Def Mon Profile picture
Sep 11 • 34 tweets • 13 min read
Update đź§µSeptember 11th.
Visit the interactive map for more details and explanations.

Russia now has a negative progress rate when looking at the time period since June 2nd.
We are talking about -1162km2 compared to last weeks +612 km2

Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper…
I now consider Kindrashivka and Khutory liberated based of photos. I have not geolocated them, but I see no reason they would not be authentic.

Kozacha Lopan' is possibly liberated.
The rumors says RuAF left. I think this is possible. I removed the contested yellow over it.
I also added the forest left of Izium to liberated, it's just a matter of the AFU making sure it's clear at this point. This was suggested by @emilkastehelmi and I agree.
According to Ukrainian general staff:
"The enemy continues to suffer losses. In the Kharkiv direction, enemy units from the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army were left without means of support, and the personnel were in a panicked mood."
RuAF retreating from Izium over the Oskil river.
This is the the crossing they are using
Changed Hnylytsya to liberated.
I have not geolocated the video but I think its likely its authentic.
So far today I have changed 368 km2 to liberated, this is more than half of what RuAF managed to capture in 3 months.
And it's only 1 o'clock.

I did not count the Izium forest area.
According to pro russian map maker, RuAF have more or less evacuated the area north of Kharkiv city. Consider this unconfirmed.
GSUA reported an attack in the area of Sosnivka today.
Changing Velyki Prokhody to liberated.
Non geolocated video. but it's obvious the Russians are on the run.
RuAF have left Vovchans'k
I have not geolocated the video, but I believe the information is solid.
It seems the RuAF defenses has completely collapsed and they are running for the border, it will take time for the AFU to catch up and advance in a safe manner. This is why I have lowered the requirement a bit for what I report.
I now consider Tokarivka liberated with surrounding settlements.
No AFU visible, but I'm sure the Russians are gone.

According to this map by the Ru MoD, the RuAF have retreated to behind the Oskil river. This would mean Ukraine just liberated 8370 km2.
I'm sorry, I could not resist anymore.

Me about a month ago.
Buhaivka liberated
Along with that goes Zarichne and Khotimlya which were rumored to be liberated yesterday.
Hoptivka liberated
I'm sorry, I'm probably going to keep doing this for a few days.
The size of the liberated area I've been able to confirm today amounts to 1509km2
This is colored in a darker blue.
GSUA reported 111 shelling locations todyay.
According to GSUA, the Russians attacked in two locations today, Velyki Prokhody and Sosnivka. Pretty strange considering the reports of them withdrawing, but it could also be reports lagging behind.
The usual crap along he Bakhmut - Donesk front. I'm not going to list them all as it's the same as usual.
Except for the attack around Ozeryanivka, I'm pretty sure i got the wrong one.
GSUA stated:
The liberation of settlements from the Russian invaders continues. In the Kherson region, the occupiers also withdrew from their positions in some settlements.
There were two strange things in Kherson.
Sofiivka was shelled (there is one other possible location, but I think its this one)
and Zori was shelled, which I cant find.
The AFU reached the RU border around Kudiivka north of Kharkiv, I expanded the liberated area all the way to the border.
Seems I was wrong about Lyman, I see reports of Russians still in there. Back to contested.
Good night.

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More from @DefMon3

Sep 12
I made this yesterday.
This is how I see this ending.
Have fun calling me an idiot later if I'm wrong.
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This is just by the bridge Kupyansk.
I geolocated this place a few days ago.
This view is from 49.71005, 37.61519
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They need those units to defend the kremlin.

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They are put in defensive positions along the border.
They are extremely unhappy because they lost most of their friends for nothing.
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Update đź§µSeptember 12th.
Visit the interactive map for more details and explanations.

Russia has gained -9919 km2 since 20220602 assuming the entire area west of Oskil river is liberated, I'm still working on confirming this.

Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper… Image
Read 20 tweets
Sep 11
So if the RU army is is retreating to have artillery cover from the other side of the river, they face two problems.
First of all, they get squeezer in between the AFU and a river. That cant be good.
Secondly, the AFU has longer range artillery, so they might not need to worry that much about counter battery artillery since they can just stay out of range and still have complete fire control over the Russians.
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1 USA
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