The basics of ROE, ROCE & ROIC explained from scratch with multiple case studies 🧵🧵🧵
In this thread we will cover:
1⃣ Du Pont of ROE
2⃣ Du Pont of ROCE
3⃣ Going Beyond as Investors
4⃣ Du Pont of ROIC
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First ratio is Return on Equity:-
ROE indicates a company’s profitability by measuring how much the shareholders earned for their investment in the company.
ROE signifies how good the company is in generating returns on the investment it received from shareholders.
The formula of ROE is Profit after Tax ÷ Equity (Net worth)
Where,
Net worth = Equity share capital, and Reserve and Surplus
Companies with a high ROE can generate cash internally and thus they will be less dependent on debt.
Investors should not make any investment decision on the basis of ROE alone as it may not give a clear picture because debt is not considered here
Companies with high debt may report high ROE
Hence it becomes extremely important to look leverage as well and do the dupont of ROE
Dupont of ROE simply means breaking the ROE formula into 3 parts i.e. 👇
ROE = Net Profit Margin x Asset Turnover Ratio x Financial Leverage
Where,
NPM is calculated as PAT / Sales
Asset Turnover = Sales / Total Assets
Financial Leverage is calculated as Total Assets / Equity
The DuPont analysis implies that a company can increase its ROE if it:
▶️Generates Higher Net Profit Margin
▶️Efficiently Utilizes Assets to Generate More Revenue
▶️Increases its Financial Leverage
Lets look at a Pharma co which had done huge capex during FY17 - FY19
In pharma co's post completion of project co's have to wait for regulatory approvals, during that phase revenue from new plant will be low but depreciation will be charged on those asset leading to low PAT
During that phase its ROE got depressed as:
🔽Asset Turnover was low
⬆️Financial leverage was high
🔽Net Profit Margin due to high Depreciation
So here ROE during approval phase was just 6% but once company got approval and revenue from that plant started flowing in ROCE blasted and expanded to 35% in FY21.
Another example is of a steel wire company which was heavily leveraged till FY19 its D/E was 4.56 times, in FY20 co sold its steel plant and paid off most of its borrowings which brings down its debt from 3565 cr to 620 cr in FY20 & currently at 411 cr in FY22.
Just check the deleveraging on the Balance Sheet:-
The ROE of the company went up from 6% in FY19 to 17% in FY22.
Net impact:
Total Asset Turnover 🔼 sale of plant
Net Profit Margin 🔼 interest cost came down
Financial Leverage 🔽 due to debt repayment
ROE = NPM x Total Asset Turnover x Financial Leverage
Return on Equity ⏫
The next most important ratio which we will be discussing is Return on Capital Employed.
It measures how well a company is able to generate profits from its capital.
Higher ROCE is more favourable, as it indicates more profits are generated per rupee of capital employed.
This ratio is similar to ROE, but it is more comprehensive as it includes the returns generated from debt as well
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) = EBIT / Capital Employed
Where
EBIT = Net Profit Before Interest and Taxes
Capital Employed = Total Assets – Current Liabilities
ROCE provides a better indication of financial performance for companies with significant debt.
It follows from the equation that in order to generate high ROCE, a company must either have very high profit margins or need low levels of Capital Employed or a combination of both.
When we look at the Du Pont of ROCE so here we can divide it into 2 parts:
ROCE = EBIT Margins x Capital Employed Turnover
Where,
EBIT Margins = EBIT / Sales
Capital Employed Turnover = Sales / Capital Employed
Lets cover some case studies to understand it better:
A Cable & Wire company is shifting its product mix from EPC business which is government contract to retail segment.
The reason for such change is in EPC business working capital requirement is high due to higher debtor days
Now when the product mix will change from EPC to Retail the capital employed requirement will come down.
Along with that since margins in retail segment are high so EBIT will go up.
These both will lead to expansion in ROCE of the company.
EBIT🔼
Capital Employed🔽
ROCE ⏫⏫
Going Beyond ROCE!
