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Sep 9 • 6 tweets • 5 min read
Spain: Strange statistics. At the same time that July Excess Deaths is the highest in recorded history (except March-April 2020), higher even than in any winter (also if we remove deaths attributed to heat), Covid deaths between May-August in 2022 are also higher than 2021 & 2020
Download PDF: dropbox.com/s/b9jizm7sq2x2…

Source of data: Government of Spain.
Excess Deaths: MoMo. momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#se…
Covid Deaths: As reported by Expansión datosmacro.expansion.com/otros/coronavi…
Download PDF: dropbox.com/s/b9jizm7sq2x2…

Source of data: Government of Spain.
Excess Deaths: MoMo. momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#se…
Covid Deaths: As reported by Expansión datosmacro.expansion.com/otros/coronavi…
As per Euro MoMo, excess deaths well above normal is occurring across Europe since at least week 21 (May 29).

Next weekend we will analyze how countries in the world have performed in terms of cumulative excess deaths per capita but since January 2022, which is what matters now
For those who say that Covid deaths are due to heat, hospitals in Spain do not have air-conditioning?
And even if Covid deaths in Jul 2022 had been = May 2022 (or even= Jul 2021), the cumulative deaths attributed to Covid for the period May-August 2022 would still be the highest

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More from @ChGefaell

JOSE GEFAELL Profile picture
Sep 5
Si el exceso de mortalidad es por "la relajación de las medidas y la no vacunación", ¿por qué la mitad de este gran exceso es por otras causas distintas del Covid y el calor? Si es por el colapso hospitalario, ¿por qué eso produciría un exceso en olas?
1/n
 elmundo.es/ciencia-y-salu…
Este articulo publicado el 4 de septiembre es un claro ejemplo de desinformación. Como mínimo es un artículo muy confuso. Para empezar, el titular no coincide con el contenido. Y durante el artículo embarra el terreno para que el lector no saque ninguna conclusión clara.
Dice el titular:
“LA RELAJACIÓN de las medidas y LA NO VACUNACIÓN: posibles causas del exceso de mortalidad”.
Pero los únicos argumentos que da al respecto son:
Read 17 tweets
JOSE GEFAELL Profile picture
Aug 24
Corea del Sur tiene una población equivalente a la de España y está aproximadamente en la misma latitud. Tiene el mismo % de vacunación (casi el 90%) pero mucha más población está triplemente vacunada (casi el 80% vs. España el 54%).
En 2020 y 2021 Corea no tuvo prácticamente muertes por Covid ni exceso por otras causas. Sin embargo, este año 2022, en plena primavera Corea ha tenido una gran ola de exceso de muertes. Durante varias semanas de marzo y abril el exceso ha sido mayor del 70% sobre la referencia.
La referencia para calcular el exceso son las muertes esperables cada semana, que el gobierno allí las calcula como el máximo de muertes de cada semana ocurridas en los tres años previos.
Read 5 tweets
JOSE GEFAELL Profile picture
Aug 23
In Spain, according to MoMo's age-adjusted figures, the July excess deaths as a % over baseline is 33.7%, by far the largest excess deaths in recorded history (except March and April 2020, when the pandemic hit), higher even than in any recorded winter as % over base line. Image
Here is the series from 2015 to 2019.
(2015 is the first year recorded by MoMo's age-adjusted excess deaths model. In that year 2015 Spain experienced one of the worst respiratory disease seasons in its recent history). Image
If the non-Covid excess was due to some sort of collateral damage from lockdowns, medical delays or having passed Covid, it would be unlikely that the delayed effects of that would show up in waves, synchronously in many people at once, as we see in Spain and several countries. Image
Read 19 tweets
JOSE GEFAELL Profile picture
Aug 21
As per EuroMoMo, in Europe since May there has been an extraordinary wave of excess deaths. In some countries such as Spain the excess deaths due to Non-covid causes is very significant.
(Non covid excess deaths = total excess minus deaths attributed to covid and heat)
1/11
Dark energy is a theoretical form of energy that behaves opposite to gravity causing the rapid expansion of the universe. It is the largest part of the universe’s composition, permeating every corner of the cosmos.
visualcapitalist.com/composition-of… Image
If the unknown excess was due to some kind of collateral damage from lockdowns, medical delays or having passed Covid, it would be unlikely that these after-effects would show their effects in waves, synchronously in many people at the same time, as we see in several countries. Image
Read 15 tweets
JOSE GEFAELL Profile picture
Aug 12
In major European countries, the excess deaths this summer is higher than in autumn and winter. Not nice.

EuroMoMo weekly z-score, week 32, 2022
Spain >85 years
Germany >85 years
Read 7 tweets
JOSE GEFAELL Profile picture
Jul 30
Adding MoMo's official data for Spain for May, June and July (the latter is forecast as of the 29th), the excess of deaths in these three months is ~6,000 attributed to Covid and ~9,300 to Non-Covid causes (excluding the ~3,200 deaths registered as due to heatwaves). ImageImageImageImage
This excess deaths from Non-COVID causes is significant. According to the official age-adjusted excess deaths series, calculated and published by MoMo since 2015, this level of excess deaths has never been seen in these months of the year. Image
And according to EuroMoMo's latest provisional update, this could be happening across Europe as well. In the absence of updated data from several countries, the excess deviation in July, in Europe as a whole, could be like in Spain significantly higher than in January. Image
Read 23 tweets

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