmut
RuAF attacked in the area of Soledar, Zaitseve, Mykolaivka Druha and Mayorsk. Without success.
Donetsk
RuAF attacked Kam'yanka, Pervomais'ke and Nevel's'ke. GSUA stated the attacks were unsuccessful.
Kherson
I'm seeing rumors about AFU breaking the defenses of 20th Guards Motor Rifle Division in the area of Ternovi Pody, Vitaliy Kim stated there are some good news in the south.
Things are almost progressing faster than I can make this post. I would like to state, I'm trying to post confirmed things and keep the rumor spreading to a minimum. But it's also impossible to completely leave out rumors.
I get PMs from time to time with links to information. A lot of them starts with "You have probably seen this".
I just want to say, 50% of the time I have not.
I would like to thank everyone helping me by sending me information.
I forgot this.
I consider Borshchivka, Yakovenkove, Verbivka, Volokhiv Yar and Ivanivka liberated based on photos and videso. Status of Balakliya is still a bit unclear even if there has been multiple videos/photos from there.
I'm not sure the AFU can take Kup'yans'k fast, but they might be able to encircle it. There are also talk about RU reserves being moved in to the area, and i think it's likely they will try to defend around Kup'yans'k.
I also think UA are expecting a reinforcement, and it will be very interesting to see how they handle it.
I saw some rumors about Ukrain in Chkalovs'ke yesterday. This post might support a NW->SE advance by the AFU. t.me/video_posts/10…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?
I have seen speculations about some of the HEU and centrifuges being moved to the new underground facilities (UGF) south west of Natanz main compound. I do not belive this is the case, I think the tunnel complex to the SW of the main facility is unfinished. Here is why
The main compound is secured by at least five layers of fencing and walls, with three checkpoints required to enter the facility.
Compare this to the new UGF complex to the SW.
Only two tunnels have extra fencing, the wall and fencing around it is incomplete. There are clear sings of construction work going in near the tunnel entrances.