Another example is SRF Limited which has 3 business segments:
1⃣ Specialty Chemicals
2⃣ Packing Film Business
3⃣ Technical Textile Business
During 2015 - 2018 company was doing capex in its agrochemicals division when the agrochem cycle was in downturn as industry was consolidating
The chemicals division during that time was yielding ROCE of 10% - 12% as compared to 22% in textiles division.
These investments started giving results when cycle turned and industry consolidation completed and now the ROCE of chemicals division is 22%.
As investors we should always be forward looking as past performance will never help you in making wealth.
Another such example is a company which intentionally capped its ROCE at 15-17% to prevent itself from intense competition.
They scaled up and backwards integrated which has now become an entry barrier for other players in the industry.
Now it will be very difficult for others to make even 15% ROCE in that business.
Low ROCE can also be a strategy of business to create entry barriers.
Moving towards the last and most important ratio in investing which most investors miss while analysing businesses is Return on Invested Capital (ROIC).
ROIC tells us the rate of return the company is generating on capital that has been invested in the business.
ROIC is calculated as Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) / Invested Capital
Where,
NOPAT is calculated as EBIT x (1 - Tax Rate); and
Invested Capital is calculated as Equity + Debt - Cash
ROIC is used to determine whether or not a company has a economic moat which is the ability to protect its profit margins and market share from new market entrants in the long run.
Higher the ROIC, the more likely the company is to achieve sustainable long-term wealth creation.
We can further expand the formula in 2 parts to understand the Du Pont of the ROIC:
ROIC = Operating Margin Ratio x Invested Capital Turnover
Where,
Operating Margin Ratio = NOPAT / Sales
Invested Capital Turnover = Sales / Invested Capital
“Leaving the question of price aside, the best business to own is one that over an extended period can employ large amounts of incremental capital at very high rates of return.”
- Warren Buffett
Thank you so much for reading!!
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We are doing a detailed session and a live class on ROE vs ROCE vs ROIC with Multiple Live case Studies on 17th September.
The Basics of Profitability Ratios explained from Scratch 🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵
In this Thread we will talk about:-
1. Gross Margins/Ebitda Margins/EBIT Margins & PAT Margins 2. Du Pont of ROA 3. Du Pont of ROE 4. Importance of ROCE
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What are Profitability Ratios?
Profitability ratios show how well a company is able to make profits from its operations, assets or shareholder's equity.
It also indicates how well the company utilises its assets to generate profits and provide value to its shareholders.
The first ratio we are covering here is Gross Profit Margin.
GP Ratio is used to determine the efficiency of the business. It looks at how well company controls the cost of its inventory and the manufacturing of its products and subsequently passes on the costs to its customers.
These 2 websites are gold mines of information of Pharma and trends across Pharma industry across the world. Read them at least once in 2 weeks. Stay ahead of the curve!!
The Basics of a Balance Sheet explained from scratch 🧮➕➖➗
In this thread we will talk about -
1. What is Balance Sheet 2. How Balance Sheet is made? 3. Each line items of Balance Sheet 4. Why it is important
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What is a Balance Sheet:
The balance sheet displays the company’s total assets and how the assets are financed, either through debt or equity. It gives an idea of the financial health of an organization. It is like a snapshot of the financial position at a specified time.
Balance sheet consists of 3 components:
1⃣Assets
2⃣Equity
3⃣Liabilities
The balance sheet is based on the fundamental equation: Assets = Equity + Liabilities.
PE comes down when earnings backfill into valuations or earnings grow exponentially.
Eg- Dmart has gone through both price and time correction+Earnings have grown well.
Price to Earnings has fallen from 287x to 125x post the results.
Disc:- not invested.
+Effort of these case studies is to just make you think about the businesses and apply these frameworks somewhere else. No point in teaching investing without real life case studies, please don't get butt hurt if i/someone owns or doesn't own a stock 🙏
Another example that comes to mind is that of Varun Beverages Ltd. It has always traded at an average of 54x P/e multiple. As co built significant capacities and did a lot of backwards integration.
Anchoring to TTM multiples is a stupid thing to do in fast growers