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Sep 10 4 tweets 1 min read
Found perhaps the most complete and insightful description of the situation as of now from the Russian war journalist.

"So, things are extremely shitty, the reserves that were thrown from near Lysichansk and Donetsk did not reach Kupyansk and were..." 1/🧵 Image
" completely ruined by the Ukrops. The fuck does not end there: the city of Izyum was surrendered today at 6 am, Kupyansk was surrendered yesterday, Liman is almost surrendered. Our entire Kharkov grouping is broken, there are no reserves." 2/🧵
"But even this whole fucked up situation does not end there. The enemy broke through 2 more lines of defense, namely near Lisichansk and is now dispersing there. The worst Ukr fascists occupied the Donetsk airport and apparently they will not stop there. " 3/🧵
"All that remains for us is to wait for quick decisions from the command and pray." 4/🧵

Overall, things look dire for ruzzians and seems like Ukr command doesn't want to stop with their offense just yet.

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More from @IntelArrow

Nov 10
I am getting reports that Ukrainian army has advanced towards Kherson faster than Russian generals have anticipated.

Now remaining Russian troops are desperately trying to swim across the river leaving all of the equipment behind.
This is not a joke by the way.

We might see a lot of Russian casualties tomorrow.
Here are details:

Ukrainian SOF have quickly advanced towards critical logistical points near Dnipro river, breaking organized withdrawal.

Next, advancing Ukrainian artillery began endless barrage on all of the remaining pontoons across the river, obliterating them.
Read 15 tweets
Nov 9
Kherson front update:

Multiple reports by Russian journalists of a complete military withdrawal from the Dnipro river right bank.

Take those reports with a huge grain of salt. Such fake rumors were spread multiple times before. Image
Ukrainian soldiers in Kalynivske. There were reports of it being under Ukrainian control for over a month, though. Image
Ukrainian flag on top of Snihurivka railway station.

There were unconfirmed reports of RU forces withdrawing from the city yesterday.

Unclear if it was civilians who placed the flag or Ukrainian army had entered the town. Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 2
Meanwhile, Ukrainian army has advanced 25km deep into Russian lines in the northern Kherson region. The largest advance in the region since the war began.

Ukrainian forces consist of at least 4 motorized and 1 tank battalions.

Russian war experts are in "a little" panic.
Apologies, it's almost 30km deep in under 2 days. Information was relevant around 6-12 hours ago and Ukr forces most likely advanced further.

The main axis of advance is downstream of Dnipro river. There are fortified Russian positions to the west, but they are in trouble now.
Russian war journalist admits that there will be no reinforcements in the Kherson region anytime soon.

He also notes that low-rank officers reported a huge amount of Ukrainian troops preparing for attack, but RU general responsible for that front simply refused to believe it.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 11
Newly delivered HIMARS allows Ukraine to destroy operational-level Russian infrastructure 84km deep into enemy territory.

However, it is not enough to stop Russian advances. It will set them back a month or two and force them to reroute logistics, but nothing game-changing. Image
On the other hand, ATACMS rockets will allow Ukraine to destroy STRATEGIC Russian infrastructures like the Crimean bridge or Sevastopol naval base 300km away from the frontlines, which will halt Russian advance permanently.

If Ukraine will receive ATACMS, it's game over. Image
Several months ago, I made a great thread explaining the importance of range, why long-range systems like HIMARS are a game-changer, and why Ukraine needs a lot of them.

Seeing NATO expanding its support with serious armament is great news overall.

Read 4 tweets
Apr 26
Russia attacked an important bridge across Dniester Lyman in Odessa region with Kalibr rockets.

Bridge is currently closed, forcing people to make a 100km detour to reach southern part of the Odessa region.

It also provided half of railway traffic between Ukr and Moldova.
Hmm, yeah, that's pretty bad damage.

However, if no support structure is damaged, we might see temporary fix within next week or two.

Otherwise bridge is out of commission for at least a year.
Found much better footage of the rocket strike.

It doesn't seem to be too devastating, seems like rocket didn't detonate on the bridge, but went through it instead.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 13
Ukrainian sources report that the Russian rocket cruiser Moskva has been hit with Neptune rockets and has sunk.

No visual proof yet, but if true, will be a huge blow to the Russian navy. That is a large ship with over 500 people onboard. Largest Russian ship in the Black sea.
Extra details: apparently it was hit by 2 Neptune rockets, but since that ship is so large, it didn't sink yet. It is on fire and requires "tactical flooding" to fight the fire.

We should be able to see proof of the damage in the coming days as the ship gets back to the port.
There are currently 2 rescue boats operating in the northern Black sea that might be working on rescuing Moskva.

Even if the ship didn't sink, "tactical flooding" will put it out of commission for years.

Of course, we still need visual proof before celebrating, wait a few days.
Read 8 tweets

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